Aaron Shortridge

P Altoona Curve

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	26	MIX2 levels	30	28	143	4.90	4.24	19.4%	8.5%	—	K 15.8% · BB 8.9% · FIP 4.77
2024	27	MIX3 levels	17	10	64	4.36	3.52	23.9%	8.1%	—	K 16.0% · BB 8.4% · FIP 4.97
2026	29	MIX3 levels	30	0	40	4.99	2.80	26.6%	7.7%	—	K 21.7% · BB 9.1% · FIP 4.45
2027PROJ	30	MLBPIT	3	3	16	4.59	4.59	20.6%	9.0%	0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB	31	MLBPIT	1	1	6	4.69	4.77	20.5%	9.3%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsElian Leyva (age 30) · Fabio Castillo (age 28) · Jared Fernandez (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.59

FIP4.59

K%20.6%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%11.7%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	24	24	136	545	104	25	13	100%	5.7	14.7%	5.3%	9.4%	2.8%	3.25	4.06	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Bradenton Marauders	24	24	136	545	104	25	13	100%	5.7	19.1%	4.6%	14.5%	2.4%	3.25	3.37	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	17	64	289	43	33	6	100%	3.8	11.8%	13.4%	-1.6%	2.6%	4.34	5.24	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	17	64	289	43	33	6	100%	3.8	14.9%	11.4%	3.5%	2.1%	4.34	4.51	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	28	143	624	121	53	19	93%	4.8	15.8%	8.9%	6.9%	3.4%	4.90	4.77	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	28	143	624	121	53	19	93%	4.8	19.4%	8.5%	10.9%	3.0%	4.90	4.24	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	10	64	272	65	22	7	59%	3.8	16.0%	8.4%	7.6%	3.9%	4.36	4.97	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	10	64	272	65	22	7	59%	3.8	16.0%	8.4%	7.6%	3.9%	4.36	4.97	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	10	64	272	65	22	7	59%	3.8	23.9%	8.1%	15.8%	2.6%	4.36	3.52	—
2026	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	0	40	169	45	13	3	0%	1.3	21.7%	9.1%	12.6%	3.7%	4.99	4.45	—
2026	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	0	40	169	45	13	3	0%	1.3	21.7%	9.1%	12.6%	3.7%	4.99	4.45	—
2026	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	0	40	169	45	13	3	0%	1.3	26.6%	7.7%	18.9%	1.8%	4.99	2.80	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	PIT	3	3	16	68	14	6	2	100%	5.3	20.6%	9.0%	11.7%	3.1%	4.59	4.59	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	PIT	3	3	20	84	17	8	3	100%	6.7	20.5%	9.3%	11.2%	3.3%	4.69	4.77	+0.0
2028	31	MLB CTX	PIT	1	1	6	25	5	2	1	100%	6.0	20.5%	9.3%	11.2%	3.3%	4.69	4.77	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	6	26	5	2	1	100%	6.3	20.5%	9.3%	11.2%	3.3%	4.69	4.39	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	160	64	32	100%	6.0	20.5%	9.3%	11.2%	3.3%	4.69	4.39	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		118	79	447	1899	293	161	61	67%	3.8	15.4%	8.5%	6.9%	3.2%	4.25	4.64	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	35	200	850	131	72	27	67%	3.8	15.4%	8.5%	6.9%	3.2%	4.25	4.64	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aaron Shortridge (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.59	20.6%	9.0%	3.1%	—	4.77	20.5%	11.2%	20	+0.18	—	—	—
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	75
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	69
Jared Fernandez R 2002 · 4.23 FIP	30	SP-	4.23	15.6%	10.0%	2.2%	.323	3.57	11.8%	5.6%	38	-0.66	3.57	101	69
Mike Burns R 2009 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP-	4.90	17.2%	6.6%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	68
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	68
Jorge Martinez R 2016 · 3.53 FIP	31	SP-	3.53	12.9%	5.3%	1.6%	.266	3.71	16.5%	11.5%	154	+0.18	3.53	214	67
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	64
Chris Mazza R 2020 · 3.94 FIP	30	SP-	3.94	21.3%	11.0%	2.3%	.348	3.95	21.4%	13.5%	111	+0.01	3.29	563	64
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	63
Michael Mariot R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	30	SP	5.01	19.8%	11.1%	4.0%	.333	5.03	15.8%	7.4%	182	+0.02	2.40	701	63
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	63
Eder Llamas R 2016 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	11.4%	6.8%	2.0%	.301	3.23	11.3%	4.6%	64	-0.89	3.23	171	62
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	62
Jose A. Flores R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	29	SP-	4.77	13.7%	10.3%	2.8%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	237	62
David Hale R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	30	SP-	4.22	15.4%	7.5%	2.7%	.299	3.65	17.1%	11.3%	114	-0.57	3.30	581	62
Ross Ohlendorf R 2013 · 4.01 FIP	30	SW	4.01	18.2%	5.3%	3.2%	.265	4.18	23.5%	14.4%	122	+0.17	3.30	617	62
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	61
Ryan Jensen R 2005 · 4.35 FIP	29	SW	4.35	15.7%	5.2%	3.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	4.35	253	61
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	61
Jon Leicester R 2007 · 4.44 FIP	28	SP-	4.44	11.0%	9.0%	2.1%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	61