Tyler Stephenson
C Cincinnati Reds
Age 30
R/R
6'3" / 225 lbs
MLB
HR +16%BB +6%
Svc 5.326 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-3FA 2028
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | MLBCIN | 515 | .258/.339/.444 | 19 | 1 | 115 | 3.9 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLBCIN | 342 | .231/.320/.421 | 13 | 0 | 101 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLBCIN | 468 | .241/.326/.404 | 15 | 0 | 100 | 1.8 |
| 2027PROJ | 30 | MLBCIN | 443 | .241/.325/.429 | 17 | 1 | 108 | 1.8 |
| 2028PROJ | 31 | MLBCIN | 415 | .237/.320/.418 | 15 | 1 | 104 | 1.2 |
| 2029PROJ | 32 | MLBCIN | 384 | .230/.313/.402 | 14 | 1 | 98 | 0.7 |
Last 3 seasons WAR 7.5 · Next 3 projected WAR 3.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service5.326First FA2028
2027Arb-3$9M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Whiff%90
Chase%90
Barrel%73
Avg EV70
xwOBA62
Bat Spd48
Form.233/.313/.406 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .238/.320/.417
CompsMichael McKenry (age 30) · Tom Murphy (age 31) · Welington Castillo (age 30)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 112108vR 97
AVG/OBP/SLG.241 / .325 / .429
PA443
HR17
K%27
BB%10
BABIP302
ISO189
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 55
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 910 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
212
698
—
wRC+
123
107
◀L
wOBA
351
327
◀L
ISO
227
172
◀◀L
BABIP
258
325
▶▶R
K%
17.9%
30.4%
◀◀L
BB%
10.9%
9.6%
◀L
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | — | 219 | 194 | 52 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 268 | 352 | 361 | 712 | 93 | 338 | 19 | 10 | 326 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 153 | 139 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 278 | 324 | 602 | 108 | 297 | 29 | 8 | 270 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | AZL Reds | — | 23 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 348 | 450 | 798 | 200 | 333 | 30 | 9 | 357 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 348 | 295 | 82 | 22 | 0 | 6 | 44 | 58 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 278 | 379 | 414 | 793 | 136 | 322 | 17 | 13 | 354 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | — | 450 | 388 | 97 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 98 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 343 | 392 | 735 | 142 | 301 | 22 | 10 | 328 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 363 | 312 | 89 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 60 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 285 | 377 | 410 | 787 | 125 | 331 | 17 | 10 | 352 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 55 | 49 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 347 | 418 | 490 | 908 | 143 | 405 | 13 | 9 | 405 | 160 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 20 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 400 | 647 | 1.047 | 353 | 500 | 45 | 10 | 450 | 179 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +0 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 402 | 350 | 100 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 75 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 370 | 431 | 802 | 146 | 333 | 19 | 10 | 356 | 122 | +11 | +0 | +1 | +7 | +9 | 2.9 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 183 | 166 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 47 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 319 | 376 | 482 | 858 | 163 | 409 | 26 | 7 | 377 | 137 | +8 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +4 | 1.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 15 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 267 | 333 | 600 | 67 | 571 | 53 | 0 | 267 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 517 | 465 | 113 | 20 | 2 | 13 | 47 | 135 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 243 | 318 | 378 | 696 | 135 | 314 | 26 | 9 | 314 | 93 | -4 | -0 | -7 | +9 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 515 | 457 | 118 | 26 | 1 | 19 | 48 | 117 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 339 | 444 | 783 | 186 | 307 | 23 | 9 | 348 | 115 | +9 | +0 | +9 | +9 | +11 | 3.9 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 342 | 299 | 69 | 18 | 0 | 13 | 37 | 116 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 320 | 421 | 741 | 191 | 322 | 34 | 11 | 327 | 101 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +7 | +7 | 1.7 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 40 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 300 | 364 | 664 | 212 | 136 | 22 | 15 | 304 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 468 | 411 | 99 | 22 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 128 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 326 | 404 | 730 | 163 | 308 | 27 | 10 | 325 | 100 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 1.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 2447 | 2165 | 557 | 116 | 3 | 78 | 236 | 627 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 257 | 338 | 422 | 759 | 164 | 324 | 26 | 10 | 338 | 115 | +43 | -1 | +7 | +45 | +53 | 15.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 219 | 202 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 60 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 203 | 265 | 272 | 537 | 69 | 279 | 27 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 153 | 143 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 212 | 245 | 457 | 77 | 268 | 41 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Reds | — | 23 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 261 | 381 | 642 | 190 | 259 | 43 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 348 | 310 | 74 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 80 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 312 | 339 | 651 | 100 | 295 | 23 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 450 | 399 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 135 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 282 | 316 | 598 | 113 | 268 | 30 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 363 | 322 | 79 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 76 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 321 | 345 | 666 | 99 | 292 | 21 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 20 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 400 | 647 | 1.047 | 353 | 500 | 45 | 10 | 432 | 179 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +0 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 402 | 351 | 99 | 21 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 75 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 365 | 419 | 784 | 137 | 333 | 19 | 10 | 349 | 122 | +11 | +0 | +1 | +7 | +9 | 2.9 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 183 | 166 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 47 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 319 | 376 | 482 | 858 | 163 | 409 | 26 | 7 | 371 | 137 | +8 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +4 | 1.