Jordan Hicks
P
Chicago White Sox
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 217 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION28 act + 53 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10596vR 86
ERA3.89
FIP3.73
K%22.9%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%12.1%
ROS IP53
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 81 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9099.3
Whiff%
p4524.6%
K%
p7126.1%
xwOBA vs
p800.283
SI (53%)
SL (35%)
FB-2.2 (62%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | 6 | 6 | 30 | 132 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 10.3% | 12.3% | -2.0% | 1.1% | 4.20 | 4.37 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | 6 | 6 | 30 | 132 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 15.2% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 4.20 | 3.50 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 19 | 105 | 452 | 95 | 45 | 3 | 86% | 4.8 | 15.8% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 2.74 | 3.76 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 19 | 105 | 452 | 95 | 45 | 3 | 86% | 4.8 | 21.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 0.7% | 2.74 | 2.95 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 73 | 0 | 78 | 339 | 70 | 43 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 0.6% | 3.59 | 3.29 | +1.5 |
| 2018 | 21 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 73 | 0 | 78 | 339 | 70 | 43 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 0.6% | 3.59 | 3.29 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 22 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 29 | 0 | 29 | 110 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.2% | 10.0% | 18.2% | 1.8% | 3.14 | 2.99 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 22 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 29 | 0 | 29 | 110 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.2% | 10.0% | 18.2% | 1.8% | 3.14 | 3.00 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 3 | 13 | 59 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 23% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 22.0% | 0.0% | 3.4% | 7.62 | 5.89 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 3 | 13 | 59 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 23% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 22.0% | 0.0% | 3.4% | 7.62 | 6.10 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 9 | 66 | 288 | 68 | 39 | 6 | 23% | 1.7 | 24.0% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 1.9% | 5.43 | 3.81 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 9 | 66 | 288 | 68 | 39 | 6 | 23% | 1.7 | 23.6% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 5.43 | 3.99 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 65 | 0 | 66 | 285 | 81 | 31 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.4% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 1.4% | 3.29 | 2.85 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 65 | 0 | 66 | 285 | 81 | 31 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.4% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 1.4% | 3.29 | 2.84 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 29 | 20 | 110 | 481 | 96 | 47 | 12 | 69% | 3.8 | 20.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 4.10 | 4.14 | +1.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 29 | 20 | 110 | 481 | 96 | 47 | 12 | 69% | 3.8 | 20.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 4.10 | 4.06 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 10 | 69 | 325 | 60 | 33 | 7 | 28% | 1.9 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 1.9% | 7.04 | 3.83 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 10 | 69 | 325 | 60 | 33 | 7 | 28% | 1.9 | 18.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 7.04 | 4.11 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 31 | 0 | 28 | 128 | 36 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.1% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 0.9% | 4.45 | 3.14 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | CWS | 50 | 0 | 53 | 222 | 51 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 2.2% | 3.89 | 3.73 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | CWS | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 51 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 2.2% | 3.89 | 3.73 | +0.5 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 81 | 350 | 87 | 42 | 7 | — | — | 24.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 2.0% | 4.09 | 3.52 | +1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 78 | 331 | 87 | 42 | 7 | — | — | 26.3% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 2.1% | 4.23 | 3.63 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 70 | 0 | 74 | 311 | 68 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 2.4% | 4.33 | 4.35 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 65 | 0 | 69 | 290 | 61 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 4.48 | 4.58 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 70 | 0 | 74 | 312 | 68 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 2.4% | 4.33 | 4.35 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 62 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 4.48 | 4.58 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 489 | 37 | 641 | 2774 | 619 | 316 | 52 | 8% | 1.3 | 22.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 1.9% | 4.34 | 3.68 | +12.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 152 | 12 | 200 | 866 | 193 | 99 | 16 | 8% | 1.3 | 22.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 1.9% | 4.34 | 3.68 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 343 | 67 | 593 | 2599 | 538 | 302 | 41 | 20% | 1.7 | 20.7% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 1.6% | 4.25 | 3.70 | +11.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 116 | 23 | 200 | 876 | 181 | 102 | 14 | 20% | 1.7 | 20.7% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 1.6% | 4.25 | 3.70 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jordan Hicks (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.29 | 21.2% | 9.9% | 2.5% | — | 4.46 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 142 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.80 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.81 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | +0.01 | 2.40 | 617 | 69 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 69 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 68 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 68 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 67 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 67 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 67 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 67 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.18 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.3% | .310 | 4.93 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 748 | 67 |
| Shintaro Fujinami R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.99 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.88 | 22.5% | -2.9% | 51 | +0.89 | 3.99 | 130 | 66 |
| Curtis Partch R 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.14 | 21.7% | 12.5% | 0.5% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 124 | 66 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 65 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 65 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2028 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 65 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 65 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.25 | 27.5% | 10.8% | 2.0% | .259 | 3.16 | 25.6% | 17.1% | 210 | -0.09 | 2.73 | 410 | 65 |
| Tyler Chatwood R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.94 | 22.8% | 11.4% | 2.4% | .278 | 3.42 | 27.3% | 14.2% | 51 | -0.52 | 3.22 | 537 | 65 |
| Bo Schultz R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .218 | 3.45 | 15.1% | 8.9% | 77 | -0.86 | 2.73 | 141 | 64 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 64 |
| Blake Smith R 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.66 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 124 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 74 | 21.4% | 10.9% | 0.95 | 4.42 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |