Huascar Ynoa

P Salt Lake Bees

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.6 · 2027

Overview

AAASP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX2 levels	14	7	30	6.37	4.62	17.8%	10.1%	—	K 16.5% · BB 10.2% · FIP 4.63
2025	27	AAAMIN	5	0	4	10.38	7.48	3.8%	26.9%	—	K 3.8% · BB 26.9% · FIP 6.19
2026	28	AAALAA	30	5	60	7.20	4.58	13.8%	11.8%	—	K 11.9% · BB 10.7% · FIP 4.44
2027PROJ	29	MLBLAA	23	23	136	5.12	4.94	16.5%	10.5%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBLAA	8	8	47	5.14	5.15	15.8%	10.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	31	MLBLAA	11	11	66	5.28	5.38	15.0%	11.2%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2021

FB Velo78

K%75

Whiff%72

xwOBA vs47

CompsScott McGregor (age 28) · Travis Driskill (age 30) · Frank Batista (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA5.12

FIP4.94

K%16.5%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%5.9%

Proj IP136

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 136 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5055

CTRL5050

CMD4050

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7896.5

Whiff%

p7228.8%

p7526.9%

xwOBA vs

p470.315

CH-0.5

FB-1.7

SL-2.1

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	14	14	57	245	47	30	1	100%	4.0	13.0%	15.3%	-2.3%	0.6%	2.70	4.25	—
2015	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	14	14	57	245	47	30	1	100%	4.0	19.2%	12.2%	6.9%	0.4%	2.70	3.26	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	11	11	51	210	51	12	1	100%	4.6	16.5%	7.1%	9.4%	0.7%	3.18	2.98	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	11	11	51	210	51	12	1	100%	4.6	24.3%	5.7%	18.6%	0.5%	3.18	2.06	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	13	13	51	236	50	29	2	100%	3.9	14.4%	15.4%	-1.0%	1.2%	5.26	4.48	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	Danville Braves	13	13	51	236	50	29	2	100%	3.9	21.2%	12.3%	8.9%	0.8%	5.26	3.35	—
2018	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	116	508	131	54	8	100%	4.8	19.3%	12.5%	6.8%	2.3%	4.56	4.31	—
2018	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	116	508	131	54	8	100%	4.8	25.8%	10.6%	15.2%	1.6%	4.56	3.13	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	4 levels	28	17	100	460	113	46	17	61%	3.6	21.2%	10.8%	10.3%	4.5%	5.47	5.13	-0.3
2019	21	MIX RAW	4 levels	28	17	100	460	113	46	17	61%	3.6	24.6%	10.0%	14.6%	3.7%	5.47	4.43	+0.6
2020	22	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	9	5	22	100	17	12	2	56%	2.4	17.0%	12.0%	5.0%	2.0%	5.82	4.28	+0.2
2020	22	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	9	5	22	100	17	12	2	56%	2.4	17.0%	12.0%	5.0%	2.0%	5.82	4.39	+0.1
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	20	101	425	113	29	15	95%	4.8	26.9%	6.5%	20.4%	3.8%	4.53	3.71	+1.4
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	20	101	425	113	29	15	95%	4.8	26.6%	6.8%	19.8%	3.5%	4.53	3.65	+1.5
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	19	84	374	95	41	16	95%	4.2	22.7%	10.9%	11.8%	4.7%	6.30	5.12	-0.2
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	19	84	374	95	41	16	95%	4.2	25.4%	11.0%	14.4%	4.3%	6.30	4.77	+0.1
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	7	30	129	23	13	4	50%	2.1	16.5%	10.2%	6.3%	3.0%	6.37	4.63	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	7	30	129	23	13	4	50%	2.1	16.5%	10.2%	6.3%	3.0%	6.37	4.63	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	7	30	129	23	13	4	50%	2.1	17.8%	10.1%	7.8%	3.1%	6.37	4.62	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	5	0	4	26	1	7	0	0%	0.9	3.8%	26.9%	-23.1%	0.0%	10.38	6.19	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	5	0	4	26	1	7	0	0%	0.9	3.8%	26.9%	-23.1%	0.0%	10.38	6.19	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	5	0	4	26	1	7	0	0%	0.9	3.8%	26.9%	-23.1%	0.0%	10.38	7.48	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	30	5	60	304	42	36	5	17%	2.0	11.9%	10.7%	1.2%	1.8%	7.20	4.44	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	30	5	60	304	42	36	5	17%	2.0	11.9%	10.7%	1.2%	1.8%	7.20	4.44	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	30	5	60	304	42	36	5	17%	2.0	13.8%	11.8%	2.0%	1.6%	7.20	4.58	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			31	24	122	525	128	43	19	77%	3.9	24.4%	8.2%	16.2%	3.6%	5.22	4.08	+1.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	LAA	23	23	136	574	95	61	16	100%	5.9	16.5%	10.5%	5.9%	2.8%	5.12	4.94	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	LAA	21	21	128	541	85	59	16	100%	6.1	15.8%	10.8%	5.0%	3.0%	5.14	5.15	-0.4
