Julian Merryweather

Julian Merryweather P St. Paul Saints

Age 34 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.73

FIP4.69

K%23.7%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%11.2%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7196.0

Whiff%

p1019.2%

p1417.0%

xwOBA vs

p100.391

SL (51%)

CH-0.7 (1%)

FB-2.8 (48%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	23	A MLE	Lake County Captains	21	4	71	318	69	11	6	19%	3.4	16.1%	4.1%	12.0%	2.1%	4.08	3.41	—
2015	23	A RAW	Lake County Captains	21	4	71	318	69	11	6	19%	3.4	21.7%	3.5%	18.2%	1.9%	4.08	2.72	—
2016	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	135	561	119	32	10	100%	5.6	16.8%	6.4%	10.4%	2.3%	2.60	3.76	—
2016	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	135	561	119	32	10	100%	5.6	21.2%	5.7%	15.5%	1.8%	2.60	3.01	—
2017	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	129	561	128	35	16	100%	5.1	19.4%	6.6%	12.8%	2.7%	5.32	3.79	—
2017	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	129	561	128	35	16	100%	5.1	22.8%	6.2%	16.6%	2.9%	5.32	3.54	—
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	2	2	6	29	7	2	1	100%	3.0	24.1%	6.9%	17.2%	3.4%	9.00	3.83	—
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	2	2	6	29	7	2	1	100%	3.0	24.1%	6.9%	17.2%	3.4%	9.00	3.93	—
2020	28	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	8	3	13	55	15	6	0	38%	1.6	27.3%	10.9%	16.4%	0.0%	4.15	2.18	+0.4
2020	28	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	8	3	13	55	15	6	0	38%	1.6	27.3%	10.9%	16.4%	0.0%	4.15	2.18	+0.4
2021	29	MIX MLE	4 levels	19	3	18	78	19	6	4	16%	0.9	21.8%	7.3%	14.5%	7.3%	5.00	6.17	-0.3
2021	29	MIX RAW	4 levels	19	3	18	78	19	6	4	16%	0.9	24.4%	7.7%	16.7%	5.1%	5.00	4.88	-0.1
2022	30	MIX MLE	4 levels	41	2	43	180	45	12	4	5%	1.0	22.3%	7.1%	15.3%	2.3%	4.19	3.37	+0.6
2022	30	MIX RAW	4 levels	41	2	43	180	45	12	4	5%	1.0	25.0%	6.7%	18.3%	2.2%	4.19	3.05	+0.8
2023	31	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	69	0	72	303	98	36	8	0%	1.0	32.3%	11.9%	20.5%	2.7%	3.38	3.38	+1.0
2023	31	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	69	0	72	303	98	36	8	0%	1.0	32.3%	11.9%	20.5%	2.7%	3.38	3.38	+1.0
2023	31	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	69	0	72	303	98	36	8	0%	1.0	32.3%	11.9%	20.5%	2.6%	3.38	3.32	+1.1
2024	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	0	22	102	22	10	0	0%	1.0	18.9%	12.2%	6.8%	0.0%	4.98	3.04	+0.4
2024	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	0	22	102	22	10	0	0%	1.0	18.9%	12.2%	6.8%	0.0%	4.98	3.04	+0.4
2024	32	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	0	22	102	22	10	0	0%	1.0	21.6%	9.8%	11.8%	0.0%	4.98	2.45	+0.5
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	42	189	46	21	7	0%	0.9	21.6%	10.5%	11.1%	3.7%	5.83	4.65	-0.0
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	42	189	46	21	7	0%	0.9	21.6%	10.5%	11.1%	3.7%	5.83	4.65	-0.0
2025	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	42	189	46	21	7	0%	0.9	24.3%	11.1%	13.2%	3.7%	5.83	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			152	5	158	694	177	70	18	3%	1.0	25.5%	10.1%	15.4%	2.6%	4.72	3.67	+1.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	34	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	24	2	26	109	35	7	3	8%	1.1	27.7%	8.2%	19.5%	1.7%	4.21	2.71	—
YTD	34	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	24	2	26	109	35	7	3	8%	1.1	27.7%	8.2%	19.5%	1.7%	4.21	2.71	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	34	ROK RAW	MIN	4	2	4	23	4	0	1	50%	1.1	17.4%	0.0%	17.4%	4.3%	12.46	4.02	—
2026	34	A RAW	MIN	4	0	4	20	9	1	1	0%	1.1	45.0%	5.0%	40.0%	5.0%	4.15	2.68	—
2026	34	AAA RAW	MIN	16	0	17	66	22	6	1	0%	1.1	33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	1.5%	2.12	2.27	—
ROS	34	MLB MLE	MIN	5	0	5	21	5	3	1	0%	1.0	23.7%	12.5%	11.2%	3.0%	4.73	4.69	-0.0
2026 TOT	34	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	31	130	40	10	4	—	—	30.7%	7.4%	23.3%	2.8%	4.29	3.04	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	MIN	47	0	50	210	48	27	7	0%	1.1	22.8%	13.1%	9.7%	3.3%	4.91	5.02	-0.3
2028	36	MLB MLE	MIN	42	0	44	186	40	25	7	0%	1.0	21.7%	13.7%	8.0%	3.7%	5.20	5.39	-0.4
2027	35	MLB CTX	MIN	3	0	3	13	3	2	0	0%	1.0	22.8%	13.1%	9.7%	3.3%	4.91	5.02	-0.0
2028	36	MLB CTX	MIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.7%	13.7%	8.0%	3.7%	5.20	5.39	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		155	5	162	708	180	72	18	3%	1.0	25.5%	10.1%	15.3%	2.6%	4.72	3.67	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		192	6	200	876	223	89	22	3%	1.0	25.5%	10.1%	15.3%	2.6%	4.72	3.67	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		298	65	575	2485	522	190	63	22%	1.9	21.0%	7.6%	13.4%	2.5%	4.18	3.68	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		104	23	200	864	181	66	22	22%	1.9	21.0%	7.6%	13.4%	2.5%	4.18	3.68	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Julian Merryweather (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	23.7%	12.5%	3.0%	—	5.19	22.3%	8.9%	94	+0.50	—	—	—
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	71
Diego Moreno R 2021 · 4.75 FIP	34	SU	4.75	18.6%	9.4%	3.7%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	187	71
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2018 · 4.07 FIP	34	SW	4.07	23.7%	9.9%	3.1%	.253	5.11	25.0%	13.8%	32	+1.04	3.34	212	70
Dustin McGowan R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	22.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.230	4.58	19.4%	12.7%	78	+0.76	3.82	208	70
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.58	22.0%	11.7%	191	+0.06	3.08	366	69
Radhames Liz R 2018 · 4.45 FIP	34	SU	4.45	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.343	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	110	69
Arquimedes Caminero R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	32	SU	4.62	18.6%	11.1%	3.1%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.54	173	69
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	69
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	69
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	68
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	68
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	67
Pedro Strop R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	34	SU	4.05	27.5%	10.7%	3.5%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	277	67
Jim Johnson R 2017 · 3.89 FIP	34	SU	3.89	23.8%	8.6%	3.1%	.309	4.48	16.8%	9.0%	63	+0.59	2.56	251	67
Matt Bush R 2018 · 4.72 FIP	32	SU	4.72	17.6%	13.0%	2.7%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	249	67
Rafael Dolis R 2022 · 3.61 FIP	34	SU	3.61	19.9%	11.9%	1.2%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	162	67
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	66
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	147	66
Chris Hatcher R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	18.0%	9.6%	4.6%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	176	66
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	50	22.8%	13.1%	1.27	4.93
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84