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 15 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 267 | 467 | 67 | 534 | 67 | 0 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 517 | 467 | 112 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 45 | 135 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 312 | 368 | 680 | 128 | 314 | 26 | 9 | 306 | 93 | -4 | -0 | -7 | +9 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 515 | 459 | 117 | 26 | 1 | 18 | 46 | 117 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 255 | 333 | 434 | 767 | 179 | 307 | 23 | 9 | 338 | 115 | +9 | +0 | +9 | +9 | +11 | 3.9 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 342 | 300 | 68 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 36 | 116 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 314 | 407 | 720 | 180 | 322 | 34 | 11 | 318 | 101 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +7 | +7 | 1.7 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 40 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 250 | 343 | 593 | 200 | 114 | 28 | 10 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 468 | 412 | 98 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 48 | 128 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 238 | 322 | 393 | 715 | 155 | 308 | 27 | 10 | 317 | 100 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 219 | 202 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 60 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 203 | 265 | 272 | 537 | 69 | 284 | 27 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK RAW | Billings Mustangs | — | 219 | 194 | 52 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 268 | 352 | 361 | 712 | 93 | 338 | 19 | 10 | 326 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 176 | 164 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 72 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 218 | 262 | 481 | 91 | 281 | 41 | 5 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 176 | 159 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 287 | 340 | 627 | 119 | 301 | 30 | 8 | 281 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 348 | 310 | 74 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 80 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 312 | 339 | 651 | 100 | 303 | 23 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A RAW | Dayton Dragons | — | 348 | 295 | 82 | 22 | 0 | 6 | 44 | 58 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 278 | 379 | 414 | 793 | 136 | 322 | 17 | 13 | 354 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 450 | 399 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 135 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 282 | 316 | 598 | 113 | 275 | 30 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ RAW | Daytona Tortugas | — | 450 | 388 | 97 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 98 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 343 | 392 | 735 | 142 | 301 | 22 | 10 | 328 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 372 | 91 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 87 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 320 | 344 | 664 | 99 | 299 | 21 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 418 | 361 | 106 | 26 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 67 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 383 | 421 | 804 | 127 | 341 | 16 | 10 | 359 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 20 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 400 | 647 | 1.047 | 353 | 500 | 45 | 10 | 432 | 179 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +0 | 0.4 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB RAW | Cincinnati Reds | — | 20 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 400 | 647 | 1.047 | 353 | 500 | 45 | 10 | 450 | 179 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +0 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 402 | 351 | 99 | 21 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 75 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 365 | 419 | 784 | 137 | 331 | 19 | 10 | 349 | 122 | +11 | +0 | +1 | +7 | +9 | 2.9 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB RAW | Cincinnati Reds | — | 402 | 350 | 100 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 75 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 370 | 431 | 802 | 146 | 333 | 19 | 10 | 356 | 122 | +11 | +0 | +1 | +7 | +9 | 2.9 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 198 | 181 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 309 | 362 | 464 | 826 | 155 | 417 | 29 | 6 | 356 | 127 | +6 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +4 | 1.6 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 198 | 181 | 57 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 315 | 367 | 470 | 837 | 155 | 418 | 28 | 6 | 369 | 127 | +6 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +4 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 517 | 467 | 112 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 45 | 135 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 312 | 368 | 680 | 128 | 312 | 26 | 9 | 306 | 93 | -4 | -0 | -7 | +9 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB RAW | Cincinnati Reds | — | 517 | 465 | 113 | 20 | 2 | 13 | 47 | 135 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 243 | 318 | 378 | 696 | 135 | 314 | 26 | 9 | 314 | 93 | -4 | -0 | -7 | +9 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 515 | 459 | 117 | 26 | 1 | 18 | 46 | 117 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 255 | 333 | 434 | 767 | 179 | 304 | 23 | 9 | 338 | 115 | +9 | +0 | +9 | +9 | +11 | 3.9 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB RAW | Cincinnati Reds | — | 515 | 457 | 118 | 26 | 1 | 19 | 48 | 117 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 339 | 444 | 783 | 186 | 307 | 23 | 9 | 348 | 115 | +9 | +0 | +9 | +9 | +11 | 3.9 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 335 | 73 | 19 | 0 | 14 | 40 | 127 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 218 | 307 | 400 | 707 | 182 | 298 | 33 | 10 | 308 | 95 | -2 | -0 | +3 | +7 | +8 | 1.5 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 382 | 332 | 74 | 19 | 0 | 15 | 43 | 125 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 317 | 416 | 733 | 193 | 301 | 33 | 11 | 325 | 95 | -2 | -0 | +3 | +7 | +8 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 468 | 412 | 98 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 48 | 128 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 