Johan Dominguez

P Charlotte Knights

Age 31 RHP 6'4" / 190 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2027

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	26	MIX2 levels	3	3	13	1.42	1.92	38.5%	7.7%	—	K 38.5% · BB 7.7% · FIP 1.88
2023	27	MIX2 levels	13	13	40	4.76	5.34	20.8%	11.0%	—	K 16.0% · BB 9.8% · FIP 5.83
2024	28	MIX2 levels	28	23	119	4.25	4.63	19.1%	10.2%	—	K 15.7% · BB 9.7% · FIP 5.05
2027PROJ	31	MLBCWS	12	12	73	4.86	4.86	18.0%	9.5%	0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	32	MLBCWS	4	4	25	4.94	5.04	18.1%	9.9%	-0.0
2029PROJ55% MLB	33	MLBCWS	6	6	34	5.09	5.23	18.0%	10.3%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsElian Leyva (age 30) · Scott McGregor (age 28) · Zack Segovia (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

K%18.0%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%8.5%

Proj IP73

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 73 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	20	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers	16	8	58	235	62	24	1	50%	3.6	17.9%	12.8%	5.2%	0.6%	2.78	3.53	—
2016	20	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers	16	8	58	235	62	24	1	50%	3.6	26.4%	10.2%	16.2%	0.4%	2.78	2.43	—
2017	21	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers	4	3	17	73	18	6	2	75%	4.2	16.8%	10.3%	6.5%	3.8%	4.24	5.09	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers	4	3	17	73	18	6	2	75%	4.2	24.7%	8.2%	16.4%	2.7%	4.24	3.57	—
2018	22	ROK MLE	Great Falls Voyagers	25	0	35	133	40	13	0	0%	1.4	20.5%	12.2%	8.2%	0.0%	0.77	2.92	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	Great Falls Voyagers	25	0	35	133	40	13	0	0%	1.4	30.1%	9.8%	20.3%	0.0%	0.77	1.93	—
2019	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	24	15	91	389	90	33	2	62%	3.8	17.1%	10.0%	7.1%	0.8%	2.98	3.35	—
2019	23	A RAW	Kannapolis Intimidators	24	15	91	389	90	33	2	62%	3.8	23.1%	8.5%	14.7%	0.5%	2.98	2.49	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	24	107	450	118	26	16	100%	4.5	21.5%	6.8%	14.7%	3.8%	5.30	4.26	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	24	107	450	118	26	16	100%	4.5	26.2%	5.8%	20.4%	3.6%	5.30	3.57	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	3	13	52	20	4	1	100%	4.2	38.5%	7.7%	30.8%	1.9%	1.42	1.88	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	3	13	52	20	4	1	100%	4.2	38.5%	7.7%	30.8%	1.9%	1.42	1.92	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	40	173	36	19	8	100%	3.1	16.0%	9.8%	6.2%	5.2%	4.76	5.83	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	13	40	173	36	19	8	100%	3.1	20.8%	11.0%	9.8%	4.6%	4.76	5.34	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	23	119	519	99	53	17	82%	4.2	15.7%	9.7%	6.0%	3.7%	4.25	5.05	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	23	119	519	99	53	17	82%	4.2	15.7%	9.7%	6.0%	3.7%	4.25	5.05	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	23	119	519	99	53	17	82%	4.2	19.1%	10.2%	8.9%	3.3%	4.25	4.63	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	CWS	12	12	73	308	56	29	10	100%	6.1	18.0%	9.5%	8.5%	3.1%	4.86	4.86	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	CWS	11	11	67	284	51	28	9	100%	6.1	18.1%	9.9%	8.2%	3.3%	4.94	5.04	-0.1
2029	33	MLB MLE	CWS	10	10	62	261	47	27	9	100%	6.2	18.0%	10.3%	7.7%	3.6%	5.09	5.23	-0.2
2028	32	MLB CTX	CWS	4	4	25	106	19	10	4	100%	6.2	18.1%	9.9%	8.2%	3.3%	4.94	5.04	-0.0
2029	33	MLB CTX	CWS	6	6	34	144	26	15	5	100%	5.7	18.0%	10.3%	7.7%	3.6%	5.09	5.23	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	10	59	248	45	25	9	100%	5.9	18.0%	10.1%	8.0%	3.5%	5.03	4.77	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	153	85	31	100%	6.0	18.0%	10.1%	8.0%	3.5%	5.03	4.77	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		137	89	479	2024	374	194	54	65%	3.5	18.5%	9.6%	8.9%	2.7%	3.78	4.22	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	37	200	845	156	81	22	65%	3.5	18.5%	9.6%	8.9%	2.7%	3.78	4.22	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Johan Dominguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	18.0%	9.5%	3.1%	—	5.13	18.1%	8.0%	129	+0.27	—	—	—
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	85
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	74
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	73
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	73
Scott Copeland R 2019 · 5.62 FIP	31	SP-	5.62	17.1%	12.4%	4.4%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	569	71
Luke Hudson R 2006 · 3.81 FIP	29	SP-	3.81	14.5%	8.4%	1.6%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	235	70
Mike Burns R 2009 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP-	4.90	17.2%	6.6%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	69
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	69
Hisashi Iwakuma R 2012 · 4.28 FIP	31	SP-	4.28	19.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.277	3.45	21.5%	17.8%	528	-0.83	3.19	884	68
Kohei Arihara R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	29	SP-	4.58	16.4%	7.2%	3.5%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	135	68
Hector Galvan R 2019 · 4.84 FIP	31	SP-	4.84	14.3%	12.2%	2.6%	.357	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	406	68
Miguel Ruiz R 2017 · 5.60 FIP	31	SP	5.60	10.6%	11.0%	3.6%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	5.60	117	67
Jose A. Flores R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	29	SP-	4.77	13.7%	10.3%	2.8%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	237	67
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	66
Gabriel Arias R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	29	SP-	4.11	13.9%	6.8%	2.4%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	195	66
Randy Wynne R 2024 · 5.75 FIP	31	SP-	5.75	13.6%	6.0%	5.5%	.283	6.55	10.7%	7.2%	60	+0.80	4.35	461	66
Danny Gutierrez R 2017 · 4.11 FIP	30	SP	4.11	15.1%	6.1%	2.8%	.362	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	239	66
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	3.84	193	64
Josh A. Smith R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	31	SW	4.65	20.8%	6.4%	4.5%	.341	3.67	17.4%	8.6%	59	-0.98	2.91	598	64
Derek Eitel R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.2%	16.0%	1.9%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	138	64

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	67	18.0%	9.8%	1.29	4.96
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*