Indigo Diaz — OGILVIE

Indigo Diaz P Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 250 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.04

FIP5.04

K%17.1%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%4.6%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	6	0	10	42	15	2	0	0%	1.7	35.7%	4.8%	31.0%	0.0%	3.48	0.69	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Braves	6	0	10	42	15	2	0	0%	1.7	35.7%	4.8%	31.0%	0.0%	3.48	0.78	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	45	175	83	16	1	0%	1.4	37.2%	10.3%	26.9%	0.8%	1.20	1.70	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	45	175	83	16	1	0%	1.4	47.4%	9.1%	38.3%	0.6%	1.20	0.77	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	49	0	50	213	63	30	4	0%	1.0	24.0%	15.5%	8.5%	2.4%	3.08	4.37	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	49	0	50	213	63	30	4	0%	1.0	29.6%	14.1%	15.5%	1.9%	3.08	3.42	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	32	144	43	21	4	0%	1.4	23.7%	16.2%	7.5%	3.5%	4.26	5.05	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	32	144	43	21	4	0%	1.4	23.7%	16.2%	7.5%	3.5%	4.26	5.05	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	32	144	43	21	4	0%	1.4	29.9%	14.6%	15.3%	2.8%	4.26	4.02	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	3	15	53	19	2	1	21%	1.1	35.8%	3.8%	32.1%	1.9%	1.80	1.59	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	3	15	53	19	2	1	21%	1.1	35.8%	3.8%	32.1%	1.9%	1.80	1.59	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	3	15	53	19	2	1	21%	1.1	35.8%	3.8%	32.1%	1.9%	1.80	1.83	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	42	0	52	215	46	22	2	0%	1.2	17.3%	11.3%	6.1%	1.1%	2.58	3.66	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	42	0	52	215	46	22	2	0%	1.2	17.3%	11.3%	6.1%	1.1%	2.58	3.66	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	42	0	52	215	46	22	2	0%	1.2	21.4%	10.2%	11.2%	0.9%	2.58	3.10	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	23	0	24	130	24	19	8	0%	1.0	15.0%	16.1%	-1.1%	7.4%	13.69	7.93	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	23	0	24	130	24	19	8	0%	1.0	15.0%	16.1%	-1.1%	7.4%	13.69	7.93	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	ARI	23	0	24	130	24	19	8	0%	1.0	18.5%	14.6%	3.8%	6.2%	13.69	6.77	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	ARI	6	0	6	25	4	3	1	0%	1.0	17.1%	12.6%	4.6%	2.6%	5.04	5.04	-0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	ARI	—	—	30	155	28	22	9	—	—	18.2%	14.3%	4.0%	5.6%	11.98	7.35	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	ARI	65	0	68	287	50	35	8	0%	1.0	17.6%	12.4%	5.2%	2.7%	5.02	5.06	-0.4
2028	29	MLB MLE	ARI	62	0	65	274	49	34	8	0%	1.0	17.8%	12.4%	5.5%	2.9%	5.06	5.13	-0.4
2027	28	MLB CTX	ARI	25	0	26	110	19	14	3	0%	1.0	17.6%	12.4%	5.2%	2.7%	5.02	5.06	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	ARI	34	0	36	152	27	19	4	0%	1.1	17.8%	12.4%	5.5%	2.9%	5.06	5.13	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	261	46	32	7	0%	1.0	17.7%	12.4%	5.4%	2.8%	5.04	4.72	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	149	104	23	0%	1.1	17.7%	12.4%	5.4%	2.8%	5.04	4.72	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		189	3	228	972	241	123	24	2%	1.2	24.8%	12.7%	12.1%	2.5%	3.80	4.00	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		166	3	200	854	212	108	21	2%	1.2	24.8%	12.7%	12.1%	2.5%	3.80	4.00	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Indigo Diaz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	17.1%	12.6%	2.6%	—	5.09	17.7%	5.3%	133	+0.05	—	—	—
Gonzalez Germen R 2015 · 4.24 FIP	27	SU	4.24	18.0%	12.5%	1.9%	.296	3.88	19.2%	8.3%	54	-0.36	3.70	146	94
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	90
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	88
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	88
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	87
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	87
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	87
David Goforth R 2016 · 4.68 FIP	27	SU	4.68	14.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.333	4.52	13.9%	4.6%	122	-0.16	3.98	256	86
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	85
Brad Schreiber R 2017 · 4.23 FIP	26	SU	4.23	17.3%	12.7%	1.8%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	171	85
Jose De La Torre R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	29	SU	4.40	14.5%	13.1%	1.6%	.256	2.98	21.6%	14.2%	65	-1.42	2.64	130	85
Tucker Healy R 2017 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	15.6%	11.5%	2.0%	.321	5.20	19.2%	8.7%	24	+0.87	2.82	174	84
Jake Dunning R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	27	SU	4.19	14.2%	11.4%	1.5%	.300	4.71	13.9%	2.8%	15	+0.52	4.19	120	84
J.J. Hoover R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	27	SU	4.22	19.7%	11.4%	2.5%	.211	4.46	24.6%	14.3%	98	+0.24	4.22	258	84
Confesor Lara R 2016 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	16.4%	11.0%	2.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	111	83
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	83
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	83
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	83
Tyler Mizenko R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	26	SU	5.15	13.3%	10.2%	3.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	104	83
Erik Davis R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	28	SU	3.95	17.9%	13.5%	1.2%	.363	3.64	21.1%	11.3%	181	-0.31	3.05	227	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	17.5%	12.4%	1.06	5.04
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04