Johan Dominguez
P
Charlotte Knights
Age 30
RHP
6'4" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 112
ERA4.95
FIP4.95
K%19.3%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%8.9%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | DSL Brewers | 16 | 8 | 58 | 235 | 62 | 24 | 1 | 50% | 3.6 | 17.9% | 12.8% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 2.78 | 3.53 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | DSL Brewers | 16 | 8 | 58 | 235 | 62 | 24 | 1 | 50% | 3.6 | 26.4% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 0.4% | 2.78 | 2.43 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | DSL Brewers | 4 | 3 | 17 | 73 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 4.2 | 16.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.24 | 5.09 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | DSL Brewers | 4 | 3 | 17 | 73 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 4.2 | 24.7% | 8.2% | 16.4% | 2.7% | 4.24 | 3.57 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | 25 | 0 | 35 | 133 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.5% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.77 | 2.92 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | 25 | 0 | 35 | 133 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 30.1% | 9.8% | 20.3% | 0.0% | 0.77 | 1.93 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | 24 | 15 | 91 | 389 | 90 | 33 | 2 | 62% | 3.8 | 17.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 1.0% | 2.98 | 3.45 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | 24 | 15 | 91 | 389 | 90 | 33 | 2 | 62% | 3.8 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 0.5% | 2.98 | 2.49 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 24 | 107 | 450 | 118 | 26 | 16 | 100% | 4.5 | 21.5% | 6.8% | 14.7% | 3.9% | 5.30 | 4.27 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 24 | 107 | 450 | 118 | 26 | 16 | 100% | 4.5 | 26.2% | 5.8% | 20.4% | 3.6% | 5.30 | 3.57 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 3 | 13 | 52 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.2 | 38.5% | 7.7% | 30.8% | 1.9% | 1.42 | 1.88 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 3 | 13 | 52 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.2 | 38.5% | 7.7% | 30.8% | 1.9% | 1.42 | 1.92 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 40 | 173 | 36 | 19 | 8 | 100% | 3.1 | 16.4% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.76 | 5.67 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 40 | 173 | 36 | 19 | 8 | 100% | 3.1 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 4.76 | 5.34 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 23 | 119 | 519 | 99 | 53 | 17 | 82% | 4.2 | 16.0% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.25 | 5.19 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 23 | 119 | 519 | 99 | 53 | 17 | 82% | 4.2 | 19.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 4.25 | 4.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 10 | 10 | 62 | 261 | 50 | 27 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 4.95 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 10 | 10 | 58 | 243 | 47 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 5.01 | 5.09 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 9 | 9 | 53 | 225 | 43 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 5.14 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 4 | 4 | 21 | 89 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 19.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 5.01 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 5.14 | 5.26 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 8 | 50 | 213 | 41 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 5.09 | 4.81 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 91 | 32 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 5.09 | 4.81 | +1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 137 | 89 | 479 | 2024 | 376 | 206 | 53 | 65% | 3.5 | 18.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 3.78 | 4.26 | +6.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 37 | 200 | 845 | 157 | 86 | 22 | 65% | 3.5 | 18.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 3.78 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Johan Dominguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.95 | 19.3% | 10.4% | 3.3% | — | 5.17 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 111 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 83 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 78 |
| Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 75 |
| Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 73 |
| Zack Segovia R 2028 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 72 |
| David Hale R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.17 | 15.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | .299 | 3.66 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 114 | -0.51 | 3.26 | 493 | 72 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 71 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 71 |
| Yohan Pino R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 70 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 70 |
| Jason Berken R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 70 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.22 | 19.8% | 11.1% | 4.3% | .333 | 4.92 | 15.8% | 7.4% | 182 | -0.30 | 2.32 | 676 | 69 |
| Aaron Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.9% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .291 | 3.31 | 24.6% | 19.0% | 112 | -1.45 | 2.75 | 902 | 69 |
| Scott McGregor R 2024 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.19 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 107 | 69 |
| Carlos Frías R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 69 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.68 | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .346 | 4.95 | 8.4% | -0.8% | 52 | +0.27 | 4.68 | 104 | 69 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 68 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2025 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.54 | 12.5% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .346 | 7.46 | 8.6% | 1.4% | 39 | +2.92 | 4.54 | 224 | 68 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.58 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .293 | 5.01 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 170 | +0.43 | 3.89 | 250 | 68 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 57 | 19.3% | 10.6% | 1.34 | 5.03 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |