Garrett Davila — OGILVIE

Garrett Davila P Harrisburg Senators

Age 29 LHP 6'2" / 180 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101109vR 117

ERA4.43

FIP4.43

K%21.2%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%11.5%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	19	ROK MLE	Burlington Royals	12	12	65	268	55	27	2	100%	5.4	14.0%	12.6%	1.4%	1.0%	2.77	4.09	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	Burlington Royals	12	12	65	268	55	27	2	100%	5.4	20.5%	10.1%	10.4%	0.7%	2.77	3.05	—
2017	20	A MLE	Lexington Legends	27	21	126	561	92	50	8	78%	4.7	12.1%	10.5%	1.6%	1.7%	5.08	4.37	—
2017	20	A RAW	Lexington Legends	27	21	126	561	92	50	8	78%	4.7	16.4%	8.9%	7.5%	1.4%	5.08	3.66	—
2018	21	A MLE	Lexington Legends	25	18	107	467	84	49	22	72%	4.3	13.3%	12.4%	0.9%	5.8%	4.21	6.74	—
2018	21	A RAW	Lexington Legends	25	18	107	467	84	49	22	72%	4.3	18.0%	10.5%	7.5%	4.7%	4.21	5.58	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	66	269	54	27	4	0%	1.9	15.6%	11.4%	4.2%	1.8%	3.43	4.24	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	66	269	54	27	4	0%	1.9	20.1%	10.0%	10.0%	1.5%	3.43	3.48	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	29	11	89	401	88	47	7	38%	3.1	17.8%	12.9%	4.9%	2.0%	4.97	4.32	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	29	11	89	401	88	47	7	38%	3.1	21.9%	11.7%	10.2%	1.7%	4.97	3.73	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	24	126	576	121	60	23	83%	4.4	17.4%	9.6%	7.8%	3.9%	6.55	4.99	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	24	126	576	121	60	23	83%	4.4	17.4%	9.6%	7.8%	3.9%	6.55	4.99	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	24	126	576	121	60	23	83%	4.4	21.0%	10.4%	10.6%	4.0%	6.55	4.98	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	44	0	62	254	70	17	3	0%	1.4	22.3%	7.4%	15.0%	1.7%	3.63	3.10	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	44	0	62	254	70	17	3	0%	1.4	22.3%	7.4%	15.0%	1.7%	3.63	3.10	—
2024	27	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	44	0	62	254	70	17	3	0%	1.4	27.6%	6.7%	20.9%	1.2%	3.63	2.29	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	56	228	60	25	3	0%	1.0	21.5%	11.2%	10.3%	1.6%	3.04	3.55	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	56	228	60	25	3	0%	1.0	21.5%	11.2%	10.3%	1.6%	3.04	3.55	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	56	228	60	25	3	0%	1.0	26.3%	11.0%	15.4%	1.3%	3.04	2.99	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	WSH	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	21.2%	9.7%	11.5%	2.7%	4.43	4.43	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	WSH	40	0	42	177	37	18	5	0%	1.0	21.0%	10.0%	11.1%	3.0%	4.52	4.59	-0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	WSH	12	0	13	55	12	5	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.0%	11.1%	3.0%	4.52	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	55	12	6	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.0%	11.1%	3.0%	4.52	4.21	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	92	31	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.0%	11.1%	3.0%	4.52	4.21	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		257	86	697	3024	487	333	83	33%	2.7	16.1%	11.0%	5.1%	2.7%	4.53	4.64	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	25	200	868	140	95	24	33%	2.7	16.1%	11.0%	5.1%	2.7%	4.53	4.64	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Garrett Davila (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.43	21.2%	9.7%	2.7%	—	4.59	21.0%	11.1%	42	+0.16	—	—	—
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	80
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	78
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	78
Hector Hernandez L 2019 · 3.39 FIP	28	SW	3.39	20.2%	9.0%	1.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	121	75
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	74
Brian Flynn L 2019 · 4.49 FIP	29	SW	4.49	17.7%	10.1%	2.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	277	71
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	71
Edgar Olmos L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	27	SW	3.64	18.9%	9.7%	1.7%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	203	71
David Huff L 2015 · 3.40 FIP	30	SW	3.40	17.1%	3.8%	2.3%	.271	4.06	19.5%	14.6%	52	+0.66	3.40	158	70
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	70
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	70
Justin Marks L 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SW	3.83	18.7%	11.0%	1.7%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	324	70
Chad Bell L 2018 · 4.38 FIP	29	SU	4.38	18.8%	7.4%	3.5%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	393	67
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	66
Aaron Laffey L 2015 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	13.5%	9.7%	1.7%	.318	4.39	12.5%	5.2%	192	+0.27	3.51	282	66
Arturo Barradas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	29	SU	3.42	18.1%	7.0%	1.8%	.288	3.24	16.1%	9.5%	34	-0.18	3.24	163	66
Josh Smoker L 2018 · 3.66 FIP	29	SU	3.66	22.1%	8.4%	2.5%	.318	6.58	14.2%	3.4%	14	+2.92	2.71	230	66
Ross Detwiler L 2015 · 5.50 FIP	29	SW	5.50	14.2%	12.2%	3.8%	.356	4.80	14.1%	5.9%	242	-0.70	3.49	512	65
Josh Outman L 2016 · 4.53 FIP	31	SU	4.53	15.3%	3.7%	4.1%	.323	5.73	12.8%	-1.0%	86	+1.20	4.53	106	65
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	43	21.1%	9.8%	1.10	4.47
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64