Indigo Diaz
P
Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 27
RHP
6'5" / 250 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 22 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133123vR 114
ERA5.04
FIP5.04
K%17.1%
BB%12.6%
K-BB%4.6%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Braves | 6 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 35.7% | 4.8% | 31.0% | 0.0% | 3.48 | 0.69 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Braves | 6 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 35.7% | 4.8% | 31.0% | 0.0% | 3.48 | 0.78 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 45 | 175 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 37.2% | 10.3% | 26.9% | 0.9% | 1.20 | 1.78 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 45 | 175 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 47.4% | 9.1% | 38.3% | 0.6% | 1.20 | 0.77 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 49 | 0 | 50 | 213 | 63 | 30 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 3.08 | 4.49 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 49 | 0 | 50 | 213 | 63 | 30 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.6% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 1.9% | 3.08 | 3.42 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 32 | 144 | 43 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.7% | 16.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 4.26 | 5.04 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 32 | 144 | 43 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.9% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.02 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 3 | 15 | 53 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 21% | 1.1 | 35.8% | 3.8% | 32.1% | 1.9% | 1.80 | 1.59 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 3 | 15 | 53 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 21% | 1.1 | 35.8% | 3.8% | 32.1% | 1.9% | 1.80 | 1.83 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 42 | 0 | 52 | 215 | 46 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.3% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 2.58 | 3.64 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 42 | 0 | 52 | 215 | 46 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 0.9% | 2.58 | 3.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 23 | 0 | 24 | 130 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.0% | 16.1% | -1.1% | 7.4% | 13.69 | 7.93 | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA | ARI | 23 | 0 | 24 | 130 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 14.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 13.69 | 6.77 | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | ARI | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 12.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 5.04 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 46 | 222 | 40 | 31 | 10 | — | — | 17.9% | 13.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 9.53 | 6.54 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 50 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 5.02 | 5.05 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 49 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 5.06 | 5.13 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 19 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 5.02 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 27 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 5.06 | 5.13 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 59 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 46 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 12.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 5.04 | 4.72 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 148 | 103 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 12.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 5.04 | 4.72 | -0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 189 | 3 | 228 | 972 | 241 | 123 | 25 | 2% | 1.2 | 24.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 2.6% | 3.80 | 4.03 | -1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 166 | 3 | 200 | 854 | 212 | 108 | 22 | 2% | 1.2 | 24.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 2.6% | 3.80 | 4.03 | -1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Indigo Diaz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.04 | 17.1% | 12.6% | 2.6% | — | 5.09 | 17.7% | 5.3% | 133 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2015 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .296 | 3.74 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.37 | 3.74 | 146 | 93 |
| Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 91 |
| Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 88 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 88 |
| Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 87 |
| Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 87 |
| Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 87 |
| David Goforth R 2016 · 4.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.74 | 14.5% | 12.8% | 2.3% | .333 | 4.50 | 13.9% | 4.6% | 122 | -0.24 | 3.92 | 256 | 87 |
| Tucker Healy R 2017 · 4.52 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.52 | 15.6% | 11.5% | 2.3% | .321 | 5.43 | 19.2% | 8.7% | 24 | +0.91 | 2.85 | 174 | 85 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 372 | 85 |
| Jose De La Torre R 2015 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 14.5% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .256 | 2.88 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 65 | -1.51 | 2.54 | 130 | 85 |
| Brad Schreiber R 2017 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 1.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 171 | 84 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2015 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.26 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .211 | 4.51 | 24.6% | 14.3% | 98 | +0.25 | 4.26 | 258 | 84 |
| Jake Dunning R 2016 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.13 | 14.2% | 11.4% | 1.4% | .300 | 4.55 | 13.9% | 2.8% | 15 | +0.42 | 4.13 | 120 | 84 |
| Confesor Lara R 2016 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 16.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 111 | 83 |
| Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.63 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.94 | 2.96 | 230 | 83 |
| Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 83 |
| Erik Davis R 2015 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.96 | 17.9% | 13.5% | 1.2% | .363 | 3.59 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 181 | -0.37 | 3.07 | 227 | 83 |
| Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 83 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2023 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.64 | 16.6% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .333 | 5.37 | 16.4% | 2.8% | 46 | +0.73 | 3.74 | 140 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 136 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | 162s | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 1.0 | 68 | 17.5% | 12.4% | 1.06 | 5.04 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 1.2 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| John Gant ('21) | 1.7 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 1.3 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 2.1 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 1.7 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Junior Guerra ('21) | 2.5 | 84 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 1.16 | 4.04 |