Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 58 | 245 | 42 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 4.4 | 12.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 4.37 | 3.57 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 58 | 245 | 42 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 4.4 | 17.1% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | 4.37 | 3.33 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 134 | 578 | 86 | 38 | 15 | 96% | 5.6 | 12.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.89 | 4.93 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 134 | 578 | 86 | 38 | 15 | 96% | 5.6 | 14.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 4.89 | 4.12 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 69 | 327 | 54 | 23 | 14 | 0% | 1.8 | 13.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.49 | 5.26 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 69 | 327 | 54 | 23 | 14 | 0% | 1.8 | 16.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 6.49 | 5.16 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 8 | 0 | 10 | 47 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.3% | 6.4% | 14.9% | 0.0% | 6.97 | 2.11 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 8 | 0 | 10 | 47 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.3% | 6.4% | 14.9% | 0.0% | 6.97 | 2.04 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 60 | 267 | 57 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 60 | 267 | 57 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 4.25 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 38 | 3 | 45 | 213 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 8% | 1.2 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.95 | 5.17 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 38 | 3 | 45 | 213 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 8% | 1.2 | 15.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 6.95 | 4.95 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 24 | 0 | 25 | 104 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 22 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 22 | 0 | 27 | 129 | 25 | 10 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 6.35 | 4.65 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 161 | 0 | 200 | 945 | 183 | 73 | 37 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 6.35 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 166 | 39 | 377 | 1677 | 237 | 129 | 54 | 23% | 2.3 | 14.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 5.40 | 4.66 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 88 | 21 | 200 | 890 | 126 | 69 | 29 | 23% | 2.3 | 14.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 5.40 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Norge Ruiz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.73 | 21.2% | 11.6% | 23 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Collin McHugh R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.07 | 25.9% | 9.5% | 3.6% | .259 | 2.10 | 28.8% | 24.3% | 133 | -1.97 | 1.79 | 806 | 74 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 73 |
| Miguel Socolovich R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.60 | 20.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.59 | 18.4% | 13.7% | 42 | -0.01 | 2.60 | 283 | 71 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 71 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.94 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .292 | 3.77 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.17 | 3.15 | 272 | 70 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 69 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.07 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 365 | 69 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 69 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.26 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 147 | 69 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 69 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 68 |
| Logan Kensing R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 68 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 68 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 67 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 67 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.65 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .347 | 3.78 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.87 | 3.32 | 119 | 67 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2024 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 67 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 67 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 1.7% | .338 | 4.07 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 97 | +0.63 | 2.73 | 410 | 67 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.91 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 337 | 66 |