Clay Helvey
P
Rochester Red Wings
Age 29
RHP
6'3" / 195 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 118
ERA5.20
FIP5.20
K%21.9%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%8.5%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | AZL Giants Orange | 14 | 0 | 21 | 106 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 10.3% | 14.2% | -3.9% | 2.6% | 9.43 | 5.48 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | AZL Giants Orange | 14 | 0 | 21 | 106 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.1% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 9.43 | 4.53 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 11.1% | 16.7% | -5.6% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 4.27 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 11.1% | 16.7% | -5.6% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 4.35 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | San Jose Giants | 39 | 0 | 53 | 216 | 83 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 28.4% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 2.4% | 3.06 | 3.32 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | San Jose Giants | 39 | 0 | 53 | 216 | 83 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 38.4% | 8.8% | 29.6% | 1.9% | 3.06 | 2.02 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 55 | 229 | 74 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.5% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 1.1% | 2.63 | 3.32 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 55 | 229 | 74 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.3% | 12.7% | 19.7% | 0.9% | 2.63 | 2.46 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 49 | 246 | 47 | 40 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 12.3% | 18.0% | -5.7% | 5.0% | 7.84 | 7.09 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 49 | 246 | 47 | 40 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.1% | 16.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 7.84 | 6.00 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 74 | 327 | 102 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.8 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 2.7% | 4.96 | 3.70 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 74 | 327 | 102 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.8 | 31.2% | 10.1% | 21.1% | 2.4% | 4.96 | 3.09 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 21 | 0 | 23 | 131 | 23 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.5% | 21.6% | -6.2% | 5.5% | 9.53 | 7.54 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 21 | 0 | 23 | 131 | 23 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 20.6% | -3.1% | 4.6% | 9.53 | 8.09 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 22 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 5.20 | 5.20 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 5.29 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 4.91 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 178 | 102 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 4.91 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 200 | 0 | 279 | 1273 | 271 | 181 | 39 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.3% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 5.32 | 4.77 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 143 | 0 | 200 | 913 | 194 | 130 | 28 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.3% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 5.32 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Clay Helvey (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.20 | 21.9% | 13.4% | 3.4% | — | 5.29 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 21 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 89 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 84 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 82 |
| Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 80 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 79 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.97 | 20.6% | 15.2% | 3.1% | .237 | 4.27 | 23.0% | 8.4% | 104 | -0.70 | 2.40 | 231 | 79 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 79 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 79 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.18 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.3% | .310 | 4.93 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 748 | 78 |
| Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 78 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 78 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.37 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .356 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 163 | 77 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.87 | 232 | 77 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.58 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.3% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 76 |
| Wil Browning R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 76 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 76 |
| Noah Song R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.96 | 16.6% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 106 | 76 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 234 | 76 |
| Kevin Lenik R 2024 · 4.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.93 | 21.7% | 14.9% | 3.2% | .205 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 107 | 75 |