2029	31	MLB MLE	LAA	20	20	120	505	76	56	16	100%	6.0	15.0%	11.2%	3.9%	3.2%	5.28	5.38	-0.6
2028	30	MLB CTX	LAA	8	8	47	198	31	22	6	100%	5.9	15.8%	10.8%	5.0%	3.0%	5.14	5.15	-0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	LAA	11	11	66	279	42	31	9	100%	6.0	15.0%	11.2%	3.9%	3.2%	5.28	5.38	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	43	235	1002	201	96	34	86%	4.7	20.1%	9.5%	10.5%	3.4%	5.22	4.46	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		42	36	200	852	171	82	29	86%	4.7	20.1%	9.5%	10.5%	3.4%	5.22	4.46	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		189	135	677	3017	570	335	82	71%	3.6	18.9%	11.1%	7.8%	2.7%	5.09	4.41	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	40	200	891	169	99	24	71%	3.6	18.9%	11.1%	7.8%	2.7%	5.09	4.41	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Huascar Ynoa (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	16.5%	10.5%	2.8%	—	5.26	15.4%	4.4%	248	+0.32	—	—	—
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	75
Travis Driskill R 2002 · 4.95 FIP	30	SP-	4.95	13.2%	8.0%	3.6%	.291	4.26	15.3%	12.0%	48	-0.69	4.26	181	74
Frank Batista R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	26	SP-	4.29	12.1%	8.2%	2.1%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	118	72
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	71
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	71
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	71
Luke Hudson R 2006 · 3.81 FIP	29	SP-	3.81	14.5%	8.4%	1.6%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	235	70
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	69
José A. Váldez R 2019 · 4.21 FIP	29	SP-	4.21	16.8%	10.6%	2.2%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	328	68
Seth Simmons R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	28	SW	4.27	18.1%	8.1%	3.0%	.262	6.20	13.3%	2.4%	54	+1.93	3.07	251	66
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	66
Sugar Ray Marimon R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	26	SW	4.12	12.4%	9.1%	1.7%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	107	66
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	66
Mitch Neunborn R 2024 · 4.25 FIP	27	SP-	4.25	19.0%	12.0%	2.2%	.285	5.80	16.4%	6.5%	114	+1.55	3.65	248	65
Jorge Campillo R 2008 · 3.93 FIP	29	SP-	3.93	16.3%	5.5%	2.8%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	172	65
David Fletcher R 2024 · 5.67 FIP	30	SP-	5.67	7.5%	10.3%	3.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	5.67	100	64
Odrisamer Despaigne R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	29	SW	3.97	15.3%	8.5%	2.0%	.316	3.74	17.1%	8.5%	348	-0.23	3.13	689	64
Matt Benedict R 2015 · 4.00 FIP	26	SP-	4.00	10.3%	4.8%	2.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	130	64
Gary Knotts R 2004 · 4.95 FIP	27	SP-	4.95	13.5%	9.2%	3.3%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	4.95	261	64
Kyle Friedrichs R 2021 · 4.73 FIP	29	SP-	4.73	13.9%	6.2%	3.7%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	603	64

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	101	17.9%	10.3%	1.21	5.19
David Clyde ('73-'79, 0 WAR*)	2.1	104	19.6%*	9.7%*	1.00*	5.24*
Mysterious Walker ('10-'15, -1 WAR*)	1.5	99	20.6%*	11.4%*	1.25*	5.38*
Jeff Robinson ('87-'92, 0 WAR*)	3.5	118	18.3%*	10.9%*	1.38*	5.14*
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	106	20.5%	9.7%	1.30	4.61
Mike Bolsinger ('17)	1.2	58	20.5%	9.6%	1.33	4.92
Tim Redding ('09)	4.1	103	15.1%	9.2%	1.25	4.95