Juan Hillman — OGILVIE

Juan Hillman P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 29 LHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116124vR 132

ERA5.21

FIP5.21

K%13.4%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%4.3%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians	8	6	24	103	20	5	0	75%	3.0	13.2%	6.1%	7.1%	0.0%	4.12	2.75	—
2015	18	ROK RAW	AZL Indians	8	6	24	103	20	5	0	75%	3.0	19.4%	4.9%	14.6%	0.0%	4.12	2.06	—
2017	20	A MLE	Lake County Captains	26	26	138	611	101	48	22	100%	5.3	12.2%	9.3%	3.0%	4.1%	6.08	5.52	—
2017	20	A RAW	Lake County Captains	26	26	138	611	101	48	22	100%	5.3	16.5%	7.9%	8.7%	3.6%	6.08	4.76	—
2018	21	A MLE	Lake County Captains	26	26	129	582	110	52	7	100%	4.9	14.0%	10.5%	3.4%	1.4%	5.18	4.05	—
2018	21	A RAW	Lake County Captains	26	26	129	582	110	52	7	100%	4.9	18.9%	8.9%	10.0%	1.2%	5.18	3.31	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	25	25	140	604	99	41	10	100%	5.6	12.6%	7.8%	4.8%	2.4%	3.85	4.36	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	25	25	140	604	99	41	10	100%	5.6	16.4%	6.8%	9.6%	1.7%	3.85	3.49	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	21	110	463	87	34	16	95%	5.0	15.3%	7.8%	7.5%	4.8%	3.94	5.43	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	21	110	463	87	34	16	95%	5.0	18.8%	7.3%	11.4%	3.5%	3.94	4.34	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	19	9	56	258	33	26	9	47%	2.9	10.6%	9.1%	1.5%	3.5%	5.46	5.27	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	19	9	56	258	33	26	9	47%	2.9	10.6%	9.1%	1.5%	3.5%	5.46	5.27	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	19	9	56	258	33	26	9	47%	2.9	12.8%	10.1%	2.7%	3.5%	5.46	5.40	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	COL	1	1	3	13	2	1	0	100%	3.0	13.4%	9.1%	4.3%	3.1%	5.21	5.21	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	COL	6	6	36	152	21	14	5	100%	6.0	14.0%	9.4%	4.6%	3.3%	5.22	5.29	-0.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	COL	2	2	13	55	8	5	2	100%	6.5	14.0%	9.4%	4.6%	3.3%	5.22	5.29	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	13	56	8	5	2	100%	6.6	14.0%	9.4%	4.6%	3.3%	5.22	4.91	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	121	75	30	100%	6.0	14.0%	9.4%	4.6%	3.3%	5.22	4.91	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		126	113	596	2621	344	231	80	90%	4.7	13.1%	8.8%	4.3%	3.0%	4.83	4.78	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		42	38	200	879	115	78	27	90%	4.7	13.1%	8.8%	4.3%	3.0%	4.83	4.78	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Juan Hillman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.21	13.4%	9.1%	3.1%	—	5.29	14.0%	4.6%	36	+0.08	—	—	—
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	81
Marlon Arias L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	30	SP	4.32	16.8%	12.2%	2.0%	.330	3.73	17.2%	9.5%	22	-0.59	3.73	154	81
Edgar Osuna L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	29	SP	5.05	10.6%	8.2%	3.3%	.345	5.09	10.0%	2.8%	83	+0.04	5.05	175	79
Alejandro Soto L 2015 · 4.41 FIP	29	SP	4.41	12.8%	7.0%	2.7%	.367	4.07	14.6%	9.1%	128	-0.34	3.96	280	77
Orlando Lara L 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SP	4.29	15.2%	10.3%	2.1%	.348	4.08	14.2%	7.2%	230	-0.21	3.85	426	77
Jack Snodgrass L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	15.7%	10.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	118	76
Carlos Teller L 2016 · 4.86 FIP	29	SP-	4.86	14.3%	10.7%	2.9%	.297	4.74	12.6%	1.1%	148	-0.12	3.75	333	76
Darin Gorski L 2016 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP	4.50	15.0%	9.8%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	206	74
Brandon Mann L 2016 · 4.72 FIP	32	SP	4.72	19.4%	7.9%	4.1%	.320	3.97	19.0%	7.6%	128	-0.75	3.59	190	72
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	72
Michael Roth L 2018 · 4.83 FIP	28	SP	4.83	12.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	483	72
Matt Lujan L 2017 · 4.69 FIP	28	SP-	4.69	14.3%	6.4%	3.6%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	227	71
Marco Tovar L 2017 · 5.04 FIP	28	SP-	5.04	16.1%	11.3%	3.4%	.317	4.78	12.6%	7.0%	82	-0.26	3.78	327	71
Arturo Lopez L 2015 · 4.80 FIP	32	SP	4.80	13.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.301	4.80	10.9%	4.2%	217	+0.00	4.34	445	71
Amilcar Gaxiola L 2019 · 4.61 FIP	28	SP-	4.61	11.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	321	71
Misael Siverio L 2017 · 4.32 FIP	28	SP	4.32	17.3%	9.1%	2.8%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	185	70
Kramer Sneed L 2016 · 4.21 FIP	27	SP	4.21	13.2%	8.2%	2.2%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	116	69
Tomas Solis L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	32	SP	4.20	15.0%	6.2%	2.9%	.264	5.09	12.0%	3.7%	159	+0.89	4.20	327	69
Kyle Hald L 2015 · 4.33 FIP	26	SP	4.33	12.1%	7.4%	2.4%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.33	124	67
Andrew Albers L 2015 · 4.13 FIP	29	SP-	4.13	12.4%	7.2%	2.1%	.354	3.51	17.9%	12.6%	303	-0.62	2.98	508	66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	13.7%	9.3%	1.24	5.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43