Garrett Davila
P
Harrisburg Senators
Age 29
LHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 119
ERA4.41
FIP4.41
K%22.2%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%12.0%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | Burlington Royals | 12 | 12 | 65 | 268 | 55 | 27 | 2 | 100% | 5.4 | 14.0% | 12.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.77 | 4.09 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | Burlington Royals | 12 | 12 | 65 | 268 | 55 | 27 | 2 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 0.7% | 2.77 | 3.05 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A | Lexington Legends | 27 | 21 | 126 | 561 | 92 | 50 | 8 | 78% | 4.7 | 12.1% | 10.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 5.08 | 4.31 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A | Lexington Legends | 27 | 21 | 126 | 561 | 92 | 50 | 8 | 78% | 4.7 | 16.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 1.4% | 5.08 | 3.66 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Lexington Legends | 25 | 18 | 107 | 467 | 84 | 49 | 22 | 72% | 4.3 | 13.3% | 12.4% | 0.9% | 5.6% | 4.21 | 6.59 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Lexington Legends | 25 | 18 | 107 | 467 | 84 | 49 | 22 | 72% | 4.3 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.21 | 5.58 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 66 | 269 | 54 | 27 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 15.6% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 3.43 | 4.26 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 66 | 269 | 54 | 27 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 20.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 1.5% | 3.43 | 3.48 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 29 | 11 | 89 | 401 | 88 | 47 | 7 | 38% | 3.1 | 17.8% | 12.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 4.97 | 4.27 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 29 | 11 | 89 | 401 | 88 | 47 | 7 | 38% | 3.1 | 21.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 1.7% | 4.97 | 3.73 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 24 | 126 | 576 | 121 | 60 | 23 | 83% | 4.4 | 18.3% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 6.55 | 4.86 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 24 | 126 | 576 | 121 | 60 | 23 | 83% | 4.4 | 21.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 6.55 | 4.98 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 44 | 0 | 62 | 254 | 70 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.3% | 7.4% | 15.0% | 2.2% | 3.63 | 3.36 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 44 | 0 | 62 | 254 | 70 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.6% | 6.7% | 20.9% | 1.2% | 3.63 | 2.29 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 56 | 228 | 60 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 1.6% | 3.04 | 3.63 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 56 | 228 | 60 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.3% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 1.3% | 3.04 | 2.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 42 | 0 | 45 | 188 | 42 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 39 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.20 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 92 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 257 | 86 | 697 | 3024 | 493 | 342 | 80 | 33% | 2.7 | 16.3% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 4.53 | 4.61 | +6.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 74 | 25 | 200 | 868 | 142 | 98 | 23 | 33% | 2.7 | 16.3% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 4.53 | 4.61 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Garrett Davila (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.58 | 22.0% | 11.6% | 42 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 78 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 77 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 77 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 75 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 277 | 74 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.87 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% | .300 | 5.18 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 71 | +0.31 | 3.50 | 360 | 73 |
| Edgar Olmos L 2024 · 3.56 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.56 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 203 | 70 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 69 |
| Justin Marks L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.84 | 18.7% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 324 | 69 |
| David Huff L 2027 · 3.63 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.63 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.00 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.37 | 3.63 | 158 | 68 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 68 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 68 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 18.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 393 | 66 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .318 | 6.37 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +2.53 | 2.66 | 230 | 66 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 66 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.82 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .253 | 4.48 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 46 | -0.34 | 3.80 | 172 | 65 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 65 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 17.9% | 8.2% | 3.3% | .336 | 4.86 | 17.6% | 10.1% | 69 | +0.42 | 3.88 | 523 | 65 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.45 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.17 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.28 | 3.17 | 163 | 65 |
| A.J. Block L 2024 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 22.7% | 12.4% | 1.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 203 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 43 | 22.1% | 10.3% | 1.11 | 4.46 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |