Zach Logue
P
Oklahoma City Baseball Club
Age 30
LHP
6'0" / 165 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 116 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114123vR 133
ERA4.91
FIP5.04
K%17.3%
BB%8.4%
K-BB%9.0%
ROS IP116
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 116 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SI (5%)
CU (12%)
CH (5%)
CT-0.5 (5%)
FB-1.1 (79%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Bluefield Blue Jays | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 67% | 1.7 | 31.2% | 0.0% | 31.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.46 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Bluefield Blue Jays | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 67% | 1.7 | 31.2% | 0.0% | 31.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 25 | 154 | 633 | 129 | 34 | 16 | 93% | 5.7 | 15.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 3.15 | 4.10 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 25 | 154 | 633 | 129 | 34 | 16 | 93% | 5.7 | 20.4% | 5.4% | 15.0% | 2.5% | 3.15 | 3.44 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 18 | 104 | 445 | 83 | 36 | 15 | 90% | 5.2 | 15.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.14 | 6.10 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 18 | 104 | 445 | 83 | 36 | 15 | 90% | 5.2 | 18.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 4.14 | 4.41 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 125 | 511 | 144 | 27 | 15 | 96% | 5.0 | 24.1% | 5.6% | 18.5% | 3.2% | 3.67 | 3.51 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 125 | 511 | 144 | 27 | 15 | 96% | 5.0 | 28.2% | 5.3% | 22.9% | 2.9% | 3.67 | 3.00 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 27 | 136 | 642 | 101 | 57 | 38 | 87% | 4.4 | 14.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.56 | 6.23 | -1.3 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 27 | 136 | 642 | 101 | 57 | 38 | 87% | 4.4 | 15.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.56 | 6.51 | -1.8 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 21 | 101 | 469 | 95 | 46 | 23 | 70% | 3.4 | 17.8% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.66 | 6.57 | -1.4 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 21 | 101 | 469 | 95 | 46 | 23 | 70% | 3.4 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 6.66 | 5.54 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 13 | 99 | 405 | 95 | 28 | 9 | 48% | 3.7 | 20.2% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 2.90 | 3.95 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 13 | 99 | 405 | 95 | 28 | 9 | 48% | 3.7 | 23.5% | 6.9% | 16.5% | 2.2% | 2.90 | 3.21 | +2.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 28 | 28 | 165 | 697 | 121 | 58 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 4.91 | 5.04 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 26 | 26 | 154 | 650 | 111 | 56 | 24 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 5.05 | 5.19 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 24 | 24 | 142 | 601 | 100 | 54 | 24 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 5.22 | 5.38 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 57 | 241 | 41 | 21 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 5.05 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 78 | 329 | 55 | 30 | 13 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 5.22 | 5.38 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 42 | 33 | 205 | 888 | 152 | 72 | 39 | 79% | 4.9 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 5.85 | 5.10 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 32 | 200 | 866 | 148 | 70 | 38 | 78% | 4.9 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 5.85 | 5.10 | +0.7 | ||
| Career | — | 163 | 130 | 725 | 3121 | 552 | 246 | 140 | 80% | 4.4 | 17.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 4.64 | 5.06 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 36 | 200 | 861 | 152 | 68 | 39 | 80% | 4.4 | 17.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 4.64 | 5.06 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zach Logue (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.04 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | — | 5.28 | 16.9% | 8.0% | 296 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Wade Miley L 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.81 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .328 | 3.88 | 18.3% | 10.1% | 288 | -0.93 | 3.36 | 1,167 | 74 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.83 | 14.3% | 7.8% | 3.6% | .297 | 5.54 | 14.8% | 6.8% | 220 | +0.71 | 3.47 | 512 | 72 |
| John Danks L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.30 | 16.1% | 7.2% | 3.0% | .303 | 5.79 | 16.0% | 5.0% | 22 | +1.49 | 4.30 | 200 | 70 |
| Jonathon Niese L 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% | .308 | 5.56 | 10.9% | 2.7% | 70 | +0.27 | 4.17 | 368 | 69 |
| Everett Teaford L 2027 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 69 |
| Jaime García L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.25 | 20.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .299 | 4.23 | 19.4% | 9.7% | 239 | -0.02 | 2.89 | 540 | 68 |
| Derek Holland L 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.80 | 16.6% | 11.7% | 4.8% | .299 | 4.55 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 296 | -1.25 | 3.76 | 686 | 68 |
| Brett Oberholtzer L 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.82 | 13.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 442 | 68 |
| Hyun Jin Ryu L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.63 | 21.4% | 7.8% | 4.3% | .294 | 2.93 | 24.5% | 20.5% | 332 | -1.70 | 2.87 | 725 | 68 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2028 · 4.71 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.71 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | .301 | 4.61 | 10.9% | 4.2% | 217 | -0.10 | 4.24 | 445 | 67 |
| Brad Mills L 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.98 | 14.5% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .294 | 6.49 | 14.4% | 2.6% | 44 | +1.51 | 4.98 | 182 | 67 |
| Tomas Solis L 2028 · 4.35 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.35 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | .264 | 5.50 | 12.0% | 3.7% | 159 | +1.15 | 4.35 | 327 | 67 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.40 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .292 | 4.68 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.28 | 4.40 | 408 | 66 |
| Christian Friedrich L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.08 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 2.5% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 188 | 66 |
| Alejandro Astorga L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.17 | 14.4% | 8.2% | 2.3% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 311 | 65 |
| Wei-Yin Chen L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.93 | 19.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | .288 | 4.32 | 19.3% | 13.2% | 290 | +0.39 | 3.68 | 549 | 64 |
| Andrew Albers L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.16 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% | .347 | 3.01 | 20.7% | 16.2% | 162 | -1.15 | 3.01 | 508 | 63 |
| Kramer Sneed L 2023 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.29 | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.3% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 116 | 63 |
| Mike Minor L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.18 | 20.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | .253 | 4.18 | 23.2% | 16.0% | 424 | +0.00 | 2.42 | 807 | 62 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.28 | 14.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | .367 | 4.16 | 15.9% | 10.3% | 97 | -0.12 | 3.97 | 280 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 154 | 17.0% | 8.7% | 1.45 | 5.05 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |
| Ricky Nolasco ('17) | 3 | 139 | 18.1% | 6.5% | 1.38 | 4.85 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Miguel González ('17) | 3 | 145 | 16.2% | 7.5% | 1.18 | 4.44 |