Francisco Pérez
P
Las Vegas Aviators
Age 29
LHP
6'2" / 227 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104113vR 123
ERA4.43
FIP4.57
K%23.8%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2192.4
Whiff%
p4624.7%
K%
p2718.9%
xwOBA vs
p380.326
SL+2.0
CH-1.0
FB-1.3
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | DSL Indians | 13 | 12 | 51 | 214 | 48 | 19 | 0 | 92% | 3.9 | 15.3% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 2.49 | 3.22 | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | DSL Indians | 13 | 12 | 51 | 214 | 48 | 19 | 0 | 92% | 3.9 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 0.0% | 2.49 | 2.33 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | AZL Indians | 12 | 7 | 64 | 256 | 52 | 17 | 1 | 58% | 5.3 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 0.5% | 2.69 | 3.29 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | AZL Indians | 12 | 7 | 64 | 256 | 52 | 17 | 1 | 58% | 5.3 | 20.3% | 6.6% | 13.7% | 0.4% | 2.69 | 2.47 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Lake County Captains | 26 | 25 | 139 | 587 | 111 | 54 | 8 | 96% | 5.4 | 14.0% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 4.07 | 4.13 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Lake County Captains | 26 | 25 | 139 | 587 | 111 | 54 | 8 | 96% | 5.4 | 18.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 1.4% | 4.07 | 3.42 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Indians Red | 6 | 5 | 18 | 69 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 83% | 3.1 | 28.6% | 10.9% | 17.7% | 4.1% | 1.47 | 4.29 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Indians Red | 6 | 5 | 18 | 69 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 83% | 3.1 | 42.0% | 8.7% | 33.3% | 2.9% | 1.47 | 2.34 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 60 | 243 | 87 | 31 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 32.1% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 1.0% | 2.11 | 2.67 | +1.3 |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 60 | 243 | 87 | 31 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 35.8% | 12.8% | 23.0% | 0.8% | 2.11 | 2.18 | +1.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 0 | 55 | 252 | 68 | 39 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.3% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 1.4% | 5.20 | 3.59 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 0 | 55 | 252 | 68 | 39 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.0% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 2.0% | 5.20 | 3.93 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 47 | 1 | 57 | 244 | 67 | 27 | 4 | 2% | 1.2 | 23.2% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 1.5% | 4.87 | 3.57 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 47 | 1 | 57 | 244 | 67 | 27 | 4 | 2% | 1.2 | 27.5% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 1.6% | 4.87 | 3.08 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 39 | 183 | 57 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 5.8% | 7.22 | 5.62 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 39 | 183 | 57 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.1% | 11.5% | 19.7% | 4.9% | 7.22 | 4.81 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 3.3% | 4.43 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 20 | 0 | 22 | 91 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 3.4% | 4.61 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 3.4% | 4.61 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 39 | 1 | 40 | 183 | 34 | 22 | 3 | 3% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 5.65 | 4.04 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 193 | 5 | 200 | 919 | 170 | 110 | 15 | 3% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 5.65 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 229 | 50 | 483 | 2048 | 417 | 241 | 33 | 22% | 2.1 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 1.6% | 3.86 | 3.76 | +9.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 95 | 21 | 200 | 848 | 173 | 100 | 14 | 22% | 2.1 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 1.6% | 3.86 | 3.76 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Francisco Pérez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 23.8% | 10.2% | 3.3% | — | 4.75 | 23.0% | 12.6% | 22 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 77 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 73 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.82 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .253 | 4.48 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 46 | -0.34 | 3.80 | 172 | 71 |
| Felix Doubront L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 4.0% | .304 | 3.39 | 17.6% | 12.6% | 126 | -1.06 | 3.39 | 291 | 71 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.16 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.23 | 2.51 | 190 | 70 |
| Mike Dunn L 2027 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 70 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .318 | 6.37 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +2.53 | 2.66 | 230 | 70 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 70 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.56 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | .300 | 3.44 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -1.12 | 2.81 | 223 | 69 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 69 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 69 |
| Alex Wood L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.91 | 23.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | .349 | 3.58 | 22.8% | 15.9% | 367 | -0.33 | 3.05 | 1,009 | 68 |
| Chasen Shreve L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.98 | 24.4% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.53 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 108 | +0.55 | 3.94 | 470 | 68 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 68 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.49 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.53 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.04 | 2.29 | 130 | 68 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 68 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 67 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .359 | 3.67 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.09 | 3.36 | 113 | 67 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 18.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 393 | 67 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 67 |