Glenn Otto Jr.
P
Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Age 30
RHP
6'3" / 240 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 56 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130120vR 111
ERA4.73
FIP4.90
K%22.1%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%10.3%
ROS IP56
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3893.7
Whiff%
p9033.3%
K%
p4621.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.404
SL-1.1
FB-3.4
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Yankees West | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -1.12 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Yankees West | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.23 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 2 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 100% | 5.2 | 17.8% | 15.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.48 | 4.79 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 2 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 100% | 5.2 | 17.8% | 15.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.48 | 4.84 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 14 | 61 | 265 | 74 | 36 | 1 | 82% | 3.6 | 21.4% | 15.5% | 5.9% | 0.6% | 3.23 | 3.56 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 14 | 61 | 265 | 74 | 36 | 1 | 82% | 3.6 | 27.9% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 0.4% | 3.23 | 2.66 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 22 | 119 | 491 | 162 | 32 | 8 | 96% | 5.2 | 28.3% | 6.9% | 21.3% | 1.7% | 4.39 | 2.53 | +4.0 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 22 | 119 | 491 | 162 | 32 | 8 | 96% | 5.2 | 33.0% | 6.5% | 26.5% | 1.6% | 4.39 | 2.06 | +4.7 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 145 | 627 | 119 | 65 | 22 | 100% | 4.8 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 4.52 | 4.81 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 145 | 627 | 119 | 65 | 22 | 100% | 4.8 | 19.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 4.52 | 4.77 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 9 | 46 | 207 | 54 | 32 | 11 | 47% | 2.4 | 23.6% | 16.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.52 | 6.02 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 9 | 46 | 207 | 54 | 32 | 11 | 47% | 2.4 | 26.1% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 5.52 | 5.97 | -0.8 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 5 | 16 | 78 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 38% | 1.3 | 25.4% | 17.8% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 7.71 | 4.48 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 5 | 16 | 78 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 38% | 1.3 | 26.9% | 17.9% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 7.71 | 5.49 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 9 | 9 | 52 | 221 | 49 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 4.73 | 4.90 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 8 | 8 | 49 | 206 | 44 | 25 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 4.97 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 39 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 5.22 | 5.39 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 7 | 7 | 41 | 175 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.7% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.49 | 5.67 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 3 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 4.97 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 5.22 | 5.39 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 5 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 23 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.7% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.49 | 5.67 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 51 | 45 | 240 | 1048 | 207 | 114 | 40 | 88% | 4.7 | 19.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 5.52 | 4.92 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 37 | 200 | 872 | 172 | 95 | 33 | 88% | 4.7 | 19.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 5.52 | 4.92 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 106 | 84 | 401 | 1723 | 391 | 195 | 45 | 79% | 3.8 | 22.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 4.47 | 4.07 | +6.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 42 | 200 | 859 | 195 | 97 | 23 | 79% | 3.8 | 22.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 4.47 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Glenn Otto Jr. (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.90 | 22.1% | 11.7% | 3.3% | — | 5.38 | 20.5% | 8.1% | 135 | +0.48 | — | — | — |
| Fabio Castillo R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 76 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.22 | 19.8% | 11.1% | 4.3% | .333 | 4.92 | 15.8% | 7.4% | 182 | -0.30 | 2.32 | 676 | 75 |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 74 |
| Zack Segovia R 2028 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 73 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 73 |
| Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 72 |
| Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 72 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 71 |
| Aaron Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.9% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .291 | 3.31 | 24.6% | 19.0% | 112 | -1.45 | 2.75 | 902 | 70 |
| David Hale R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.17 | 15.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | .299 | 3.66 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 114 | -0.51 | 3.26 | 493 | 69 |
| Yohan Pino R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 68 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.84 | 17.4% | 7.1% | 2.4% | .315 | 5.10 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 305 | +1.26 | 3.84 | 567 | 67 |
| Tim Adleman R 2025 · 5.42 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.42 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | .276 | 4.57 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 117 | -0.85 | 3.61 | 605 | 66 |
| Tim Lincecum R 2027 · 4.20 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.20 | 18.0% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .296 | 5.09 | 17.4% | 6.3% | 89 | +0.89 | 4.20 | 166 | 66 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 66 |
| Matt Harvey R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.28 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 4.4% | .299 | 5.20 | 16.2% | 8.6% | 194 | -0.08 | 2.90 | 806 | 66 |
| Lucas Harrell R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.06 | 15.7% | 12.9% | 1.2% | .310 | 3.64 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 30 | -0.42 | 3.64 | 139 | 66 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.58 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .293 | 5.01 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 170 | +0.43 | 3.89 | 250 | 65 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2025 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.14 | 19.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 355 | 65 |
| Andrew Triggs R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.57 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 4.0% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.66 | 242 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 47 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 1.40 | 5.08 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |