Aneurys Zabala

P Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 259 lbs AA

Overview

AARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	25	MIX3 levels	22	1	29	8.90	5.25	24.3%	21.6%	-0.2	K 22.2% · BB 24.7% · FIP 5.83
2023	26	AAADET	53	0	66	4.25	2.60	34.3%	16.3%	—	K 29.5% · BB 14.7% · FIP 2.92
2026	29	AALAA	9	0	10	6.30	3.90	20.0%	18.2%	—	K 16.2% · BB 20.0% · FIP 4.27
2027PROJ	30	MLBLAA	6	0	6	5.24	5.24	19.8%	15.0%	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	31	MLBLAA	6	0	6	5.27	5.35	19.8%	14.8%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsWirfin Obispo (age 30) · Jim Miller (age 30) · Esteban Haro (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 116

ERA5.24

FIP5.24

K%19.8%

BB%15.0%

K-BB%4.8%

Proj IP6

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

CH+0.7

FB-1.4

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	18	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	14	0	23	108	21	12	1	0%	1.7	13.2%	13.9%	-0.7%	1.3%	6.56	4.45	—
2015	18	ROK RAW	AZL Mariners	14	0	23	108	21	12	1	0%	1.7	19.4%	11.1%	8.3%	0.9%	6.56	3.40	—
2016	19	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	16	0	25	110	28	15	1	0%	1.6	17.3%	17.0%	0.3%	1.3%	2.88	4.50	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	AZL Mariners	16	0	25	110	28	15	1	0%	1.6	25.5%	13.6%	11.8%	0.9%	2.88	3.18	—
2017	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	25	128	25	18	2	0%	1.6	13.9%	17.1%	-3.2%	2.1%	7.66	5.27	—
2017	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	0	25	128	25	18	2	0%	1.6	19.5%	14.1%	5.5%	1.6%	7.66	4.32	—
2018	21	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	40	0	53	238	43	30	3	0%	1.3	13.4%	14.9%	-1.5%	1.5%	4.39	4.67	—
2018	21	A RAW	Dayton Dragons	40	0	53	238	43	30	3	0%	1.3	18.1%	12.6%	5.5%	1.3%	4.39	3.91	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	39	0	54	253	48	27	3	0%	1.4	14.6%	12.3%	2.3%	1.3%	5.63	4.16	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Daytona Tortugas	39	0	54	253	48	27	3	0%	1.4	19.0%	10.7%	8.3%	1.2%	5.63	3.54	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	43	189	63	17	8	0%	1.3	26.6%	10.1%	16.5%	4.3%	6.75	4.51	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	43	189	63	17	8	0%	1.3	33.3%	9.0%	24.3%	4.2%	6.75	3.78	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	1	29	148	36	32	3	5%	1.3	22.2%	24.7%	-2.5%	2.7%	8.90	5.83	-0.4
2022	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	1	29	148	36	32	3	5%	1.3	24.3%	21.6%	2.7%	2.0%	8.90	5.25	-0.2
2023	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	53	0	66	300	103	49	2	0%	1.2	29.5%	14.7%	14.8%	0.8%	4.25	2.92	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	53	0	66	300	103	49	2	0%	1.2	34.3%	16.3%	18.0%	0.7%	4.25	2.60	—
2026	29	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	9	0	10	55	11	10	0	0%	1.1	16.2%	20.0%	-3.8%	0.0%	6.30	4.27	—
2026	29	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	9	0	10	55	11	10	0	0%	1.1	16.2%	20.0%	-3.8%	0.0%	6.30	4.27	—
2026	29	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	9	0	10	55	11	10	0	0%	1.1	20.0%	18.2%	1.8%	0.0%	6.30	3.90	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			2	0	3	11	2	1	0	0%	1.3	18.2%	9.1%	9.1%	0.0%	0.00	2.73	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	LAA	6	0	6	25	5	4	1	0%	1.0	19.8%	15.0%	4.8%	2.8%	5.24	5.24	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	LAA	19	0	20	84	17	12	3	0%	1.1	19.8%	14.8%	5.0%	3.0%	5.27	5.35	-0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	LAA	6	0	6	25	5	4	1	0%	1.0	19.8%	14.8%	5.0%	3.0%	5.27	5.35	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	37	7	5	1	0%	1.1	19.3%	13.1%	6.2%	2.2%	3.70	4.31	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		178	0	200	839	157	112	22	0%	1.1	19.3%	13.1%	6.2%	2.2%	3.70	4.31	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		241	1	328	1529	300	233	27	0%	1.4	19.6%	15.2%	4.4%	1.8%	5.62	4.34	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	1	200	931	183	142	17	0%	1.4	19.6%	15.2%	4.4%	1.8%	5.62	4.34	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aneurys Zabala (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.24	19.8%	15.0%	2.8%	—	5.35	19.8%	5.0%	20	+0.11	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	84
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	78
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	74
Edwar Ramirez R 2010 · 4.76 FIP	29	SU	4.76	18.5%	16.7%	2.0%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	109	73
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	73
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.94	409	72
Taylor Williams R 2021 · 5.96 FIP	30	SU	5.96	19.9%	14.1%	5.0%	.261	3.79	18.8%	9.0%	101	-2.17	2.51	309	71
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	71
Kane Davis R 2005 · 5.15 FIP	30	SU	5.15	15.7%	14.3%	2.9%	.170	4.82	16.9%	6.7%	11	-0.33	3.40	125	71
Dennis Sarfate R 2009 · 4.81 FIP	28	SU	4.81	19.8%	13.9%	3.0%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	71
Greg Aquino R 2008 · 4.82 FIP	30	SU	4.82	16.7%	16.7%	1.8%	.450	4.64	14.9%	-1.3%	16	-0.18	4.10	154	70
Brandon Puffer R 2004 · 5.23 FIP	28	SU	5.23	13.5%	11.2%	3.4%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	108	69
Arcenio Leon R 2017 · 4.42 FIP	30	SU	4.42	18.5%	13.7%	2.1%	.203	3.61	21.4%	13.3%	18	-0.81	3.00	115	69
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	69
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	69
Jordan Jankowski R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	29	SU	4.76	21.8%	16.9%	2.5%	.396	—	—	—	—	—	2.57	196	69
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	69
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	69
Mitchell Osnowitz R 2021 · 5.48 FIP	30	SU	5.48	19.6%	19.2%	2.9%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.54	132	69
Caleb Simpson R 2022 · 4.46 FIP	30	SU	4.46	19.7%	13.0%	2.5%	.316	8.65	11.5%	-17.0%	12	+4.19	3.57	197	68