Norge Ruiz prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Norge Ruiz P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 32 RHP 5'10" / 180 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%18.2%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%9.5%

ROS IP25

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3093.1

Whiff%

p2221.3%

p2919.1%

xwOBA vs

p100.403

CH-1.6

FB-1.8

SL-4.5

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	58	245	42	15	4	100%	4.4	12.5%	7.2%	5.4%	1.5%	4.37	3.75	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	13	58	245	42	15	4	100%	4.4	17.1%	6.1%	11.0%	1.6%	4.37	3.33	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	134	578	86	38	15	96%	5.6	12.2%	7.2%	5.0%	3.3%	4.89	4.78	—
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	134	578	86	38	15	96%	5.6	14.9%	6.6%	8.3%	2.6%	4.89	4.12	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	69	327	54	23	14	0%	1.8	13.9%	7.5%	6.4%	4.5%	6.49	5.37	—
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	69	327	54	23	14	0%	1.8	16.5%	7.0%	9.5%	4.3%	6.49	5.16	—
2021	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	8	0	10	47	10	3	0	0%	1.3	21.3%	6.4%	14.9%	0.0%	6.97	2.11	—
2021	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	8	0	10	47	10	3	0	0%	1.3	21.3%	6.4%	14.9%	0.0%	6.97	2.04	—
2022	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	60	267	57	22	9	0%	1.3	19.6%	8.5%	11.1%	3.6%	4.80	4.48	+0.0
2022	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	60	267	57	22	9	0%	1.3	21.3%	8.2%	13.1%	3.4%	4.80	4.25	+0.2
2023	29	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	38	3	45	213	32	19	7	8%	1.2	12.9%	8.0%	4.9%	3.6%	6.95	5.02	—
2023	29	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	38	3	45	213	32	19	7	8%	1.2	12.9%	8.0%	4.9%	3.6%	6.95	5.02	—
2023	29	AAA RAW	Las Vegas Aviators	38	3	45	213	32	19	7	8%	1.2	15.0%	8.9%	6.1%	3.3%	6.95	4.95	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			14	0	19	94	18	7	4	0%	1.4	19.1%	7.4%	11.7%	4.3%	7.11	5.05	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	32	MLB	OAK	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.2%	8.7%	9.5%	3.0%	4.72	4.72	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	OAK	22	0	23	96	17	9	3	0%	1.0	17.8%	9.2%	8.6%	3.3%	4.84	4.96	-0.1
2027	33	MLB CTX	OAK	8	0	8	34	6	3	1	0%	1.0	17.8%	9.2%	8.6%	3.3%	4.84	4.96	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		22	0	27	129	24	10	5	0%	1.2	18.8%	7.9%	10.9%	4.0%	6.41	4.71	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		161	0	200	945	176	73	37	0%	1.2	18.8%	7.9%	10.9%	4.0%	6.41	4.71	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		166	39	377	1677	236	127	55	23%	2.3	14.1%	7.5%	6.5%	3.3%	5.40	4.65	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		88	21	200	890	125	67	29	23%	2.3	14.1%	7.5%	6.5%	3.3%	5.40	4.65	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Norge Ruiz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	18.2%	8.7%	3.0%	—	4.96	17.8%	8.6%	23	+0.24	—	—	—
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	75
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	75
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	73
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	72
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	71
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	71
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	71
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	71
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	70
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	70
Tyler Sturdevant R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	31	SU	4.48	13.5%	6.7%	3.0%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	149	69
Jesse Estrada R 2016 · 3.80 FIP	32	SU	3.80	10.1%	4.0%	1.9%	.285	4.89	11.2%	5.1%	180	+1.09	3.80	257	68
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	68
Brian Sanches R 2011 · 4.35 FIP	32	SU	4.35	19.6%	11.1%	2.7%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	229	68
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	68
Erik Davis R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	31	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	67
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	2.92	432	67
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	67
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	67
Ryan Kelly R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	14.7%	7.2%	2.8%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	131	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	18.4%	8.5%	1.36	5.44
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Lance Painter ('03)	2.2	56	16.7%	9.0%	1.32	5.24