Jonathan Hernández

P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 31 RHP 6'3" / 190 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	28	MIX2 levels	50	1	65	4.96	4.69	21.2%	12.7%	-0.1	K 20.1% · BB 12.3% · FIP 4.66
2025	29	AAATB	12	1	12	2.25	3.52	25.0%	11.5%	—	K 21.5% · BB 10.4% · FIP 3.44
2026	30	MIX2 levels	44	0	55	4.75	4.41	22.4%	10.6%	0.1	K 20.6% · BB 10.0% · FIP 4.48
2027PROJ	31	MLBLAD	63	0	66	4.76	4.71	23.3%	11.5%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	32	MLBLAD	21	0	22	4.88	4.97	22.5%	11.9%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	33	MLBLAD	30	0	31	5.10	5.25	21.6%	12.4%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.0 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo90

xwOBA vs42

K%36

Whiff%12

CompsMike Broadway (age 31) · Hirokazu Sawamura (age 33) · Jim Miller (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 106

ERA4.76

FIP4.71

K%23.3%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%11.8%

Proj IP66

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5560

CTRL3035

CMD3535

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9097.3

Whiff%

p1219.9%

p3620.2%

xwOBA vs

p420.321

SL+2.5 (49%)

SI (39%)

CH (12%)

FB-7.2 (39%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	11	9	45	198	33	12	0	82%	4.1	11.3%	7.6%	3.8%	0.0%	3.00	3.10	—
2015	19	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	11	9	45	198	33	12	0	82%	4.1	16.7%	6.1%	10.6%	0.0%	3.00	2.43	—
2016	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	24	22	116	498	85	49	14	92%	4.8	12.6%	11.6%	1.0%	3.3%	4.56	5.33	—
2016	20	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	24	22	116	498	85	49	14	92%	4.8	17.1%	9.8%	7.2%	2.8%	4.56	4.47	—
2017	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	112	481	110	44	7	96%	4.9	17.3%	10.6%	6.7%	1.8%	4.03	3.99	—
2017	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	22	112	481	110	44	7	96%	4.9	22.9%	9.1%	13.7%	1.5%	4.03	3.13	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	121	496	134	53	12	100%	5.5	21.3%	11.9%	9.3%	2.4%	3.63	4.14	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	22	121	496	134	53	12	100%	5.5	27.0%	10.7%	16.3%	2.4%	3.63	3.49	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	18	113	496	114	50	14	58%	3.6	19.3%	10.8%	8.5%	2.8%	5.03	4.37	+0.7
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	18	113	496	114	50	14	58%	3.6	23.0%	10.1%	12.9%	2.8%	5.03	4.02	+1.2
2020	24	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	27	0	31	125	31	8	2	0%	1.1	24.8%	6.4%	18.4%	1.5%	2.90	2.63	+0.7
2020	24	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	27	0	31	125	31	8	2	0%	1.1	24.8%	6.4%	18.4%	1.6%	2.90	2.71	+0.7
2022	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	45	0	45	202	45	28	3	0%	1.0	21.0%	14.1%	6.9%	1.5%	3.18	3.96	+0.3
2022	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	45	0	45	202	45	28	3	0%	1.0	22.3%	13.9%	8.4%	1.5%	3.18	3.83	+0.4
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	64	276	66	34	5	0%	1.1	22.3%	11.6%	10.7%	1.7%	3.25	3.64	+0.7
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	64	276	66	34	5	0%	1.1	23.9%	12.3%	11.6%	1.8%	3.25	3.65	+0.7
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	1	65	292	62	37	9	2%	1.3	20.1%	12.3%	7.8%	3.1%	4.96	4.66	-0.1
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	1	65	292	62	37	9	2%	1.3	20.1%	12.3%	7.8%	3.1%	4.96	4.66	-0.1
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	1	65	292	62	37	9	2%	1.3	21.2%	12.7%	8.6%	3.1%	4.96	4.69	-0.1
2025	29	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	12	1	12	52	13	6	1	8%	1.0	21.5%	10.4%	11.1%	1.5%	2.25	3.44	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	12	1	12	52	13	6	1	8%	1.0	21.5%	10.4%	11.1%	1.5%	2.25	3.44	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	12	1	12	52	13	6	1	8%	1.0	25.0%	11.5%	13.5%	1.9%	2.25	3.52	—
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	55	245	55	26	8	0%	1.2	20.6%	10.0%	10.6%	3.4%	4.75	4.48	+0.0
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	55	245	55	26	8	0%	1.2	20.6%	10.0%	10.6%	3.4%	4.75	4.48	+0.0
2026	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	55	245	55	26	8	0%	1.2	22.4%	10.6%	11.8%	3.3%	4.75	4.41	+0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			143	3	178	782	172	87	21	2%	1.2	22.0%	11.1%	10.9%	2.7%	4.49	4.17	+0.8
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	LAD	63	0	66	279	65	32	9	0%	1.0	23.3%	11.5%	11.8%	3.2%	4.76	4.71	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	LAD	58	0	61	256	58	30	9	0%	1.0	22.5%	11.9%	10.6%	3.4%	4.88	4.97	-0.3
2029	33	MLB MLE	LAD	53	0	56	235	51	29	9	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.4%	9.3%	3.7%	5.10	5.25	-0.4
2028	32	MLB CTX	LAD	21	0	22	93	21	11	3	0%	1.0	22.5%	11.9%	10.6%	3.4%	4.88	4.97	-0.1
2029	33	MLB CTX	LAD	30	0	31	131	28	16	5	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.4%	9.3%	3.7%	5.10	5.25	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		193	3	231	1005	221	114	29	2%	1.2	22.0%	11.4%	10.6%	2.9%	4.61	4.26	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		167	3	200	870	191	99	25	2%	1.2	22.0%	11.4%	10.6%	2.9%	4.61	4.26	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		346	95	779	3361	625	371	79	27%	2.3	18.6%	11.0%	7.6%	2.4%	4.08	4.22	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	24	200	863	160	95	20	27%	2.3	18.6%	11.0%	7.6%	2.4%	4.08	4.22	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jonathan Hernández (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.71	23.3%	11.5%	3.2%	—	5.10	22.1%	10.0%	116	+0.39	—	—	—
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	71
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	70
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	70
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	69
Robert Stock R 2021 · 4.18 FIP	31	SW	4.18	23.0%	8.5%	3.5%	.301	7.20	14.3%	0.1%	23	+3.02	2.74	378	69
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	68
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	68
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.51	246	67
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	67
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	65
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	65
Manny Acosta R 2012 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.3%	11.1%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	350	65
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	65
David Carpenter R 2016 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.4%	12.8%	2.9%	.333	3.89	21.5%	11.9%	49	-0.60	2.66	275	65
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	64
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	64
Brian Sanches R 2010 · 4.24 FIP	31	SU	4.24	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.217	4.35	19.6%	8.5%	62	+0.11	3.39	229	63
Al Reyes R 2001 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	19.2%	10.0%	2.5%	.305	3.40	21.8%	11.1%	34	-0.72	2.60	411	63
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	62
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	62

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	45	22.3%	12.0%	1.18	4.70
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.6	51	21.6%	10.5%	1.24	4.71
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44