Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 1 | 22 | 105 | 27 | 18 | 0 | 7% | 1.4 | 16.8% | 22.8% | -6.0% | 0.0% | 4.98 | 4.57 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 1 | 22 | 105 | 27 | 18 | 0 | 7% | 1.4 | 25.7% | 17.1% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 4.98 | 3.10 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 74 | 295 | 89 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 1.0% | 2.32 | 2.97 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 74 | 295 | 89 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 30.2% | 8.1% | 22.0% | 0.7% | 2.32 | 2.01 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 47 | 0 | 49 | 219 | 57 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 2.4% | 2.19 | 3.89 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 47 | 0 | 49 | 219 | 57 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 9.1% | 16.9% | 1.4% | 2.19 | 2.80 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 8 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 15.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 3.31 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 8 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 15.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 3.32 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 50 | 210 | 59 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 0.8% | 1.97 | 3.04 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 50 | 210 | 59 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.1% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 0.5% | 1.97 | 2.33 | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 32 | 2 | 37 | 155 | 49 | 21 | 4 | 6% | 1.1 | 27.8% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 4.13 | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 32 | 2 | 37 | 155 | 49 | 21 | 4 | 6% | 1.1 | 31.6% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 2.6% | 4.91 | 3.56 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 61 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 1.3% | 2.82 | 3.39 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 61 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.5% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 1.3% | 2.82 | 3.12 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 0 | 22 | 99 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.7% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | 5.40 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 0 | 22 | 99 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.3% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 3.0% | 5.40 | 4.07 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 3.3% | 4.53 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 3.3% | 4.53 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 15 | 0 | 16 | 66 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.0% | 8.3% | 20.7% | 3.3% | 2.55 | 3.50 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 0 | 200 | 815 | 236 | 62 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.0% | 8.3% | 20.7% | 3.3% | 2.55 | 3.50 | +4.4 | ||
| Career | — | 251 | 3 | 317 | 1353 | 312 | 170 | 21 | 1% | 1.3 | 23.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 1.5% | 3.13 | 3.60 | +6.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 159 | 2 | 200 | 855 | 197 | 107 | 13 | 1% | 1.3 | 23.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 1.5% | 3.13 | 3.60 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Cyr (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 23.7% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.66 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 20 | +0.30 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 90 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 85 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 83 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 81 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 81 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 80 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 79 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 77 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.77 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | .286 | 3.18 | 23.7% | 17.9% | 150 | -1.59 | 2.27 | 426 | 77 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.44 | 24.8% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .356 | 4.68 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 66 | +1.24 | 2.73 | 410 | 77 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 76 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2024 · 3.86 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.86 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 137 | 76 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 76 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 316 | 76 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 75 |
| Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 6.10 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +2.04 | 2.54 | 157 | 75 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 75 |
| Josh Lueke R 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 75 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.77 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 1.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 272 | 74 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 74 |