Jordan Hicks — OGILVIE

Jordan Hicks P Chicago White Sox

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 217 lbs MLB peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9486vR 78

ERA3.90

FIP3.74

K%24.7%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%13.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†5055

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9099.4

Whiff%

p6026.8%

p8428.5%

xwOBA vs

p900.266

SI (47%)

SL (31%)

FB-2.2 (66%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	19	ROK MLE	Johnson City Cardinals	6	6	30	132	20	13	1	100%	5.0	10.3%	12.3%	-2.0%	1.1%	4.20	4.37	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	Johnson City Cardinals	6	6	30	132	20	13	1	100%	5.0	15.2%	9.8%	5.3%	0.8%	4.20	3.50	—
2017	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	19	105	452	95	45	3	86%	4.8	15.8%	11.7%	4.1%	0.9%	2.74	3.74	—
2017	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	19	105	452	95	45	3	86%	4.8	21.0%	10.0%	11.1%	0.7%	2.74	2.95	—
2018	21	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	73	0	78	339	70	43	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.7%	8.0%	0.6%	3.59	3.31	+1.1
2018	21	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	73	0	78	339	70	43	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.7%	8.0%	0.6%	3.59	3.29	+1.2
2019	22	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	29	0	29	110	31	11	2	0%	1.0	28.2%	10.0%	18.2%	2.0%	3.14	3.06	+0.5
2019	22	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	29	0	29	110	31	11	2	0%	1.0	28.2%	10.0%	18.2%	1.8%	3.14	3.00	+0.5
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	3	13	59	13	13	2	23%	1.0	22.0%	22.0%	0.0%	3.4%	7.62	5.89	-0.2
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	3	13	59	13	13	2	23%	1.0	22.0%	22.0%	0.0%	3.4%	7.62	6.10	-0.2
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	9	66	288	68	39	6	23%	1.7	24.0%	13.3%	10.6%	2.0%	5.43	3.88	+0.5
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	9	66	288	68	39	6	23%	1.7	23.6%	13.5%	10.1%	2.1%	5.43	3.99	+0.4
2023	26	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	65	0	66	285	81	31	4	0%	1.0	28.4%	10.9%	17.5%	1.4%	3.29	2.85	+1.3
2023	26	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	65	0	66	285	81	31	4	0%	1.0	28.4%	10.9%	17.5%	1.4%	3.29	2.85	+1.3
2023	26	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	65	0	66	285	81	31	4	0%	1.0	28.4%	10.9%	17.5%	1.4%	3.29	2.84	+1.3
2024	27	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	29	20	110	481	96	47	12	69%	3.8	20.0%	9.8%	10.2%	2.7%	4.10	4.13	+1.0
2024	27	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	29	20	110	481	96	47	12	69%	3.8	20.0%	9.8%	10.2%	2.7%	4.10	4.13	+1.0
2024	27	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	29	20	110	481	96	47	12	69%	3.8	20.0%	9.8%	10.2%	2.5%	4.10	4.06	+1.1
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	10	69	325	60	33	7	28%	1.9	18.5%	9.9%	8.6%	2.0%	7.04	3.87	+0.6
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	10	69	325	60	33	7	28%	1.9	18.5%	9.9%	8.6%	2.0%	7.04	3.87	+0.6
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	10	69	325	60	33	7	28%	1.9	18.5%	10.2%	8.3%	2.2%	7.04	4.11	+0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			323	39	465	2036	466	234	35	12%	1.4	22.9%	11.5%	11.4%	1.7%	4.40	3.58	+5.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	51	2	47	213	63	28	5	4%	0.9	28.5%	13.0%	15.5%	2.0%	4.60	3.42	+0.6
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	51	2	47	213	63	28	5	4%	0.9	28.5%	13.0%	15.5%	2.0%	4.60	3.42	+0.6
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	CWS	3	0	3	13	6	2	1	0%	0.9	46.2%	15.4%	30.8%	7.7%	10.12	5.37	—
2026	29	MLB RAW	CWS	48	2	44	200	57	26	4	4%	0.9	28.5%	13.0%	15.5%	2.0%	4.26	3.44	+0.6
