Clay Helvey — OGILVIE

Clay Helvey P Rochester Red Wings

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs AAA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 20 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.12

FIP5.12

K%20.8%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%7.9%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	21	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Orange	14	0	21	106	16	12	2	0%	1.5	10.3%	14.2%	-3.9%	2.6%	9.43	5.48	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	AZL Giants Orange	14	0	21	106	16	12	2	0%	1.5	15.1%	11.3%	3.8%	1.9%	9.43	4.53	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	2	0	4	18	2	3	0	0%	2.0	11.1%	16.7%	-5.6%	0.0%	2.25	4.27	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	San Jose Giants	2	0	4	18	2	3	0	0%	2.0	11.1%	16.7%	-5.6%	0.0%	2.25	4.35	—
2021	24	A MLE	San Jose Giants	39	0	53	216	83	19	4	0%	1.4	28.4%	10.4%	18.1%	2.4%	3.06	3.33	—
2021	24	A RAW	San Jose Giants	39	0	53	216	83	19	4	0%	1.4	38.4%	8.8%	29.6%	1.9%	3.06	2.02	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	55	229	74	29	2	0%	1.2	25.5%	14.2%	11.3%	1.1%	2.63	3.32	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	55	229	74	29	2	0%	1.2	32.3%	12.7%	19.7%	0.9%	2.63	2.46	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	0	49	246	47	40	9	0%	1.3	12.1%	16.3%	-4.1%	4.9%	7.84	6.85	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	39	0	49	246	47	40	9	0%	1.3	19.1%	16.3%	2.8%	3.7%	7.84	6.00	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	74	327	102	33	8	0%	1.8	26.2%	9.3%	16.9%	2.7%	4.96	3.57	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	74	327	102	33	8	0%	1.8	26.2%	9.3%	16.9%	2.7%	4.96	3.57	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	74	327	102	33	8	0%	1.8	31.2%	10.1%	21.1%	2.4%	4.96	3.09	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	21	0	23	131	23	27	6	0%	1.1	15.1%	18.5%	-3.5%	5.2%	9.53	7.06	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	21	0	23	131	23	27	6	0%	1.1	15.1%	18.5%	-3.5%	5.2%	9.53	7.06	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	21	0	23	131	23	27	6	0%	1.1	17.6%	20.6%	-3.1%	4.6%	9.53	8.09	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	WSH	19	0	20	84	18	11	3	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.9%	7.9%	3.2%	5.12	5.12	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	WSH	19	0	20	84	17	11	3	0%	1.1	20.7%	12.9%	7.8%	3.4%	5.16	5.24	-0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	WSH	7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	20.7%	12.9%	7.8%	3.4%	5.16	5.24	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	4	1	0%	1.1	20.7%	12.9%	7.8%	3.4%	5.16	4.86	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	109	27	0%	1.1	20.7%	12.9%	7.8%	3.4%	5.16	4.86	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		200	0	279	1273	268	168	38	0%	1.4	21.1%	13.2%	7.9%	3.0%	5.32	4.64	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	0	200	913	192	120	27	0%	1.4	21.1%	13.2%	7.9%	3.0%	5.32	4.64	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Clay Helvey (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.12	20.8%	12.9%	3.2%	—	5.24	20.7%	7.8%	20	+0.12	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	92
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	88
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	81
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	78
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	77
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	75
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	75
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	74
Taylor Williams R 2021 · 5.96 FIP	30	SU	5.96	19.9%	14.1%	5.0%	.261	3.79	18.8%	9.0%	101	-2.17	2.51	309	74
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	74
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.94	409	74
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	74
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	73
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	73
Dennis Sarfate R 2009 · 4.81 FIP	28	SU	4.81	19.8%	13.9%	3.0%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	72
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	72
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2015 · 5.21 FIP	30	SU	5.21	18.6%	7.6%	4.9%	.373	3.56	18.5%	9.3%	93	-1.65	3.50	170	72
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	71
Scott Dohmann R 2008 · 4.38 FIP	30	SU	4.38	18.2%	9.1%	3.0%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.28	173	71
Caleb Simpson R 2022 · 4.46 FIP	30	SU	4.46	19.7%	13.0%	2.5%	.316	8.65	11.5%	-17.0%	12	+4.19	3.57	197	71