Nick Trogrlic-Iverson prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Nick Trogrlic-Iverson P Springfield Cardinals

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 106

ERA4.71

FIP4.71

K%19.5%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%9.7%

ROS IP45

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	14	83	367	61	29	10	58%	3.5	12.7%	9.1%	3.6%	3.3%	4.55	4.98	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	14	83	367	61	29	10	58%	3.5	16.6%	7.9%	8.7%	2.7%	4.55	4.24	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	31	0	70	291	67	17	4	0%	2.3	17.7%	6.7%	11.0%	1.5%	3.33	3.30	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	31	0	70	291	67	17	4	0%	2.3	23.0%	5.8%	17.2%	1.4%	3.33	2.66	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	41	0	65	296	55	28	7	0%	1.6	15.1%	10.4%	4.6%	2.6%	4.87	4.59	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	41	0	65	296	55	28	7	0%	1.6	15.1%	10.4%	4.6%	2.6%	4.87	4.59	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	41	0	65	296	55	28	7	0%	1.6	18.6%	9.5%	9.1%	2.4%	4.87	4.11	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	STL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.5%	9.8%	9.7%	3.0%	4.71	4.71	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	STL	41	0	43	181	35	18	6	0%	1.0	19.6%	10.0%	9.7%	3.1%	4.75	4.80	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	STL	12	0	13	55	11	5	2	0%	1.1	19.6%	10.0%	9.7%	3.1%	4.75	4.80	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	57	11	6	2	0%	1.0	19.6%	10.0%	9.7%	3.1%	4.75	4.42	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	90	30	0%	1.1	19.6%	10.0%	9.7%	3.1%	4.75	4.42	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		96	14	218	954	143	84	24	15%	2.3	15.0%	8.8%	6.2%	2.5%	4.25	4.35	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		88	13	200	875	131	77	22	15%	2.3	15.0%	8.8%	6.2%	2.5%	4.25	4.35	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.71	19.5%	9.8%	3.0%	—	4.80	19.6%	9.7%	43	+0.09	—	—	—
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	84
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	80
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	80
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	79
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	79
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	78
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	78
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	78
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	78
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	78
Murphy Smith R 2016 · 3.54 FIP	28	SU	3.54	19.3%	9.3%	1.6%	.245	4.43	13.6%	6.8%	145	+0.89	3.16	300	78
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	78
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	77
Donovan Hand R 2013 · 4.72 FIP	27	SW	4.72	12.9%	7.0%	3.3%	.279	4.30	11.1%	6.8%	97	-0.42	4.30	305	77
Jhan Mariñez R 2017 · 3.97 FIP	28	SU	3.97	17.2%	8.8%	2.2%	.309	4.09	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.12	3.16	253	77
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	77
Jorge Campillo R 2007 · 4.84 FIP	28	SU	4.84	14.3%	9.5%	3.2%	.348	3.93	16.3%	10.8%	159	-0.91	3.93	172	77
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	77
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	44	19.5%	9.9%	1.18	4.73
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Chris Ray ('11)	1.4	47	19.1%	10.2%	1.12	4.10
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98