Dylan Hecht
P
Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 32
RHP
6'1" / 223 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 112
ERA4.93
FIP4.93
K%22.3%
BB%13.6%
K-BB%8.7%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 33 | 154 | 39 | 32 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 23.2% | -3.1% | 2.6% | 3.86 | 5.75 | — |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 33 | 154 | 39 | 32 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 20.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.86 | 5.24 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 26 | 0 | 33 | 166 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.0% | 20.5% | -0.5% | 7.2% | 9.37 | 7.98 | -1.3 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | SF | 17 | 0 | 18 | 75 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 4.93 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 4.93 | 4.93 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 32 | MLB | SF | — | — | 50 | 241 | 58 | 41 | 12 | — | — | 24.0% | 17.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.80 | 6.90 | -1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 32 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.3% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 4.93 | 4.55 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | SF | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | SF | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 5.12 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 4.73 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 181 | 121 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 4.73 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 57 | 0 | 65 | 320 | 64 | 70 | 16 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 21.8% | -1.8% | 5.0% | 6.61 | 6.91 | -1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 174 | 0 | 200 | 980 | 196 | 214 | 49 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 21.8% | -1.8% | 5.0% | 6.61 | 6.91 | -3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dylan Hecht (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.93 | 22.3% | 13.6% | 2.9% | — | 5.12 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 20 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 88 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 85 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 81 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 80 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.66 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% | .280 | 3.59 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.07 | 3.07 | 363 | 77 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 77 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.23 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .289 | 3.49 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -0.74 | 2.51 | 373 | 76 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 76 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 75 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 75 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.28 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.8% | .362 | 4.22 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.06 | 2.90 | 227 | 74 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2024 · 4.38 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.38 | 18.7% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 104 | 74 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 74 |
| Nate Jones R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 6.10 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +2.04 | 2.54 | 157 | 73 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 73 |
| A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.76 | 16.6% | 12.3% | 2.8% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 299 | 73 |
| Brandon Workman R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.92 | 18.4% | 14.0% | 2.9% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.04 | 269 | 73 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.73 | 19.6% | 12.2% | 1.4% | .303 | 3.95 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 35 | +0.22 | 3.73 | 132 | 73 |
| Leonel Campos R 2024 · 3.78 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.78 | 25.7% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 168 | 72 |