Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | 11 | 9 | 44 | 199 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 82% | 4.0 | 8.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.68 | 5.22 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | 11 | 9 | 44 | 199 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 82% | 4.0 | 13.1% | 3.5% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 5.68 | 4.16 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Asheville Tourists | 23 | 23 | 121 | 526 | 82 | 32 | 13 | 100% | 5.3 | 11.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 5.04 | 4.48 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Asheville Tourists | 23 | 23 | 121 | 526 | 82 | 32 | 13 | 100% | 5.3 | 15.6% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 5.04 | 3.93 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | 27 | 27 | 146 | 663 | 79 | 48 | 20 | 100% | 5.4 | 9.2% | 8.3% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 5.86 | 4.71 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | 27 | 27 | 146 | 663 | 79 | 48 | 20 | 100% | 5.4 | 11.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.86 | 4.78 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 37 | 7 | 67 | 301 | 50 | 19 | 12 | 19% | 1.8 | 13.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.91 | 5.52 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 37 | 7 | 67 | 301 | 50 | 19 | 12 | 19% | 1.8 | 16.6% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 5.91 | 4.79 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 59 | 261 | 39 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 13.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 5.76 | 4.22 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 59 | 261 | 39 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 14.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 5.76 | 3.84 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 14 | 0 | 21 | 125 | 8 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 5.6% | 19.3% | -13.7% | 4.7% | 12.66 | 7.65 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 14 | 0 | 21 | 125 | 8 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 6.4% | 18.4% | -12.0% | 4.8% | 12.66 | 9.24 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | COL | 12 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.61 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | COL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | COL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.78 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.40 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 155 | 66 | 459 | 2075 | 222 | 167 | 65 | 43% | 3.0 | 10.7% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.94 | 4.93 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 29 | 200 | 903 | 97 | 73 | 28 | 43% | 3.0 | 10.7% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.94 | 4.93 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Will Gaddis (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 21.8% | 10.2% | 3.1% | — | 4.78 | 21.6% | 11.2% | 20 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Esmil Rogers R 2025 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 73 |
| Carlos Frías R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 70 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 69 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 68 |
| Tim Dillard R 2028 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 68 |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 68 |
| Steve Johnson R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 68 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 67 |
| Chris Leroux R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 64 |
| Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 64 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.88 | 15.8% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 221 | 63 |
| Eder Llamas R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.21 | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.2% | .301 | 3.27 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 64 | -0.94 | 3.27 | 171 | 63 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 63 |
| Paul Clemens R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 63 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 62 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | .333 | 3.66 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.62 | 3.66 | 348 | 62 |
| Murphy Smith R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.47 | 13.6% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 300 | 62 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 62 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 61 |
| Aldo Montes R 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.41 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 210 | 61 |