Jordan Holloway

P Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 31 RHP 6'6" / 230 lbs AA

Overview

AARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	27	MIX2 levels	37	32	7.11	5.53	32.5%	24.1%	—	K 26.9% · BB 23.1% · FIP 5.58
2024	28	AAASEA	35	32	10.02	6.90	24.0%	26.8%	—	K 20.7% · BB 24.1% · FIP 5.89
2025	29	MIX2 levels	21	22	3.68	3.87	25.0%	18.0%	—	K 19.6% · BB 19.7% · FIP 4.61
2027PROJ	31	MLBLAA	52	55	5.57	5.61	23.1%	19.2%	-0.6
2028PROJ31% MLB	32	MLBLAA	15	16	5.62	5.74	22.4%	18.6%	-0.2
2029PROJ51% MLB	33	MLBLAA	23	24	5.75	5.91	21.6%	18.3%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2021

FB Velo62

Whiff%62

K%53

xwOBA vs51

CompsJim Miller (age 30) · Angel Sánchez (age 33) · Antonio Guzman (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA5.57

FIP5.61

K%23.1%

BB%19.2%

K-BB%3.9%

Proj IP55

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL2020

CMD3535

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6295.4

Whiff%

p6227.2%

p5322.8%

xwOBA vs

p510.311

FB-0.8

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	19	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	2	2	9	39	4	6	0	100%	4.5	10.3%	15.4%	-5.1%	0.0%	7.00	4.18	—
2015	19	A RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	2	2	9	39	4	6	0	100%	4.5	10.3%	15.4%	-5.1%	0.0%	7.00	4.21	—
2016	20	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	8	8	31	139	24	15	8	100%	3.8	12.8%	12.7%	0.0%	5.4%	6.16	6.61	—
2016	20	A RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	8	8	31	139	24	15	8	100%	3.8	17.3%	10.8%	6.5%	5.8%	6.16	6.39	—
2017	21	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	11	11	50	213	50	22	10	100%	4.5	17.4%	12.2%	5.2%	5.2%	5.22	6.05	—
2017	21	A RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	11	11	50	213	50	22	10	100%	4.5	23.5%	10.3%	13.1%	4.7%	5.22	5.02	—
2018	22	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	3	3	3	14	5	0	0	100%	0.9	35.7%	0.0%	35.7%	0.0%	0.00	0.08	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	GCL Marlins	3	3	3	14	5	0	0	100%	0.9	35.7%	0.0%	35.7%	0.0%	0.00	-0.65	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	21	21	95	422	93	66	6	100%	4.5	17.0%	18.0%	-1.0%	2.2%	4.45	5.16	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	21	21	95	422	93	66	6	100%	4.5	22.0%	15.6%	6.4%	1.4%	4.45	4.05	—
2020	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	1	0	0	4	0	1	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	25.0%	-25.0%	0.0%	0.00	6.27	-0.0
2020	24	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	1	0	0	4	0	1	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	25.0%	-25.0%	0.0%	0.00	12.10	-0.0
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	12	69	306	67	41	8	52%	3.0	21.1%	13.9%	7.1%	3.2%	4.67	4.85	+0.0
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	12	69	306	67	41	8	52%	3.0	21.9%	13.4%	8.5%	2.6%	4.67	4.44	+0.4
2022	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	12	5	26	114	36	21	5	42%	2.2	27.1%	21.5%	5.5%	5.5%	5.81	6.54	-0.6
2022	26	MIX RAW	4 levels	12	5	26	114	36	21	5	42%	2.2	31.6%	18.4%	13.2%	4.4%	5.81	5.23	-0.2
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	32	166	54	40	5	0%	0.9	26.9%	23.1%	3.8%	3.3%	7.11	5.58	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	32	166	54	40	5	0%	0.9	32.5%	24.1%	8.4%	3.0%	7.11	5.53	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	35	0	32	179	43	48	5	0%	0.9	20.7%	24.1%	-3.5%	2.7%	10.02	5.89	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	35	0	32	179	43	48	5	0%	0.9	20.7%	24.1%	-3.5%	2.7%	10.02	5.89	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	35	0	32	179	43	48	5	0%	0.9	24.0%	26.8%	-2.8%	2.8%	10.02	6.90	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	22	100	25	18	1	0%	1.0	19.6%	19.7%	-0.1%	1.2%	3.68	4.61	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	22	100	25	18	1	0%	1.0	19.6%	19.7%	-0.1%	1.2%	3.68	4.61	—
