Anderson Pilar

P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX3 levels	37	2	58	2.64	2.44	30.6%	5.6%	—	K 22.5% · BB 6.0% · FIP 3.58
2025	27	AAAATL	48	3	61	3.96	2.35	24.2%	6.9%	—	K 20.8% · BB 6.2% · FIP 2.61
2026	28	MIX2 levels	35	3	69	3.76	4.82	24.0%	8.7%	—	K 20.1% · BB 8.5% · FIP 5.53
2027PROJ	29	MLBATL	66	0	69	4.47	4.47	20.2%	6.9%	0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBATL	23	0	24	4.56	4.63	20.2%	7.4%	-0.0
2029PROJ55% MLB	31	MLBATL	31	0	33	4.70	4.81	20.0%	7.9%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control60Command55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsDiego Moreno (age 29) · Neil Wagner (age 29) · Tyler Walker (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.47

FIP4.47

K%20.2%

BB%6.9%

K-BB%13.4%

Proj IP69

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL6060

CMD5555

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	13	2	30	124	22	9	0	15%	2.3	12.1%	9.1%	3.0%	0.0%	2.97	3.23	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	13	2	30	124	22	9	0	15%	2.3	17.7%	7.3%	10.5%	0.0%	2.97	2.54	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	26	0	25	118	15	8	0	0%	1.0	8.6%	8.5%	0.2%	0.0%	3.24	3.44	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	26	0	25	118	15	8	0	0%	1.0	12.7%	6.8%	5.9%	0.0%	3.24	2.86	—
2018	20	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	33	0	41	157	43	7	0	0%	1.2	18.6%	5.6%	13.1%	0.0%	1.55	2.23	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	33	0	41	157	43	7	0	0%	1.2	27.4%	4.5%	22.9%	0.0%	1.55	1.50	—
2021	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	33	1	62	254	57	15	2	3%	1.9	16.6%	7.0%	9.6%	0.8%	1.61	3.04	—
2021	23	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	33	1	62	254	57	15	2	3%	1.9	22.4%	5.9%	16.5%	0.8%	1.61	2.40	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	30	3	63	269	59	20	6	10%	2.1	16.9%	8.6%	8.3%	2.1%	4.16	3.92	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	30	3	63	269	59	20	6	10%	2.1	21.9%	7.4%	14.5%	2.2%	4.16	3.42	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	9	59	253	67	25	2	53%	3.5	19.3%	11.8%	7.5%	0.9%	3.07	3.48	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	9	59	253	67	25	2	53%	3.5	26.5%	9.9%	16.6%	0.8%	3.07	2.54	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	2	58	232	71	13	5	5%	1.6	22.5%	6.0%	16.4%	2.9%	2.64	3.58	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	2	58	232	71	13	5	5%	1.6	22.5%	6.0%	16.4%	2.9%	2.64	3.58	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	37	2	58	232	71	13	5	5%	1.6	30.6%	5.6%	25.0%	2.2%	2.64	2.44	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	48	3	61	260	63	18	2	6%	1.3	20.8%	6.2%	14.6%	0.9%	3.96	2.61	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	48	3	61	260	63	18	2	6%	1.3	20.8%	6.2%	14.6%	0.9%	3.96	2.61	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	48	3	61	260	63	18	2	6%	1.3	24.2%	6.9%	17.3%	0.8%	3.96	2.35	—
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	3	69	288	69	25	14	9%	2.0	20.1%	8.5%	11.6%	5.6%	3.76	5.53	—
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	3	69	288	69	25	14	9%	2.0	20.1%	8.5%	11.6%	5.6%	3.76	5.53	—
2026	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	3	69	288	69	25	14	9%	2.0	24.0%	8.7%	15.3%	4.9%	3.76	4.82	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	ATL	66	0	69	291	59	20	10	0%	1.0	20.2%	6.9%	13.4%	3.3%	4.47	4.47	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	ATL	61	0	64	272	55	20	10	0%	1.1	20.2%	7.4%	12.8%	3.5%	4.56	4.63	-0.1
2029	31	MLB MLE	ATL	57	0	60	254	51	20	9	0%	1.1	20.0%	7.9%	12.2%	3.7%	4.70	4.81	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	ATL	23	0	24	101	20	7	4	0%	1.0	20.2%	7.4%	12.8%	3.5%	4.56	4.63	-0.0
2029	31	MLB CTX	ATL	31	0	33	139	28	11	5	0%	1.1	20.0%	7.9%	12.2%	3.7%	4.70	4.81	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	57	240	48	18	9	0%	1.1	20.1%	7.7%	12.4%	3.6%	4.64	4.36	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	169	63	32	0%	1.1	20.1%	7.7%	12.4%	3.6%	4.64	4.36	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		272	23	468	1955	355	155	35	8%	1.7	18.2%	7.9%	10.2%	1.8%	3.06	3.56	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		116	10	200	836	152	66	15	8%	1.7	18.2%	7.9%	10.2%	1.8%	3.06	3.56	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anderson Pilar (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.47	20.2%	6.9%	3.3%	—	4.72	20.1%	12.5%	125	+0.25	—	—	—
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	85
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	85
Tyler Walker R 2005 · 4.19 FIP	29	SU	4.19	19.4%	7.5%	3.2%	.303	3.61	19.7%	11.3%	93	-0.58	2.38	289	84
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	83
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	82
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	81
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	81
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	80
Dalier Hinojosa R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	29	SU	3.41	20.4%	9.8%	1.4%	.283	4.30	18.7%	6.1%	24	+0.89	3.41	104	80
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	80
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	79
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	79
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	78
Nolan Clenney R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	28	SU	4.23	20.1%	6.8%	3.6%	.366	5.65	8.3%	-10.0%	18	+1.42	3.73	223	78
Gus Schlosser R 2016 · 3.92 FIP	27	SU	3.92	18.7%	5.6%	3.1%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	107	78
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	77
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	77
Casey Sadler R 2019 · 3.56 FIP	29	SU	3.56	21.8%	4.9%	3.1%	.279	3.04	25.1%	15.9%	60	-0.52	2.21	385	77
John Gorman R 2019 · 4.01 FIP	27	SU	4.01	23.4%	7.5%	3.5%	.366	—	—	—	—	—	2.08	141	76
Jhan Mariñez R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	21.2%	7.9%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	64	20.2%	7.4%	1.36	4.57
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Blas Minor ('97)	1.1	75	19.2%	7.3%	1.16	4.40
J. C. Gutierrez ('07-'14, -0 WAR*)	1.4	57	19.8%*	8.5%*	1.19*	4.72*
Rich Monteleone ('87-'96, 2 WAR*)	1.8	71	18.7%*	7.5%*	1.39*	4.03*
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*
Julio Navarro ('62-'70, 1 WAR*)	1.1	53	21.7%*	7.8%*	1.55*	4.13*