Kyle Wilcox

P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 33 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	28	MIX2 levels	17	1	17	2.16	4.42	32.4%	25.7%	—	K 25.1% · BB 26.6% · FIP 5.57
2023	29	MIX2 levels	48	0	55	2.62	2.81	31.7%	15.0%	—	K 25.9% · BB 15.4% · FIP 3.60
2024	30	AAACOL	16	0	26	9.12	6.22	22.6%	18.8%	—	K 19.4% · BB 16.9% · FIP 5.68
2027PROJ	33	MLBCOL	13	0	14	4.77	4.77	21.9%	11.7%	-0.0
2028PROJ6% MLB	34	MLBCOL	1	0	1	4.89	5.00	21.5%	11.9%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsArcenio Leon (age 32) · Jose Manuel Lopez (age 32) · Leo Rosales (age 34)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.77

FIP4.77

K%21.9%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%10.2%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	36	9	76	365	80	68	2	25%	2.1	16.2%	22.0%	-5.8%	0.7%	7.11	4.92	—
2016	22	A RAW	Clinton LumberKings	36	9	76	365	80	68	2	25%	2.1	21.9%	18.6%	3.3%	0.5%	7.11	4.02	—
2017	23	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	21	0	33	147	52	21	4	0%	1.6	26.2%	16.9%	9.3%	3.8%	3.78	5.11	—
2017	23	A RAW	Clinton LumberKings	21	0	33	147	52	21	4	0%	1.6	35.4%	14.3%	21.1%	2.7%	3.78	3.43	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	59	248	94	29	4	0%	1.6	29.7%	12.2%	17.4%	1.2%	3.38	2.78	—
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	59	248	94	29	4	0%	1.6	37.9%	11.7%	26.2%	1.6%	3.38	2.26	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	62	277	91	48	4	0%	1.3	25.1%	21.2%	4.0%	2.7%	3.21	5.16	—
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	62	277	91	48	4	0%	1.3	32.9%	17.3%	15.5%	1.4%	3.21	3.33	—
2022	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	1	17	74	24	19	1	6%	1.0	25.1%	26.6%	-1.4%	2.2%	2.16	5.57	—
2022	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	1	17	74	24	19	1	6%	1.0	32.4%	25.7%	6.8%	1.4%	2.16	4.42	—
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	55	227	72	34	2	0%	1.1	25.9%	15.4%	10.4%	1.3%	2.62	3.60	—
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	55	227	72	34	2	0%	1.1	31.7%	15.0%	16.7%	0.9%	2.62	2.81	—
2024	30	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	16	0	26	133	30	25	5	0%	1.6	19.4%	16.9%	2.5%	3.8%	9.12	5.68	—
2024	30	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	16	0	26	133	30	25	5	0%	1.6	19.4%	16.9%	2.5%	3.8%	9.12	5.68	—
2024	30	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	16	0	26	133	30	25	5	0%	1.6	22.6%	18.8%	3.8%	3.8%	9.12	6.22	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	COL	13	0	14	59	13	7	2	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.7%	10.2%	3.0%	4.77	4.77	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	COL	19	0	20	84	18	10	3	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.9%	9.6%	3.3%	4.89	5.00	-0.1
2028	34	MLB CTX	COL	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	21.5%	11.9%	9.6%	3.3%	4.89	5.00	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	0	1	5	1	1	0	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.9%	9.6%	3.3%	4.89	4.62	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	182	0	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.9%	9.6%	3.3%	4.89	4.62	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		221	10	327	1471	344	271	28	5%	1.5	23.4%	18.4%	5.0%	1.9%	4.51	4.52	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		135	6	200	900	210	166	17	5%	1.5	23.4%	18.4%	5.0%	1.9%	4.51	4.52	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kyle Wilcox (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.77	21.9%	11.7%	3.0%	—	5.00	21.5%	9.6%	20	+0.23	—	—	—
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	81
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	81
Leo Rosales R 2015 · 3.99 FIP	34	SU	3.99	18.1%	10.8%	1.9%	.261	4.24	7.8%	-0.4%	22	+0.25	3.85	130	79
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	77
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	77
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	75
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	75
Jim Henderson R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	33	SU	4.55	25.8%	9.0%	4.5%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	1.86	167	74
Ryan Brasier R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	33	SU	4.85	18.0%	8.0%	4.1%	.286	3.16	23.7%	17.9%	150	-1.69	2.31	426	73
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	73
Jason Bulger R 2010 · 4.36 FIP	31	SU	4.36	22.5%	13.5%	2.6%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	106	73
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	73
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	2.16	306	72
Mike James R 2001 · 4.52 FIP	33	SU	4.52	15.0%	8.7%	2.9%	.299	4.84	19.6%	9.8%	11	+0.32	2.87	314	71
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	287	71
Jake Sanchez R 2023 · 4.70 FIP	33	SU	4.70	20.3%	10.6%	3.6%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	1.86	361	71
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	71
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	70
Jhan Mariñez R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	33	SU	5.36	17.4%	11.4%	4.2%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	70
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	70