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	22	100	25	18	1	0%	1.0	25.0%	18.0%	7.0%	1.0%	3.68	3.87	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			15	4	39	173	38	28	3	27%	2.6	22.0%	16.2%	5.8%	1.7%	3.92	4.31	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	LAA	52	0	55	232	54	45	7	0%	1.1	23.1%	19.2%	3.9%	3.0%	5.57	5.61	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	LAA	49	0	51	216	48	40	7	0%	1.0	22.4%	18.6%	3.8%	3.3%	5.62	5.74	-0.7
2029	33	MLB MLE	LAA	45	0	47	198	43	36	7	0%	1.0	21.6%	18.3%	3.2%	3.5%	5.75	5.91	-0.7
2030	34	MLB MLE	LAA	41	0	43	181	38	33	7	0%	1.0	20.8%	18.4%	2.4%	3.8%	5.95	6.14	-0.7
2028	32	MLB CTX	LAA	15	0	16	68	15	13	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	18.6%	3.8%	3.3%	5.62	5.74	-0.2
2029	33	MLB CTX	LAA	23	0	24	101	22	19	4	0%	1.0	21.6%	18.3%	3.2%	3.5%	5.75	5.91	-0.4
2030	34	MLB CTX	LAA	19	0	20	84	18	16	3	0%	1.1	20.8%	18.4%	2.4%	3.8%	5.95	6.14	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		72	4	99	427	93	75	12	6%	1.4	21.7%	17.5%	4.2%	2.8%	5.05	5.03	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		146	8	200	861	187	151	24	6%	1.4	21.7%	17.5%	4.2%	2.8%	5.05	5.03	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		174	62	369	1696	332	295	56	36%	2.1	19.6%	17.4%	2.2%	3.3%	5.53	5.45	-2.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	34	200	918	180	160	30	36%	2.1	19.6%	17.4%	2.2%	3.3%	5.53	5.45	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jordan Holloway (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.61	23.1%	19.2%	3.0%	—	5.92	21.6%	3.2%	141	+0.31	—	—	—
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	62
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	62
Antonio Guzman R 2019 · 4.96 FIP	31	SU	4.96	19.3%	14.7%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	254	62
Bradin Hagens R 2019 · 5.46 FIP	30	SW	5.46	13.2%	12.6%	3.4%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	254	59
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	59
Mitchell Osnowitz R 2021 · 5.48 FIP	30	SU	5.48	19.6%	19.2%	2.9%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.54	132	59
Fredy Quintero R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	31	SU	4.62	17.2%	13.7%	2.2%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	241	59
Derek Eitel R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.2%	16.0%	1.9%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	138	59
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	58
Wes Parsons R 2024 · 5.24 FIP	31	SW	5.24	25.2%	15.4%	4.2%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	483	58
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	58
Clay Hensley R 2011 · 4.78 FIP	31	SW	4.78	15.5%	9.8%	3.2%	.249	4.37	17.9%	5.9%	51	-0.41	2.58	517	56
Murphy Smith R 2018 · 4.57 FIP	30	SW	4.57	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	300	56
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	56
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	55
Dan Winkler R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	31	SU	4.76	21.1%	15.3%	2.7%	.233	3.87	24.4%	10.4%	46	-0.89	2.40	231	55
Parker Markel R 2022 · 4.47 FIP	31	SU	4.47	25.5%	15.5%	2.9%	.340	—	—	—	—	—	3.18	266	55
Greg Aquino R 2009 · 4.64 FIP	31	SU	4.64	14.9%	16.2%	1.4%	.240	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	154	55
Manny Acosta R 2012 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.3%	11.1%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	350	54
David Carpenter R 2016 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.4%	12.8%	2.9%	.333	3.89	21.5%	11.9%	49	-0.60	2.66	275	54

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	47	22.0%	18.2%	1.20	5.41
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*