Melvin Adón
P
Worcester Red Sox
Age 32
RHP
6'3" / 246 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 102
ERA4.48
FIP4.48
K%23.2%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%12.5%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | DSL Giants | 14 | 14 | 69 | 284 | 54 | 21 | 2 | 100% | 4.9 | 12.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 2.48 | 3.72 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | DSL Giants | 14 | 14 | 69 | 284 | 54 | 21 | 2 | 100% | 4.9 | 19.0% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 0.7% | 2.48 | 2.82 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 23 | 19 | 99 | 441 | 89 | 35 | 5 | 83% | 4.3 | 14.9% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 4.35 | 4.30 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 23 | 19 | 99 | 441 | 89 | 35 | 5 | 83% | 4.3 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 1.1% | 4.35 | 3.02 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 15 | 82 | 368 | 79 | 37 | 6 | 83% | 4.6 | 15.9% | 11.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 5.03 | 4.61 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 15 | 82 | 368 | 79 | 37 | 6 | 83% | 4.6 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 1.6% | 5.03 | 3.48 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 55 | 245 | 77 | 29 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.0% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 1.7% | 4.72 | 3.46 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 55 | 245 | 77 | 29 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.4% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 1.2% | 4.72 | 2.59 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 3 | 25 | 107 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 14% | 1.2 | 15.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.65 | 4.57 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 3 | 25 | 107 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 14% | 1.2 | 26.2% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 1.9% | 3.65 | 3.46 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 43 | 0 | 59 | 276 | 69 | 41 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.6% | 19.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 5.19 | 4.75 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 43 | 0 | 59 | 276 | 69 | 41 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.0% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 1.4% | 5.19 | 3.73 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 7 | 0 | 8 | 44 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.3% | 22.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 11.88 | 6.17 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 7 | 0 | 8 | 44 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.3% | 22.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 11.88 | 6.94 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.33 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 174 | 51 | 398 | 1765 | 313 | 216 | 37 | 29% | 2.3 | 17.7% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 4.45 | 4.29 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 87 | 26 | 200 | 887 | 157 | 108 | 18 | 29% | 2.3 | 17.7% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 4.45 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Melvin Adón (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 23.2% | 10.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.71 | 22.7% | 11.7% | 20 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 73 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 72 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 70 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.07 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 365 | 69 |
| Angel Sánchez R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 3.6% | .333 | 3.80 | 12.1% | 6.3% | 27 | -1.18 | 3.80 | 284 | 69 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 68 |
| Miguel Socolovich R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.60 | 20.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.59 | 18.4% | 13.7% | 42 | -0.01 | 2.60 | 283 | 68 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 68 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 68 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 68 |
| James Hoyt R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.47 | 22.2% | 9.9% | 1.8% | .355 | 5.93 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 50 | +2.46 | 1.60 | 312 | 67 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 67 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 67 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.65 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .347 | 3.78 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.87 | 3.32 | 119 | 67 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.26 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 147 | 67 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.35 | 24.3% | 12.4% | 1.3% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 129 | 67 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 67 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 66 |
| Logan Kensing R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 66 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 66 |