238 | 322 | 393 | 715 | 155 | 305 | 27 | 10 | 317 | 100 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB RAW | Cincinnati Reds | — | 468 | 411 | 99 | 22 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 128 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 326 | 404 | 730 | 163 | 308 | 27 | 10 | 325 | 100 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 219 | 200 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 60 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 205 | 265 | 275 | 540 | 70 | 279 | 27 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 176 | 164 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 72 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 218 | 262 | 481 | 91 | 267 | 41 | 5 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 348 | 312 | 74 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 80 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 237 | 312 | 337 | 648 | 99 | 295 | 23 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 450 | 403 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 135 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 201 | 282 | 313 | 595 | 112 | 268 | 30 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 374 | 91 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 87 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 320 | 342 | 662 | 99 | 292 | 21 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 20 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 400 | 647 | 1.047 | 353 | 500 | 45 | 10 | 432 | 179 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 402 | 353 | 99 | 21 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 75 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 365 | 416 | 782 | 136 | 333 | 19 | 10 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 198 | 181 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 309 | 362 | 464 | 826 | 155 | 418 | 29 | 6 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 517 | 463 | 112 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 45 | 135 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 242 | 312 | 371 | 684 | 130 | 314 | 26 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 515 | 456 | 117 | 26 | 1 | 18 | 46 | 117 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 333 | 436 | 770 | 180 | 307 | 23 | 9 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 336 | 73 | 19 | 0 | 14 | 40 | 127 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 307 | 399 | 706 | 182 | 300 | 33 | 10 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 468 | 414 | 98 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 48 | 128 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 322 | 391 | 713 | 155 | 308 | 27 | 10 | 317 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 515 | 456 | 117 | 26 | 1 | 18 | 46 | 117 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 333 | 436 | 770 | 180 | 307 | 23 | 9 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 336 | 73 | 19 | 0 | 14 | 40 | 127 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 307 | 399 | 706 | 182 | 300 | 33 | 10 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 468 | 414 | 98 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 48 | 128 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 322 | 391 | 713 | 155 | 308 | 27 | 10 | 317 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | CIN | 100% | 443 | 391 | 93 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 45 | 121 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 323 | 417 | 740 | 179 | 300 | 27 | 10 | 328 | 108 | +4 | +0 | -4 | +8 | +10 | 2.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | CIN | 100% | 443 | 391 | 95 | 21 | 1 | 17 | 45 | 121 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 325 | 429 | 754 | 188 | 302 | 27 | 10 | 334 | 108 | +4 | +0 | -4 | +8 | +10 | 1.8 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | CIN | 100% | 415 | 367 | 85 | 20 | 0 | 14 | 42 | 115 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 317 | 406 | 724 | 173 | 296 | 28 | 10 | 322 | 104 | +2 | +0 | -7 | +7 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB MLE | CIN | 100% | 384 | 340 | 77 | 17 | 0 | 13 | 38 | 108 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 310 | 391 | 702 | 164 | 291 | 28 | 10 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +0 | -7 | +7 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB MLE | CIN | 100% | 345 | 306 | 68 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 99 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 301 | 373 | 675 | 154 | 283 | 29 | 10 | 302 | 91 | -4 | +0 | -8 | +6 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB MLE | CIN | 100% | 294 | 262 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 28 | 87 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 290 | 352 | 642 | 143 | 274 | 30 | 10 | 289 | 82 | -6 | +0 | -8 | +5 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | CIN | 100% | 415 | 367 | 86 | 19 | 0 | 15 | 42 | 115 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 237 | 320 | 418 | 738 | 181 | 298 | 28 | 10 | 327 | 104 | +2 | +0 | -7 | +7 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB CTX | CIN | 100% | 384 | 340 | 78 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 38 | 108 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 313 | 402 | 715 | 172 | 292 | 28 | 10 | 318 | 98 | -1 | +0 | -7 | +7 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB CTX | CIN | 100% | 345 | 306 | 69 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 99 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 304 | 383 | 687 | 162 | 284 | 29 | 10 | 307 | 91 | -4 | +0 | -8 | +6 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB CTX | CIN | 100% | 294 | 262 | 55 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 28 | 87 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 293 | 362 | 654 | 150 | 275 | 30 | 10 | 294 | 82 | -6 | +0 | -8 | +5 | +6 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3885 | 3440 | 845 | 178 | 3 | 128 | 378 | 1036 | 37 | 5 | 3 | 246 | 327 | 411 | 738 | 165 | 311 | 27 | 10 | 329 | 93 | +34 | -0 | -22 | +70 | +84 | 17.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 576 | 142 | 30 | 1 | 21 | 63 | 173 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 327 | 411 | 739 | 165 | 313 | 27 | 10 | 329 | 93 | +6 | -0 | -4 | +12 | +14 | 2.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5994 | 5335 | 1254 | 270 | 7 | 161 | 537 | 1612 | 70 | 9 | 6 | 235 | 313 | 379 | 692 | 144 | 303 | 27 | 9 | 306 | 93 | +38 | +0 | -26 | +78 | +94 | 18.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 135 | 29 | 1 | 17 | 58 | 175 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 312 | 375 | 687 | 142 | 301 | 27 | 9 | 306 | 93 | +6 | +0 | -4 | +12 | +14 | 2.8 | |