Johan Dominguez — OGILVIE

Johan Dominguez P Charlotte Knights

Age 30 RHP 6'4" / 190 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.14

FIP5.14

K%16.1%

BB%9.6%

K-BB%6.5%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	20	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers	16	8	58	235	62	24	1	50%	3.6	17.9%	12.8%	5.2%	0.6%	2.78	3.53	—
2016	20	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers	16	8	58	235	62	24	1	50%	3.6	26.4%	10.2%	16.2%	0.4%	2.78	2.43	—
2017	21	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers	4	3	17	73	18	6	2	75%	4.2	16.8%	10.3%	6.5%	3.8%	4.24	5.09	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers	4	3	17	73	18	6	2	75%	4.2	24.7%	8.2%	16.4%	2.7%	4.24	3.57	—
2018	22	ROK MLE	Great Falls Voyagers	25	0	35	133	40	13	0	0%	1.4	20.5%	12.2%	8.2%	0.0%	0.77	2.92	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	Great Falls Voyagers	25	0	35	133	40	13	0	0%	1.4	30.1%	9.8%	20.3%	0.0%	0.77	1.93	—
2019	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	24	15	91	389	90	33	2	62%	3.8	17.1%	10.0%	7.1%	0.8%	2.98	3.35	—
2019	23	A RAW	Kannapolis Intimidators	24	15	91	389	90	33	2	62%	3.8	23.1%	8.5%	14.7%	0.5%	2.98	2.49	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	24	107	450	118	26	16	100%	4.5	21.5%	6.8%	14.7%	3.8%	5.30	4.26	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	24	107	450	118	26	16	100%	4.5	26.2%	5.8%	20.4%	3.6%	5.30	3.57	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	3	13	52	20	4	1	100%	4.2	38.5%	7.7%	30.8%	1.9%	1.42	1.88	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	3	13	52	20	4	1	100%	4.2	38.5%	7.7%	30.8%	1.9%	1.42	1.92	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	40	173	36	19	8	100%	3.1	15.4%	9.8%	5.7%	5.2%	4.76	5.88	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	40	173	36	19	8	100%	3.1	15.4%	9.8%	5.7%	5.2%	4.76	5.88	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	13	40	173	36	19	8	100%	3.1	20.8%	11.0%	9.8%	4.6%	4.76	5.34	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	23	119	519	99	53	17	82%	4.2	15.1%	9.7%	5.5%	3.7%	4.25	5.09	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	23	119	519	99	53	17	82%	4.2	15.1%	9.7%	5.5%	3.7%	4.25	5.09	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	23	119	519	99	53	17	82%	4.2	19.1%	10.2%	8.9%	3.3%	4.25	4.63	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	CWS	1	1	5	21	3	2	1	100%	5.0	16.1%	9.6%	6.5%	3.3%	5.14	5.14	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	CWS	10	10	58	243	40	24	8	100%	5.8	16.4%	9.9%	6.6%	3.5%	5.18	5.26	-0.2
2028	32	MLB MLE	CWS	9	9	53	225	37	23	8	100%	5.9	16.5%	10.2%	6.3%	3.7%	5.29	5.42	-0.3
2027	31	MLB CTX	CWS	4	4	21	89	15	9	3	100%	5.2	16.4%	9.9%	6.6%	3.5%	5.18	5.26	-0.1
2028	32	MLB CTX	CWS	5	5	29	122	20	13	5	100%	5.8	16.5%	10.2%	6.3%	3.7%	5.29	5.42	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	8	50	213	35	22	8	100%	6.3	16.5%	10.1%	6.4%	3.6%	5.24	4.97	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	139	87	32	100%	6.0	16.5%	10.1%	6.4%	3.6%	5.24	4.97	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		137	89	479	2024	370	194	54	65%	3.5	18.3%	9.6%	8.7%	2.7%	3.78	4.23	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	37	200	845	155	81	22	65%	3.5	18.3%	9.6%	8.7%	2.7%	3.78	4.23	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Johan Dominguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.14	16.1%	9.6%	3.3%	—	5.34	16.5%	6.4%	111	+0.20	—	—	—
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	84
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	78
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	76
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	76
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	75
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	74
Jason Berken R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	31	SW	4.34	13.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.315	4.54	11.5%	3.2%	106	+0.20	4.34	219	74
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	73
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	73
David Hale R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	30	SP-	4.22	15.4%	7.5%	2.7%	.299	3.65	17.1%	11.3%	114	-0.57	3.30	493	73
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	221	73
Justin Masterson R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	30	SP-	4.10	18.2%	10.5%	2.2%	.307	3.73	17.3%	6.4%	196	-0.37	3.50	269	72
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	72
Matt Cain R 2015 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP-	4.88	17.1%	6.8%	4.3%	.296	4.87	15.2%	7.6%	214	-0.01	4.82	294	72
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	71
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	265	71
Jerome Williams R 2015 · 4.72 FIP	33	SP-	4.72	13.4%	5.6%	3.7%	.326	5.81	11.7%	5.6%	74	+1.09	4.72	195	70
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	4.13	133	70
Jose A. Flores R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	29	SP-	4.77	13.7%	10.3%	2.8%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	237	70
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	16.4%	9.9%	1.35	5.20
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50