Sterling Sharp
P
Portland Sea Dogs
Age 31
RHP
6'3" / 182 lbs
AA
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
K%21.9%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%12.4%
ROS IP56
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL-1.0
FB-2.3
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 11 | 7 | 42 | 172 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 64% | 3.8 | 13.8% | 4.4% | 9.5% | 1.6% | 3.24 | 3.38 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 11 | 7 | 42 | 172 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 64% | 3.8 | 20.3% | 3.5% | 16.9% | 1.2% | 3.24 | 2.48 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 125 | 536 | 95 | 27 | 12 | 92% | 5.2 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 3.97 | 4.32 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 125 | 536 | 95 | 27 | 12 | 92% | 5.2 | 17.7% | 5.0% | 12.7% | 2.2% | 3.97 | 3.48 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 148 | 641 | 105 | 47 | 10 | 100% | 5.5 | 12.9% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 3.70 | 4.19 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 148 | 641 | 105 | 47 | 10 | 100% | 5.5 | 16.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 3.70 | 3.51 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 10 | 52 | 220 | 47 | 14 | 1 | 100% | 5.2 | 17.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 0.5% | 3.83 | 2.82 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 10 | 52 | 220 | 47 | 14 | 1 | 100% | 5.2 | 21.4% | 6.4% | 15.0% | 0.5% | 3.83 | 2.35 | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 4 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 10.3% | 17.2% | -6.9% | 3.4% | 10.12 | 6.30 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 4 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 10.3% | 17.2% | -6.9% | 3.4% | 10.12 | 7.22 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 17 | 85 | 385 | 59 | 45 | 12 | 89% | 4.5 | 13.3% | 12.4% | 0.9% | 3.6% | 4.43 | 5.53 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 17 | 85 | 385 | 59 | 45 | 12 | 89% | 4.5 | 15.3% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 5.13 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 20 | 101 | 447 | 90 | 41 | 10 | 80% | 4.0 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 5.45 | 4.10 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 20 | 101 | 447 | 90 | 41 | 10 | 80% | 4.0 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 2.2% | 5.45 | 3.83 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 20 | 18 | 86 | 382 | 65 | 37 | 12 | 90% | 4.3 | 13.8% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.36 | 5.17 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 20 | 18 | 86 | 382 | 65 | 37 | 12 | 90% | 4.3 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 5.36 | 4.70 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 52 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.9% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 9 | 9 | 52 | 218 | 47 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 4.61 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 8 | 8 | 47 | 200 | 42 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 3.5% | 4.79 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 38 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 5.00 | 5.17 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 3 | 3 | 16 | 68 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 4.61 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 3.5% | 4.79 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 20.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 5.00 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 10 | 66 | 285 | 57 | 31 | 10 | 71% | 4.7 | 20.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 5.24 | 4.74 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 31 | 200 | 864 | 173 | 94 | 30 | 72% | 4.7 | 20.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 5.24 | 4.74 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 140 | 121 | 643 | 2812 | 399 | 244 | 71 | 86% | 4.6 | 14.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +7.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 38 | 200 | 874 | 124 | 76 | 22 | 86% | 4.6 | 14.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sterling Sharp (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 21.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.92 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 142 | +0.42 | — | — | — |
| Zack Segovia R 2027 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 77 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.29 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 125 | 77 |
| Tyler Herron R 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.17 | 16.4% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .377 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 117 | 75 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.96 | 18.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .313 | 4.83 | 13.2% | 5.6% | 124 | -0.13 | 4.83 | 294 | 74 |
| Hector Ambriz R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.44 | 16.0% | 6.4% | 1.6% | .273 | 6.28 | 10.4% | 2.9% | 91 | +2.84 | 3.44 | 155 | 71 |
| Elian Leyva R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 71 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2028 · 3.79 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.79 | 14.5% | 6.9% | 1.9% | .270 | 4.53 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 176 | +0.74 | 3.79 | 264 | 70 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2027 · 4.94 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.94 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.56 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.38 | 4.56 | 143 | 70 |
| André Rienzo R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.30 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 4.0% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 200 | 69 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.68 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .312 | 4.79 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.11 | 4.68 | 150 | 69 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 69 |
| Garrett Richards R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.09 | 26.9% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .276 | 4.36 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 188 | +0.27 | 2.34 | 577 | 69 |
| Tim Lincecum R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.20 | 18.0% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .296 | 5.09 | 17.4% | 6.3% | 89 | +0.89 | 4.20 | 166 | 68 |
| Yohan Pino R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 68 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2024 · 4.65 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.65 | 19.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 262 | 67 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 3.79 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.79 | 17.2% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 67 |
| Logan Duran R 2028 · 3.36 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.36 | 15.8% | 10.0% | 0.6% | .287 | 3.91 | 15.3% | 6.4% | 95 | +0.55 | 3.36 | 187 | 67 |
| Joe Biagini R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.67 | 18.0% | 10.6% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.62 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 39 | -0.05 | 2.66 | 624 | 65 |
| Danny Gutierrez R 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.14 | 15.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | .362 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 239 | 65 |
| Kohei Arihara R 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 135 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 49 | 21.4% | 10.0% | 1.31 | 4.71 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |