Dylan Hecht — OGILVIE

Dylan Hecht P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 33 RHP 6'1" / 223 lbs AA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 18 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153145vR 137

ERA6.30

FIP6.30

K%20.4%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%0.4%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	33	154	39	32	4	0%	1.1	20.0%	23.2%	-3.1%	2.8%	3.86	5.88	—
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	33	154	39	32	4	0%	1.1	20.0%	23.2%	-3.1%	2.8%	3.86	5.88	—
2025	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	33	154	39	32	4	0%	1.1	25.3%	20.8%	4.5%	2.6%	3.86	5.24	—
2026	32	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	27	0	34	172	42	34	10	0%	1.2	19.8%	21.7%	-2.0%	7.0%	9.89	8.01	—
2026	32	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	27	0	34	172	42	34	10	0%	1.2	19.8%	21.7%	-2.0%	7.0%	9.89	8.01	—
2026	32	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	27	0	34	172	42	34	10	0%	1.2	24.4%	19.8%	4.7%	5.8%	9.89	7.50	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	SF	17	0	18	76	16	15	3	0%	1.1	20.4%	20.0%	0.4%	3.7%	6.30	6.30	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	SF	19	0	20	84	17	16	3	0%	1.1	20.2%	19.4%	0.7%	3.9%	6.27	6.38	-0.4
2028	34	MLB CTX	SF	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.2%	19.4%	0.7%	3.9%	6.27	6.38	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	MLE		58	0	66	326	65	73	16	0%	1.1	19.9%	22.4%	-2.5%	5.0%	6.92	7.01	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		175	0	200	983	196	220	49	0%	1.1	19.9%	22.4%	-2.5%	5.0%	6.92	7.01	-4.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dylan Hecht (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.30	20.4%	20.0%	3.7%	—	6.38	20.2%	0.7%	20	+0.08	—	—	—
Benjamin Sandoval R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	32	SU	5.65	11.8%	14.0%	3.2%	.358	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	146	68
Matt Karchner R 2000 · 6.59 FIP	33	SU	6.59	6.7%	14.7%	4.0%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	241	65
Jhan Mariñez R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	33	SU	5.36	17.4%	11.4%	4.2%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	64
JC Ramírez R 2022 · 6.17 FIP	33	SU	6.17	15.7%	14.0%	4.8%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	393	63
Tony Fiore R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	31	SU	5.17	14.3%	12.4%	3.1%	.239	—	—	—	—	—	4.60	142	62
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	61
Raul Barron R 2019 · 5.92 FIP	33	SU	5.92	11.4%	8.9%	4.8%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	201	59
Chris Hatcher R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	18.0%	9.6%	4.6%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	246	58
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	58
Toby Borland R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	33	SU	5.28	17.7%	8.1%	4.8%	.256	4.28	20.9%	12.8%	18	-1.00	2.92	248	56
Robert Stock R 2023 · 7.20 FIP	33	SW	7.20	14.3%	14.2%	6.4%	.324	3.01	22.6%	14.0%	129	-4.19	2.74	378	56
Edwin Quirarte R 2019 · 5.36 FIP	32	SU	5.36	5.8%	9.7%	2.8%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	157	55
Joe Wieland R 2023 · 7.00 FIP	33	SU	7.00	14.5%	13.5%	6.2%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	3.38	309	51
Ivan Zavala R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	32	SU	5.15	12.7%	7.4%	4.0%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	209	50
Ramon Ramirez R 2016 · 5.25 FIP	33	SW	5.25	9.2%	14.1%	2.1%	.343	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	50
Jose Pina R 2019 · 5.28 FIP	33	SU	5.28	14.6%	6.8%	4.7%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	424	50
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2017 · 5.96 FIP	32	SW	5.96	10.0%	13.0%	3.8%	.316	4.50	21.3%	16.2%	15	-1.46	3.39	212	46
Angel Castro R 2016 · 5.42 FIP	33	SW	5.42	12.3%	9.1%	4.0%	.304	3.51	14.5%	7.1%	139	-1.91	3.51	292	44
Hideki Irabu R 2002 · 5.69 FIP	33	SU	5.69	14.7%	6.9%	5.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	514	44
Logan Ondrusek R 2018 · 5.51 FIP	33	SU	5.51	23.8%	7.4%	6.3%	.353	5.51	17.5%	9.2%	120	+0.00	3.57	409	43