Julian Merryweather
P
Nashville Sounds
+0.1
WAR
Age 34
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.42
FIP4.47
xFIP4.62
SIERA4.86
K%23.4%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%12.6%
IP17
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL3030
CMD3030
K†6060
FB Velo
p7196.0
Whiff%
p1019.2%
K%
p1417.0%
xwOBA vs
p100.391
SL (51%)
CH-0.7 (1%)
FB-2.8 (48%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A | Lake County Captains | 21 | 4 | 71 | 318 | 69 | 11 | 6 | 16.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 4.08 | 3.40 | +1.3 |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 24 | 24 | 135 | 561 | 119 | 32 | 10 | 16.8% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 2.60 | 3.77 | +2.3 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 25 | 25 | 129 | 561 | 128 | 35 | 16 | 19.4% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 5.32 | 3.83 | +2.1 |
| 2019 | 27 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | 2 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 9.00 | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 8 | 3 | 13 | 55 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 27.3% | 10.9% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 2.18 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 19 | 3 | 18 | 78 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 21.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.00 | 6.12 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 41 | 2 | 43 | 180 | 45 | 12 | 4 | 22.3% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 4.19 | 3.26 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 69 | 0 | 72 | 303 | 98 | 36 | 8 | 32.3% | 11.9% | 2.7% | 3.38 | 3.33 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 21 | 0 | 22 | 102 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 18.9% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 4.98 | 3.04 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 33 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 44 | 0 | 42 | 189 | 46 | 21 | 7 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.8% | 5.83 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 17 | — | 17 | 73 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 25.5% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.70 | 4.50 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 24.8% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 274 | 63 | 550 | 2376 | 493 | 183 | 61 | 20.7% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 4.18 | 3.72 | +9.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 100 | 23 | 200 | 865 | 179 | 67 | 22 | 20.7% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 4.18 | 3.72 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Julian Merryweather (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 25.5% | 12.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.65 | 24.8% | 12.3% | 20 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.10 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 277 | 74 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 71 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 71 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.75 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.7% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.31 | 187 | 71 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.81 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.64 | 3.81 | 208 | 70 |
| Radhames Liz R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.49 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 110 | 70 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 70 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.96 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.52 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.56 | 2.57 | 251 | 69 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2024 · 3.38 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.38 | 24.3% | 12.4% | 1.4% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 129 | 69 |
| Arquimedes Caminero R 2024 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.60 | 18.6% | 11.1% | 3.0% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 173 | 68 |
| Rafael Dolis R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 19.9% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 162 | 67 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.85 | 26.8% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .380 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 268 | 67 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 67 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 67 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.18 | 23.7% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .253 | 5.14 | 25.0% | 13.8% | 32 | +0.96 | 3.38 | 212 | 67 |
| Kodai Senga R 2025 · 3.69 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.69 | 29.7% | 10.9% | 3.1% | .417 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 305 | 67 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.94 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 147 | 67 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.36 | 20.5% | 11.5% | 2.8% | .412 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 137 | 66 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 66 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 3.37 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.37 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | .312 | 4.52 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +1.15 | 3.37 | 144 | 66 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.