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	CWS	48	2	44	200	57	26	4	4%	0.9	28.5%	13.0%	15.5%	2.0%	4.26	3.44	+0.6
ROS	29	MLB MLE	CWS	6	0	6	27	7	3	1	0%	1.1	24.7%	11.0%	13.8%	2.4%	3.90	3.74	+0.1
ROS	29	MLB CTX	CWS	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	24.7%	11.0%	13.8%	2.4%	3.90	3.74	+0.1
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	CWS	—	—	53	240	70	31	6	—	—	29.0%	12.9%	16.1%	2.4%	4.51	3.46	+0.7
FULL	29	MLB A+C	CWS	—	—	51	214	70	31	6	—	—	32.5%	14.5%	18.1%	2.6%	4.75	3.63	+0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	CWS	70	0	74	311	73	35	8	0%	1.1	23.4%	11.3%	12.1%	2.5%	4.31	4.33	+0.2
2028	31	MLB MLE	CWS	65	0	69	290	66	34	8	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.7%	11.0%	2.8%	4.46	4.56	-0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	CWS	70	0	74	312	73	35	8	0%	1.1	23.4%	11.3%	12.1%	2.5%	4.31	4.33	+0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	CWS	66	0	69	291	66	34	8	0%	1.0	22.7%	11.7%	11.0%	2.8%	4.46	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		464	39	613	2663	611	306	52	8%	1.3	22.9%	11.5%	11.5%	1.9%	4.39	3.68	+6.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		151	13	200	869	199	100	17	8%	1.3	22.9%	11.5%	11.5%	1.9%	4.39	3.68	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		363	69	612	2684	566	312	45	19%	1.7	21.1%	11.6%	9.4%	1.7%	4.26	3.72	+5.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		119	23	200	877	185	102	15	19%	1.7	21.1%	11.6%	9.4%	1.7%	4.26	3.72	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jordan Hicks (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.30	21.2%	9.9%	2.5%	—	4.44	23.1%	11.6%	142	+0.14	—	—	—
Wily Peralta R 2018 · 4.24 FIP	29	SU	4.24	22.7%	13.7%	2.4%	.310	4.89	15.3%	5.5%	154	+0.65	3.98	748	77
Luis García R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	20.6%	10.9%	1.8%	.281	3.74	21.6%	12.6%	179	-0.01	2.33	617	73
Pedro Báez R 2017 · 4.08 FIP	29	SU	4.08	22.9%	9.6%	3.1%	.261	3.18	24.7%	16.1%	143	-0.90	2.29	332	72
Cody Allen R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	27.7%	10.7%	3.8%	.281	7.35	25.0%	7.8%	23	+3.13	1.58	295	72
Jhan Mariñez R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	21.2%	7.9%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	70
Brandon Maurer R 2018 · 4.87 FIP	28	SU	4.87	19.7%	13.0%	3.2%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	234	70
Zach McAllister R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	29	SU	3.70	26.5%	8.4%	3.2%	.292	4.70	21.4%	16.7%	57	+1.00	2.82	363	70
Blake Treinen R 2017 · 3.15 FIP	29	SU	3.15	22.8%	6.8%	2.0%	.332	2.94	26.6%	18.0%	165	-0.21	1.53	547	69
Scott Oberg R 2019 · 3.19 FIP	29	SU	3.19	26.0%	9.4%	2.0%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	2.54	302	69
Tyler Chatwood R 2019 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	22.8%	11.4%	2.6%	.278	3.45	27.3%	14.2%	51	-0.58	3.30	537	69
Kelvin Herrera R 2019 · 3.95 FIP	29	SU	3.95	22.6%	7.2%	3.4%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.33	297	69
Alex Colomé R 2018 · 3.19 FIP	29	SU	3.19	25.5%	6.7%	2.5%	.283	3.68	20.5%	12.4%	148	+0.49	2.72	530	68
Jacob Barnes R 2019 · 5.09 FIP	29	SU	5.09	21.9%	10.0%	4.7%	.303	3.54	23.1%	15.1%	101	-1.55	1.84	551	68
Joe Kelly R 2017 · 3.35 FIP	29	SU	3.35	21.8%	10.9%	1.3%	.248	3.30	25.4%	15.3%	117	-0.05	2.38	556	68
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	67
Daniel Hudson R 2016 · 3.39 FIP	29	SU	3.39	21.6%	7.1%	2.2%	.319	3.84	23.5%	13.9%	181	+0.45	1.68	468	67
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	67
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	67
Arquimedes Caminero R 2016 · 4.45 FIP	29	SU	4.45	17.9%	11.4%	2.6%	.314	4.62	18.6%	7.5%	38	+0.17	3.54	173	66
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	74	22.4%	10.9%	1.00	4.41
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91