Jake Higginbotham

P St. Paul Saints

Age 31 LHP 6'0" / 190 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	28	AADET	41	2	62	4.33	3.26	29.4%	4.5%	—	K 23.8% · BB 5.0% · FIP 4.36
2025	29	MIX2 levels	47	0	65	4.71	2.76	26.7%	9.5%	—	K 22.0% · BB 9.3% · FIP 3.28
2026	30	MIX2 levels	14	0	18	8.66	7.12	25.6%	9.3%	—	K 21.1% · BB 8.9% · FIP 8.37
2027PROJ	31	MLBMIN	52	0	55	4.38	4.38	22.8%	6.9%	0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	32	MLBMIN	18	0	19	4.51	4.60	22.4%	7.6%	-0.0
2029PROJ55% MLB	33	MLBMIN	25	0	26	4.69	4.83	21.9%	8.1%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff60Control55Command65

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJeremy Bleich (age 31) · Raul Valdes (age 32) · Colt Hynes (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100108vR 116

ERA4.38

FIP4.38

K%22.8%

BB%6.9%

K-BB%15.8%

Proj IP55

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL5555

CMD6565

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	13	0	34	142	36	12	4	0%	2.6	17.2%	10.6%	6.7%	3.9%	2.65	5.15	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	Danville Braves	13	0	34	142	36	12	4	0%	2.6	25.4%	8.5%	16.9%	2.8%	2.65	3.57	—
2019	23	A MLE	Rome Braves	33	0	59	248	63	26	5	0%	1.8	18.8%	12.4%	6.4%	3.1%	3.07	4.77	—
2019	23	A RAW	Rome Braves	33	0	59	248	63	26	5	0%	1.8	25.4%	10.5%	14.9%	2.0%	3.07	3.39	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	9	0	11	36	16	2	0	0%	1.3	44.4%	5.6%	38.9%	0.0%	0.00	0.05	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	9	0	11	36	16	2	0	0%	1.3	44.4%	5.6%	38.9%	0.0%	0.00	0.81	—
2022	26	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	48	0	51	226	48	18	5	0%	1.1	17.2%	8.8%	8.4%	2.9%	4.73	4.33	—
2022	26	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	48	0	51	226	48	18	5	0%	1.1	21.2%	8.0%	13.3%	2.2%	4.73	3.55	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	1	58	247	53	24	4	3%	1.5	16.6%	10.8%	5.8%	2.0%	2.97	4.17	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	39	1	58	247	53	24	4	3%	1.5	21.5%	9.7%	11.7%	1.6%	2.97	3.41	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	41	2	62	265	78	12	10	5%	1.5	23.8%	5.0%	18.9%	4.8%	4.33	4.36	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	41	2	62	265	78	12	10	5%	1.5	23.8%	5.0%	18.9%	4.8%	4.33	4.36	—
2024	28	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	41	2	62	265	78	12	10	5%	1.5	29.4%	4.5%	24.9%	3.8%	4.33	3.26	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	65	296	79	28	4	0%	1.4	22.0%	9.3%	12.7%	1.6%	4.71	3.28	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	65	296	79	28	4	0%	1.4	22.0%	9.3%	12.7%	1.6%	4.71	3.28	—
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	65	296	79	28	4	0%	1.4	26.7%	9.5%	17.2%	1.4%	4.71	2.76	—
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	18	86	22	8	7	0%	1.3	21.1%	8.9%	12.3%	10.8%	8.66	8.37	—
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	18	86	22	8	7	0%	1.3	21.1%	8.9%	12.3%	10.8%	8.66	8.37	—
2026	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	18	86	22	8	7	0%	1.3	25.6%	9.3%	16.3%	8.1%	8.66	7.12	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	MIN	52	0	55	232	53	16	8	0%	1.1	22.8%	6.9%	15.8%	3.5%	4.38	4.38	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	MIN	49	0	51	216	48	16	8	0%	1.0	22.4%	7.6%	14.8%	3.7%	4.51	4.60	-0.0
2029	33	MLB MLE	MIN	45	0	47	198	44	16	8	0%	1.0	21.9%	8.1%	13.8%	4.0%	4.69	4.83	-0.2
2030	34	MLB MLE	MIN	41	0	43	181	39	16	8	0%	1.0	21.5%	8.7%	12.8%	4.2%	4.91	5.08	-0.3
