Sean Poppen

P Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 33 RHP 6'3" / 210 lbs AA

Overview

AARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	29	AAASD	47	1	58	6.33	3.56	17.6%	10.3%	—	K 15.1% · BB 9.3% · FIP 3.60
2024	30	AAASEA	2	0	3	10.80	9.70	31.2%	12.5%	—	K 31.2% · BB 12.5% · FIP 8.91
2025	31	MIX2 levels	22	1	30	5.34	3.76	26.2%	13.1%	—	K 20.2% · BB 14.1% · FIP 4.55
2027PROJ	33	MLBLAA	51	0	54	4.99	4.99	20.2%	12.5%	-0.3
2028PROJ0% MLB	34	MLBLAA	—	—	0	5.11	5.23	19.6%	12.7%	—
2029PROJ0% MLB	35	MLBLAA	—	—	0	5.32	5.50	18.9%	13.0%	—

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2022

xwOBA vs67

FB Velo52

K%23

Whiff%10

CompsRudy Gonzalez (age 34) · Angel Sánchez (age 33) · Ivan Maldonado (age 35)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%20.2%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%7.7%

Proj IP54

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5294.7

Whiff%

p1016.0%

p2318.3%

xwOBA vs

p670.295

FB+1.7

CH-1.1

SL-3.5

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	11	53	230	57	24	3	92%	4.4	17.3%	12.9%	4.5%	1.7%	2.70	4.18	—
2016	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	11	53	230	57	24	3	92%	4.4	24.8%	10.4%	14.3%	1.3%	2.70	3.04	—
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	139	585	122	25	5	100%	5.6	15.6%	5.0%	10.6%	1.1%	3.17	3.03	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	139	585	122	25	5	100%	5.6	20.9%	4.3%	16.6%	0.9%	3.17	2.35	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	20	128	528	123	38	14	77%	4.9	18.5%	8.0%	10.5%	3.2%	3.45	4.32	—
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	20	128	528	123	38	14	77%	4.9	23.3%	7.2%	16.1%	2.7%	3.45	3.49	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	16	98	433	116	49	5	67%	4.1	23.0%	11.9%	11.2%	1.2%	4.32	3.29	+1.9
2019	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	16	98	433	116	49	5	67%	4.1	26.8%	11.3%	15.5%	1.2%	4.32	2.90	+2.4
2020	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	6	0	8	35	10	4	0	0%	1.3	28.6%	11.4%	17.1%	0.0%	4.70	2.13	+0.2
2020	26	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	6	0	8	35	10	4	0	0%	1.3	28.6%	11.4%	17.1%	0.0%	4.70	2.06	+0.2
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	57	249	63	20	4	0%	1.2	23.5%	8.3%	15.2%	1.8%	3.30	3.14	+1.0
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	57	249	63	20	4	0%	1.2	25.3%	8.0%	17.3%	1.6%	3.30	2.86	+1.2
2022	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	54	232	41	15	6	0%	1.1	16.7%	6.6%	10.1%	2.8%	4.50	4.05	+0.3
2022	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	54	232	41	15	6	0%	1.1	17.7%	6.5%	11.2%	2.6%	4.50	3.86	+0.4
2023	29	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	47	1	58	290	51	30	3	2%	1.2	15.1%	9.3%	5.8%	1.1%	6.33	3.60	—
2023	29	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	47	1	58	290	51	30	3	2%	1.2	17.6%	10.3%	7.2%	1.0%	6.33	3.56	—
2024	30	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	2	0	3	16	5	2	2	0%	1.7	31.2%	12.5%	18.8%	12.5%	10.80	8.91	—
2024	30	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	2	0	3	16	5	2	2	0%	1.7	31.2%	12.5%	18.8%	12.5%	10.80	8.91	—
2024	30	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	2	0	3	16	5	2	2	0%	1.7	31.2%	12.5%	18.8%	12.5%	10.80	9.70	—
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	30	145	38	19	3	5%	1.4	20.2%	14.1%	6.1%	2.5%	5.34	4.55	—
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	30	145	38	19	3	5%	1.4	20.2%	14.1%	6.1%	2.5%	5.34	4.55	—
2025	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	1	30	145	38	19	3	5%	1.4	26.2%	13.1%	13.1%	2.1%	5.34	3.76	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			63	0	67	301	67	25	8	0%	1.1	22.3%	8.3%	14.0%	2.7%	5.08	3.77	+0.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	LAA	51	0	54	228	46	28	7	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.5%	7.7%	3.0%	4.99	4.99	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	LAA	46	0	49	206	40	26	7	0%	1.1	19.6%	12.7%	7.0%	3.3%	5.11	5.23	-0.4
2029	35	MLB MLE	LAA	42	0	44	185	35	24	7	0%	1.0	18.9%	13.0%	6.0%	3.6%	5.32	5.50	-0.4
2028	34	MLB CTX	LAA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.6%	12.7%	7.0%	3.3%	5.11	5.23	—
2029	35	MLB CTX	LAA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.9%	13.0%	6.0%	3.6%	5.32	5.50	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		63	0	67	301	67	25	8	0%	1.1	22.3%	8.3%	14.0%	2.7%	5.08	3.73	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		187	0	200	894	199	74	24	0%	1.1	22.3%	8.3%	14.0%	2.7%	5.08	3.73	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		262	74	629	2743	515	242	52	28%	2.4	18.8%	8.8%	9.9%	1.9%	3.95	3.68	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	24	200	872	164	77	17	28%	2.4	18.8%	8.8%	9.9%	1.9%	3.95	3.68	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sean Poppen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	20.2%	12.5%	3.0%	—	5.36	19.3%	6.5%	92	+0.37	—	—	—
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	72
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	71
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	71
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	69
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	68
Marco Quevedo R 2019 · 5.17 FIP	32	SP-	5.17	13.6%	11.4%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	300	67
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	67
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	65
Jhan Mariñez R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	33	SU	5.36	17.4%	11.4%	4.2%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	65
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	64
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	64
JC Ramírez R 2022 · 6.17 FIP	33	SU	6.17	15.7%	14.0%	4.8%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	393	63
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	62
Angel Castro R 2016 · 5.42 FIP	33	SW	5.42	12.3%	9.1%	4.0%	.304	3.51	14.5%	7.1%	139	-1.91	3.51	292	62
Mike Fyhrie R 2002 · 3.86 FIP	32	SW	3.86	13.7%	9.0%	1.4%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	173	62
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2017 · 5.96 FIP	32	SW	5.96	10.0%	13.0%	3.8%	.316	4.50	21.3%	16.2%	15	-1.46	3.39	212	61
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	61
Jake Sanchez R 2023 · 4.70 FIP	33	SU	4.70	20.3%	10.6%	3.6%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	1.86	361	61
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	2.16	306	61
Leo Rosales R 2015 · 3.99 FIP	34	SU	3.99	18.1%	10.8%	1.9%	.261	4.24	7.8%	-0.4%	22	+0.25	3.85	130	61

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	43	20.5%	11.8%	1.19	5.11
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12