Odalvi Javier
P
Harrisburg Senators
Age 29
RHP
6'0" / 180 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123113vR 104
ERA4.57
FIP4.57
K%22.4%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%12.0%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Braves | 10 | 1 | 19 | 85 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 10% | 1.9 | 14.4% | 13.2% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 2.37 | 5.37 | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Braves | 10 | 1 | 19 | 85 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 10% | 1.9 | 21.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 2.37 | 3.99 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | GCL Braves | 12 | 6 | 45 | 189 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 50% | 3.7 | 12.2% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 2.62 | 3.48 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | GCL Braves | 12 | 6 | 45 | 189 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 50% | 3.7 | 18.0% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 0.5% | 2.62 | 2.67 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Danville Braves | 13 | 13 | 63 | 276 | 50 | 22 | 3 | 100% | 4.8 | 12.3% | 10.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.14 | 4.16 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Danville Braves | 13 | 13 | 63 | 276 | 50 | 22 | 3 | 100% | 4.8 | 18.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 1.1% | 3.14 | 3.18 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Rome Braves | 26 | 25 | 126 | 565 | 133 | 58 | 14 | 96% | 4.8 | 17.4% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.14 | 5.49 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Rome Braves | 26 | 25 | 126 | 565 | 133 | 58 | 14 | 96% | 4.8 | 23.5% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 2.5% | 4.14 | 3.81 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 146 | 625 | 117 | 59 | 15 | 100% | 5.6 | 13.9% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.70 | 5.70 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 146 | 625 | 117 | 59 | 15 | 100% | 5.6 | 18.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 3.70 | 4.05 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 24 | 12 | 76 | 315 | 80 | 31 | 5 | 50% | 3.2 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 3.20 | 4.18 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 24 | 12 | 76 | 315 | 80 | 31 | 5 | 50% | 3.2 | 25.4% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 1.6% | 3.20 | 3.07 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 1 | 60 | 244 | 69 | 22 | 2 | 2% | 1.3 | 22.2% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 1.3% | 2.56 | 3.01 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 1 | 60 | 244 | 69 | 22 | 2 | 2% | 1.3 | 28.3% | 9.0% | 19.3% | 0.8% | 2.56 | 2.33 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 51 | 249 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.1% | 17.2% | -1.1% | 3.2% | 6.22 | 5.65 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 51 | 249 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.3% | 16.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.22 | 5.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 33 | 0 | 35 | 147 | 33 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.57 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 31 | 0 | 33 | 138 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.34 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 195 | 98 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.34 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 193 | 84 | 585 | 2548 | 414 | 289 | 79 | 44% | 3.0 | 16.2% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.65 | 4.86 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 29 | 200 | 871 | 142 | 99 | 27 | 44% | 3.0 | 16.2% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.65 | 4.86 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Odalvi Javier (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 22.4% | 10.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.72 | 22.1% | 11.5% | 33 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 77 |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 73 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 72 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 71 |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.76 | 19.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% | .347 | 3.99 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 169 | +0.23 | 3.73 | 725 | 70 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 70 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 69 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 69 |
| Tim Dillard R 2029 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 68 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 68 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 68 |
| Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 67 |
| Aldo Montes R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.41 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 210 | 66 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 66 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.10 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% | .321 | 4.41 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.69 | 3.33 | 556 | 66 |
| Paul Clemens R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 65 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 65 |
| Nathan Eovaldi R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.49 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 5.2% | .309 | 3.24 | 24.6% | 20.4% | 340 | -2.25 | 2.49 | 1,354 | 65 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 64 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.85 | 14.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .341 | 5.33 | 13.2% | 0.6% | 66 | +0.48 | 3.78 | 254 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 34 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 1.21 | 4.61 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |