Sam McWilliams
P
Worcester Red Sox
Age 30
RHP
6'7" / 230 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION5 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA4.98
FIP4.98
K%25.0%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 7 | 7 | 33 | 134 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 4.7 | 10.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 3.27 | 3.36 | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 7 | 7 | 33 | 134 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 4.7 | 15.7% | 3.7% | 11.9% | 0.7% | 3.27 | 2.68 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Kane County Cougars | 15 | 15 | 75 | 318 | 43 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 5.0 | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.98 | 4.05 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Kane County Cougars | 15 | 15 | 75 | 318 | 43 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 5.0 | 13.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 1.3% | 3.98 | 3.37 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Kane County Cougars | 25 | 25 | 133 | 524 | 98 | 29 | 5 | 100% | 5.3 | 13.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 2.84 | 3.61 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Kane County Cougars | 25 | 25 | 133 | 524 | 98 | 29 | 5 | 100% | 5.3 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 13.2% | 1.0% | 2.84 | 2.77 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 23 | 138 | 596 | 133 | 49 | 14 | 85% | 5.1 | 17.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.39 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 23 | 138 | 596 | 133 | 49 | 14 | 85% | 5.1 | 22.3% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 2.3% | 4.38 | 3.56 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 19 | 132 | 583 | 109 | 46 | 10 | 73% | 5.1 | 15.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 4.10 | 3.84 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 19 | 132 | 583 | 109 | 46 | 10 | 73% | 5.1 | 18.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 1.7% | 4.10 | 3.48 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 2 | 49 | 243 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 6% | 1.4 | 19.7% | 21.0% | -1.4% | 4.1% | 8.27 | 6.34 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 2 | 49 | 243 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 6% | 1.4 | 23.0% | 19.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 8.27 | 5.88 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 5 | 19 | 96 | 18 | 19 | 2 | 56% | 2.1 | 16.2% | 18.3% | -2.1% | 2.7% | 10.12 | 5.55 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 5 | 19 | 96 | 18 | 19 | 2 | 56% | 2.1 | 18.8% | 19.8% | -1.0% | 2.1% | 10.12 | 5.62 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 4 | 63 | 294 | 88 | 41 | 14 | 11% | 1.8 | 26.6% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 6.82 | 6.28 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 4 | 63 | 294 | 88 | 41 | 14 | 11% | 1.8 | 29.9% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 4.8% | 6.82 | 5.14 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 18 | 0 | 21 | 105 | 31 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.0% | 17.0% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 5.66 | 4.47 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 18 | 0 | 21 | 105 | 31 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.5% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 5.66 | 4.45 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 4 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | 7.20 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | BOS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 3.6% | 4.98 | 4.98 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | BOS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 3.6% | 4.98 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 25 | 109 | 28 | 16 | 5 | — | — | 25.7% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 4.6% | 5.43 | 3.98 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 25.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 3.6% | 4.98 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 3.8% | 5.03 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 3.8% | 5.03 | 5.11 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 5.02 | 4.70 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 214 | 107 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 5.02 | 4.70 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 203 | 100 | 667 | 2918 | 492 | 301 | 79 | 49% | 3.3 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 4.66 | 4.48 | +7.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 30 | 200 | 875 | 148 | 90 | 24 | 49% | 3.3 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 4.66 | 4.48 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sam McWilliams (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.98 | 25.0% | 12.8% | 3.6% | — | 5.11 | 24.4% | 11.6% | 20 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 65 |
| Carlos Frías R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 64 |
| Steve Johnson R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 64 |
| Jimmy Nelson R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.37 | 26.9% | 14.6% | 3.1% | .329 | 1.32 | 37.9% | 26.7% | 29 | -3.05 | 1.32 | 650 | 63 |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 63 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 63 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 61 |
| Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 61 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 61 |
| Nick Tropeano R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.21 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .302 | 4.48 | 20.8% | 1.9% | 21 | +0.27 | 2.28 | 446 | 61 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 60 |
| Chris Mazza R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.90 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .348 | 3.84 | 21.4% | 13.5% | 111 | -0.06 | 3.27 | 563 | 60 |
| Derek Eitel R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 17.2% | 16.0% | 2.0% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 138 | 59 |
| André Rienzo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.33 | 18.9% | 15.6% | 1.5% | .301 | 5.30 | 17.9% | 6.1% | 29 | +0.97 | 3.58 | 200 | 59 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.88 | 15.8% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 221 | 59 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 59 |
| Aldo Montes R 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.41 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 210 | 58 |
| Paul Clemens R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 58 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.77 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.77 | 18.6% | 19.3% | 3.3% | .238 | 5.06 | 18.9% | 3.2% | 33 | -0.71 | 4.11 | 563 | 57 |
| Chris Leroux R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 57 |