2028	32	MLB CTX	MIN	18	0	19	80	18	6	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	7.6%	14.8%	3.7%	4.51	4.60	-0.0
2029	33	MLB CTX	MIN	25	0	26	110	24	9	4	0%	1.0	21.9%	8.1%	13.8%	4.0%	4.69	4.83	-0.1
2030	34	MLB CTX	MIN	21	0	22	93	20	8	4	0%	1.0	21.5%	8.7%	12.8%	4.2%	4.91	5.08	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		63	0	66	280	61	23	11	0%	1.1	21.9%	8.2%	13.8%	4.0%	4.71	4.46	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	69	33	0%	1.0	21.9%	8.2%	13.8%	4.0%	4.71	4.46	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		244	3	358	1546	313	142	51	1%	1.5	20.3%	9.2%	11.1%	3.3%	3.95	4.38	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	2	200	864	175	80	29	1%	1.5	20.3%	9.2%	11.1%	3.3%	3.95	4.38	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Higginbotham (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.38	22.8%	6.9%	3.5%	—	4.82	22.0%	13.9%	141	+0.44	—	—	—
Jeremy Bleich L 2018 · 3.69 FIP	31	SU	3.69	20.3%	6.6%	2.7%	.296	4.41	20.1%	13.1%	33	+0.72	3.20	241	85
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	84
Colt Hynes L 2016 · 3.55 FIP	31	SU	3.55	22.3%	4.8%	3.1%	.353	3.75	14.1%	9.5%	56	+0.20	3.42	169	82
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	77
Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 3.63 FIP	28	SU	3.63	26.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	4.25	23.9%	12.6%	140	+0.62	3.63	203	77
Nick Hagadone L 2017 · 3.74 FIP	31	SU	3.74	22.6%	9.3%	2.5%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	141	76
Brian Moran L 2019 · 3.40 FIP	30	SU	3.40	26.9%	10.0%	2.4%	.269	2.99	25.5%	18.5%	99	-0.41	1.80	421	76
Randy Flores L 2006 · 4.00 FIP	31	SU	4.00	20.4%	9.7%	2.5%	.333	3.30	18.1%	10.5%	93	-0.70	2.51	250	75
Pedro Feliciano L 2008 · 3.90 FIP	31	SU	3.90	21.1%	7.6%	2.9%	.309	3.02	22.1%	14.9%	122	-0.88	2.69	378	74
Cory Luebke L 2016 · 3.88 FIP	31	SU	3.88	26.4%	9.1%	3.4%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	216	73
Edward Paredes L 2018 · 3.81 FIP	31	SU	3.81	22.7%	11.9%	2.0%	.351	5.10	21.5%	14.2%	18	+1.29	2.36	130	73
George Sherrill L 2008 · 3.86 FIP	31	SU	3.86	24.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.277	3.38	20.6%	12.4%	141	-0.48	2.74	323	73
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	72
Buddy Boshers L 2019 · 3.73 FIP	31	SU	3.73	25.3%	10.4%	2.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.76	239	71
Brian Fuentes L 2007 · 3.68 FIP	31	SU	3.68	22.0%	9.0%	2.4%	.235	3.19	25.4%	16.4%	166	-0.49	2.08	602	69
Josh Edgin L 2018 · 3.63 FIP	31	SU	3.63	29.2%	9.2%	3.3%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	195	68
Ryan Buchter L 2018 · 3.54 FIP	31	SU	3.54	25.2%	8.6%	2.7%	.269	4.95	24.3%	12.6%	78	+1.41	2.37	296	68
Tommy Layne L 2016 · 3.43 FIP	31	SU	3.43	20.3%	9.6%	1.5%	.266	4.25	19.4%	10.0%	90	+0.82	0.55	218	67
Kraig Sitton L 2017 · 3.87 FIP	29	SU	3.87	14.7%	6.1%	2.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	166	66
Damaso Marte L 2006 · 3.33 FIP	31	SU	3.33	24.7%	9.8%	2.0%	.284	3.05	26.2%	17.3%	124	-0.28	2.41	495	66

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	49	22.2%	7.8%	1.48	4.60
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Michael Tonkin ('25)	1.6	55	23.2%	8.1%	1.28	4.23
Julio Navarro ('62-'70, 1 WAR*)	1.1	53	21.7%*	7.8%*	1.55*	4.13*
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.3	53	23.0%	8.3%	1.61	5.21
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*
Pete Ladd ('79-'86, 0 WAR*)	1.4	72	24.6%*	7.8%*	1.53*	4.42*