Glenn Otto Jr.
P
Sugar Land Space Cowboys
+0.0
WAR
Age 30
RHP
6'3" / 240 lbs
AAA
ERA6.81
FIP4.60
xFIP5.05
SIERA4.59
K%23.6%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%12.5%
IP17
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†5050
FB Velo
p3893.7
Whiff%
p9033.3%
K%
p4621.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.404
SL-1.1
FB-3.4
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Yankees West | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 2 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 8 | 7 | 1 | — | — | — | 3.48 | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Tampa Tarpons | 17 | 14 | 61 | 265 | 74 | 36 | 1 | 21.4% | 15.5% | 0.5% | 3.23 | 3.55 | +1.0 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 23 | 22 | 119 | 491 | 162 | 32 | 8 | 28.3% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 4.39 | 2.55 | +3.7 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 30 | 30 | 145 | 627 | 119 | 65 | 22 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 4.52 | 4.84 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 19 | 9 | 46 | 207 | 54 | 32 | 11 | 23.6% | 16.1% | 4.9% | 5.52 | 5.81 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 13 | 5 | 16 | 78 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 25.4% | 17.8% | 2.1% | 7.71 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 16 | — | 16 | 68 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 21.5% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 7.00 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 20.9% | 11.9% | 3.3% | 5.82 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 106 | 84 | 401 | 1723 | 391 | 195 | 45 | 22.7% | 11.3% | 2.6% | 4.47 | 4.05 | +5.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 42 | 200 | 859 | 195 | 97 | 22 | 22.7% | 11.3% | 2.6% | 4.47 | 4.05 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Glenn Otto Jr. (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.93 | 21.5% | 11.7% | 3.2% | — | 5.03 | 20.9% | 9.1% | 20 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 89 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 87 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.58 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .338 | 3.79 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 75 | -0.79 | 3.73 | 164 | 81 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.43 | 3.01 | 260 | 80 |
| Louis Coleman R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.98 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .288 | 3.64 | 22.0% | 10.9% | 144 | -0.34 | 3.10 | 256 | 79 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 78 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.10 | 19.8% | 11.1% | 4.1% | .333 | 5.03 | 15.8% | 7.4% | 182 | -0.07 | 2.39 | 676 | 77 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 77 |
| Zack Segovia R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 76 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.16 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | .373 | 3.54 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.62 | 3.45 | 170 | 75 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.24 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.9% | .349 | 3.54 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.70 | 3.05 | 227 | 75 |
| Jean Machi R 2029 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 75 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.75 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% | .244 | 4.71 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +0.96 | 3.75 | 521 | 74 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.31 | 18.7% | 12.6% | 2.2% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 104 | 73 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 160 | 73 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.90 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 133 | 73 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.26 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .360 | 6.40 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 96 | +2.14 | 4.26 | 258 | 73 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 73 |
| Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.81 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.32 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.51 | 2.26 | 172 | 73 |
| André Rienzo R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.38 | 18.9% | 15.6% | 1.6% | .301 | 5.33 | 17.9% | 6.1% | 29 | +0.95 | 3.54 | 200 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.