Jake Polancic

P Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 205 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2018	20	ROKMissoula Ospr…	18	21	5.23	3.68	24.2%	15.8%	—	K 16.5% · BB 19.7% · FIP 5.02
2024	26	A+MIL	14	13	9.24	8.63	18.5%	21.5%	—	K 14.2% · BB 24.8% · FIP 9.35
2027PROJ	29	MLBMIL	7	7	4.80	4.80	22.3%	12.1%	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	30	MLBMIL	6	6	4.85	4.93	22.1%	12.1%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJim Miller (age 30) · Wirfin Obispo (age 30) · Dustin Molleken (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.80

FIP4.80

K%22.3%

BB%12.1%

K-BB%10.2%

Proj IP7

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	6	4	11	50	6	1	2	67%	1.8	8.2%	2.5%	5.7%	5.6%	7.59	5.80	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	6	4	11	50	6	1	2	67%	1.8	12.0%	2.0%	10.0%	4.0%	7.59	4.69	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	13	5	46	230	54	24	4	38%	3.6	16.0%	13.0%	2.9%	2.4%	7.38	4.74	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	13	5	46	230	54	24	4	38%	3.6	23.5%	10.4%	13.0%	1.7%	7.38	3.45	—
2018	20	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	18	0	21	95	23	15	1	0%	1.1	16.5%	19.7%	-3.3%	1.5%	5.23	5.02	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	Missoula Osprey	18	0	21	95	23	15	1	0%	1.1	24.2%	15.8%	8.4%	1.1%	5.23	3.68	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	14	0	13	65	12	14	4	0%	0.9	14.2%	24.8%	-10.6%	7.9%	9.24	9.35	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	14	0	13	65	12	14	4	0%	0.9	14.2%	24.8%	-10.6%	7.9%	9.24	9.35	—
2024	26	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	14	0	13	65	12	14	4	0%	0.9	18.5%	21.5%	-3.1%	6.2%	9.24	8.63	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	MIL	7	0	7	30	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.3%	12.1%	10.2%	3.0%	4.80	4.80	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIL	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.1%	10.0%	3.2%	4.85	4.93	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIL	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	12.1%	10.0%	3.2%	4.85	4.93	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	12.1%	10.0%	3.2%	4.85	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	99	33	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.1%	10.0%	3.2%	4.85	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		51	9	90	440	66	66	15	18%	1.8	14.9%	15.0%	-0.1%	3.4%	7.17	5.60	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		113	20	200	974	145	146	33	18%	1.8	14.9%	15.0%	-0.1%	3.4%	7.17	5.60	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Polancic (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	22.3%	12.1%	3.0%	—	4.93	22.1%	10.0%	20	+0.13	—	—	—
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	79
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	79
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	78
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	77
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	77
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	76
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	76
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	75
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	75
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	74
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	74
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	74
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	74
Brian Sanches R 2008 · 4.74 FIP	29	SU	4.74	18.5%	9.3%	3.7%	.378	4.01	20.5%	10.8%	182	-0.73	3.39	229	73
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	73
Cody Hall R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	26.8%	10.0%	3.5%	.299	3.92	25.9%	8.4%	19	-0.11	3.51	134	73
Alex Powers R 2021 · 4.24 FIP	29	SU	4.24	25.0%	10.3%	3.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	264	71
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	160	70
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	70
Tucker Healy R 2018 · 5.20 FIP	28	SU	5.20	19.2%	10.5%	4.4%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	174	70