Indigo Diaz — OGILVIE

Indigo Diaz P Amarillo Sod Poodles

+0.2 WAR

Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 250 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2026

ERA4.42

FIP4.42

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.1%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%10.8%

IP49

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2026

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†4550

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2019	20	ROK	GCL Braves	6	0	10	42	15	2	0	—	—	—	3.48	—	—
2021	22	AA	Mississippi Braves	32	0	45	175	83	16	1	37.2%	10.3%	0.9%	1.20	1.74	+1.6
2022	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	49	0	50	213	63	30	4	24.0%	15.5%	2.4%	3.08	4.36	+0.3
2023	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	23	0	32	144	43	21	4	23.7%	16.2%	3.5%	4.26	5.05	-0.0
2024	25	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	14	3	15	53	19	2	1	—	—	—	1.80	—	—
2025	26	AA	Somerset Patriots	42	0	52	215	46	22	2	17.3%	11.3%	1.1%	2.58	3.66	+0.8
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	3	0	4	28	4	5	0	—	—	—	24.75	—	—
ROS	27	MLB	ARI	49	—	49	209	42	24	5	19.9%	11.4%	2.6%	4.66	4.66	+0.2
2026 Total	27	MLB	ARI	—	—	53	237	46	29	5	19.2%	12.1%	2.3%	6.16	4.31	+0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	28	MLB	ARI	49	—	49	206	42	23	5	20.2%	11.2%	2.7%	4.64	4.65	+0.2
2028	29	MLB	ARI	48	—	48	201	41	22	5	20.3%	11.1%	2.7%	4.65	4.67	+0.2
2029	30	MLB	ARI	46	—	46	195	40	22	5	20.3%	11.1%	2.8%	4.68	4.72	+0.1
2030	31	MLB	ARI	45	—	45	188	38	21	5	20.1%	11.2%	2.9%	4.73	4.78	+0.1
2031	32	MLB	ARI	43	—	43	181	36	21	5	19.8%	11.3%	3.0%	4.81	4.87	+0.0
2032	33	MLB	ARI	41	—	41	173	34	20	5	19.5%	11.5%	3.0%	4.90	4.97	-0.0
2033	34	MLB	ARI	39	—	39	164	31	19	5	19.2%	11.7%	3.1%	5.01	5.08	-0.1
2034	35	MLB	ARI	37	—	37	155	29	19	5	18.8%	12.0%	3.3%	5.12	5.20	-0.1
2035	36	MLB	ARI	34	—	34	145	27	18	5	18.4%	12.2%	3.4%	5.25	5.33	-0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			169	3	208	870	225	108	15	25.9%	12.4%	1.7%	3.07	3.42	+4.4
/ 200 IP	—			162	3	200	837	216	104	14	25.9%	12.4%	1.7%	3.07	3.42	+4.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Indigo Diaz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	19.9%	11.4%	2.6%	—	4.68	20.3%	9.1%	142	+0.02	—	—	—
Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.30 FIP	27	SU	4.30	20.4%	12.1%	2.5%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	113	88
Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.60 FIP	27	SU	3.60	18.8%	11.2%	1.2%	.328	3.47	20.6%	11.3%	170	-0.13	3.16	254	88
Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP	28	SU	4.85	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.87	18.2%	10.2%	272	-0.98	3.45	315	88
Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.57 FIP	27	SU	4.57	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.08	3.70	187	87
Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.16 FIP	27	SU	5.16	21.1%	13.8%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.84	153	85
Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	17.6%	11.2%	2.8%	.309	5.45	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.87	3.47	160	85
Michael Blazek R 2026 · 4.97 FIP	27	SU	4.97	17.9%	11.9%	3.4%	.336	4.43	17.5%	8.0%	124	-0.54	3.06	221	84
Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.83 FIP	30	SU	4.83	18.6%	12.2%	3.2%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.52	1.30	218	84
Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.38 FIP	28	SW	4.38	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.82	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.44	4.38	101	84
Jonathan Aro R 2026 · 3.96 FIP	27	SU	3.96	17.3%	10.9%	1.7%	.280	3.30	12.7%	9.3%	64	-0.66	2.57	323	84
Bayden Root R 2025 · 3.81 FIP	26	SU	3.81	16.6%	9.8%	1.6%	.257	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	102	84
Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.34 FIP	27	SU	4.34	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.29	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.05	4.00	138	84
Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.53 FIP	27	SU	3.53	18.4%	10.1%	1.3%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.96	114	84
Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 4.29 FIP	27	SW	4.29	18.0%	12.5%	2.1%	.296	3.94	19.2%	8.3%	54	-0.35	3.68	146	83
Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	16.9%	7.7%	2.0%	.288	3.35	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.40	3.08	201	83
Grant Black R 2026 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.46	15.2%	3.1%	156	+1.00	4.46	215	83
Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.78 FIP	28	SW	4.78	16.5%	9.9%	3.3%	.297	3.85	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.93	3.85	102	83
Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.26 FIP	27	SW	4.26	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.69	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.57	2.69	125	83
Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.72 FIP	28	SW	3.72	20.2%	9.8%	2.0%	.333	4.05	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.70	147	83
Matt Wivinis R 2025 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	19.5%	12.2%	1.5%	.262	5.90	14.5%	6.2%	17	+2.07	1.61	124	83

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.