Nick Duron
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 30
RHP
6'4" / 190 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 9 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.46
FIP4.46
K%23.1%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%12.7%
ROS IP9
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | 14 | 0 | 26 | 107 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 1.3% | 1.71 | 3.06 | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | 14 | 0 | 26 | 107 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 26.2% | 4.7% | 21.5% | 0.9% | 1.71 | 2.04 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 6 | 29 | 139 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 60% | 2.9 | 14.0% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.53 | 5.79 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 6 | 29 | 139 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 60% | 2.9 | 17.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 7.53 | 4.29 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | 25 | 0 | 36 | 156 | 51 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.2% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 1.5% | 2.23 | 3.29 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | 25 | 0 | 36 | 156 | 51 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 32.7% | 10.3% | 22.4% | 0.6% | 2.23 | 1.97 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 42 | 179 | 43 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 13.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.50 | 5.53 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 42 | 179 | 43 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 4.50 | 4.55 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 50 | 217 | 64 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.0% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 1.4% | 2.72 | 3.13 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 50 | 217 | 64 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.5% | 10.6% | 18.9% | 1.4% | 2.72 | 2.70 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 14 | 0 | 16 | 84 | 17 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 26.2% | -8.4% | 1.2% | 7.47 | 5.57 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 14 | 0 | 16 | 84 | 17 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 25.0% | -4.8% | 1.2% | 7.47 | 5.78 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | SD | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SD | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.57 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SD | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.57 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.02 | 3.89 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 192 | 0 | 200 | 839 | 192 | 72 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.02 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 154 | 6 | 199 | 882 | 185 | 108 | 23 | 4% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 3.94 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 155 | 6 | 200 | 888 | 186 | 109 | 23 | 4% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 3.94 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Duron (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.65 | 22.7% | 12.1% | 20 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 82 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 79 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 77 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 76 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 76 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 76 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 74 |
| Oliver Drake R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.54 | 24.7% | 9.2% | 2.5% | .356 | 3.18 | 30.1% | 22.1% | 127 | -0.36 | 2.25 | 317 | 73 |
| Chris Martin R 2025 · 3.28 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.28 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .319 | 3.06 | 20.9% | 19.2% | 42 | -0.22 | 1.76 | 416 | 73 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 73 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 73 |
| Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .288 | 4.75 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.99 | 2.71 | 392 | 73 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.18 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .349 | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.74 | 3.07 | 227 | 72 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 72 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.61 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .338 | 3.71 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 75 | -0.90 | 3.62 | 164 | 72 |
| Blake Parker R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 28.1% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .269 | 3.84 | 28.4% | 21.3% | 195 | +0.48 | 2.61 | 339 | 71 |
| Logan Kensing R 2029 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 71 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 71 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 71 |
| Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 71 |