Jonathan Hernández

Jonathan Hernández P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 190 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.45

FIP4.38

K%22.4%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5560

CTRL3035

CMD3535

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9097.3

Whiff%

p1219.9%

p3620.2%

xwOBA vs

p420.321

SL+2.5 (49%)

SI (39%)

CH (12%)

FB-7.2 (39%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	11	9	45	198	33	12	0	82%	4.1	11.3%	7.6%	3.8%	0.0%	3.00	3.10	—
2015	19	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	11	9	45	198	33	12	0	82%	4.1	16.7%	6.1%	10.6%	0.0%	3.00	2.43	—
2016	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	24	22	116	498	85	49	14	92%	4.8	12.6%	11.6%	1.0%	3.3%	4.56	5.33	—
2016	20	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	24	22	116	498	85	49	14	92%	4.8	17.1%	9.8%	7.2%	2.8%	4.56	4.47	—
2017	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	112	481	110	44	7	96%	4.9	17.3%	10.6%	6.7%	1.8%	4.03	3.99	—
2017	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	22	112	481	110	44	7	96%	4.9	22.9%	9.1%	13.7%	1.5%	4.03	3.13	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	121	496	134	53	12	100%	5.5	21.3%	11.9%	9.3%	2.4%	3.63	4.14	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	22	121	496	134	53	12	100%	5.5	27.0%	10.7%	16.3%	2.4%	3.63	3.49	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	18	113	496	114	50	14	58%	3.6	19.3%	10.8%	8.5%	2.8%	5.03	4.37	+0.7
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	18	113	496	114	50	14	58%	3.6	23.0%	10.1%	12.9%	2.8%	5.03	4.02	+1.2
2020	24	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	27	0	31	125	31	8	2	0%	1.1	24.8%	6.4%	18.4%	1.5%	2.90	2.63	+0.7
2020	24	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	27	0	31	125	31	8	2	0%	1.1	24.8%	6.4%	18.4%	1.6%	2.90	2.71	+0.7
2022	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	45	0	45	202	45	28	3	0%	1.0	21.0%	14.1%	6.9%	1.5%	3.18	3.96	+0.3
2022	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	45	0	45	202	45	28	3	0%	1.0	22.3%	13.9%	8.4%	1.5%	3.18	3.83	+0.4
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	64	276	66	34	5	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.6%	10.3%	1.7%	3.25	3.67	+0.7
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	64	276	66	34	5	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.6%	10.3%	1.7%	3.25	3.67	+0.7
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	64	276	66	34	5	0%	1.1	23.9%	12.3%	11.6%	1.8%	3.25	3.65	+0.7
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	1	65	292	62	37	9	2%	1.3	19.9%	12.3%	7.6%	3.1%	4.96	4.68	-0.1
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	1	65	292	62	37	9	2%	1.3	19.9%	12.3%	7.6%	3.1%	4.96	4.68	-0.1
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	1	65	292	62	37	9	2%	1.3	21.2%	12.7%	8.6%	3.1%	4.96	4.69	-0.1
2025	29	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	12	1	12	52	13	6	1	8%	1.0	20.8%	10.4%	10.4%	1.5%	2.25	3.50	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	12	1	12	52	13	6	1	8%	1.0	20.8%	10.4%	10.4%	1.5%	2.25	3.50	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	12	1	12	52	13	6	1	8%	1.0	25.0%	11.5%	13.5%	1.9%	2.25	3.52	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			143	3	178	782	172	87	21	2%	1.2	22.0%	11.1%	10.9%	2.7%	4.49	4.17	+0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	41	0	53	237	52	25	8	0%	1.3	19.8%	10.0%	9.8%	3.5%	4.96	4.60	-0.0
YTD	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	41	0	53	237	52	25	8	0%	1.3	19.8%	10.0%	9.8%	3.5%	4.96	4.60	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	30	AAA RAW	LAD	25	0	27	128	30	14	4	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.9%	12.5%	3.1%	4.28	4.22	—
2026	30	MLB RAW	LAD	16	0	25	109	22	11	4	0%	1.6	20.2%	10.1%	10.1%	3.7%	5.68	4.69	-0.0
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	LAD	16	0	25	109	22	11	4	0%	1.6	20.2%	10.1%	10.1%	3.7%	5.68	4.69	-0.0
ROS	30	MLB MLE	LAD	5	0	5	22	5	3	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	12.2%	10.2%	3.0%	4.45	4.38	+0.0
ROS	30	MLB CTX	LAD	5	0	5	21	5	3	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	12.2%	10.2%	3.0%	4.45	4.38	+0.0
2026 TOT	30	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	58	259	57	28	9	—	—	22.0%	10.7%	11.3%	3.3%	4.91	4.58	-0.0
FULL	30	MLB A+C	LAD	—	—	30	129	57	28	9	—	—	44.2%	21.5%	22.7%	6.7%	9.31	5.78	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	LAD	51	0	53	224	49	28	7	0%	1.0	22.0%	12.6%	9.5%	3.3%	4.95	5.02	-0.3
2028	32	MLB MLE	LAD	47	0	49	207	44	27	7	0%	1.0	21.2%	13.0%	8.3%	3.5%	5.14	5.27	-0.4
2027	31	MLB CTX	LAD	48	0	50	211	47	26	7	0%	1.0	22.0%	12.6%	9.5%	3.3%	4.95	5.02	-0.3
2028	32	MLB CTX	LAD	45	0	47	198	42	26	7	0%	1.0	21.2%	13.0%	8.3%	3.5%	5.14	5.27	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		240	3	281	1214	266	142	36	1%	1.2	21.9%	11.7%	10.2%	2.9%	4.68	4.34	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		171	2	200	865	190	101	26	1%	1.2	21.9%	11.7%	10.2%	2.9%	4.68	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		343	95	777	3353	620	370	79	28%	2.3	18.5%	11.0%	7.4%	2.4%	4.09	4.23	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		88	24	200	863	160	95	20	28%	2.3	18.5%	11.0%	7.4%	2.4%	4.09	4.23	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jonathan Hernández (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	23.7%	12.9%	2.9%	—	5.14	21.6%	8.9%	102	+0.42	—	—	—
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	72
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	72
Bryan Mitchell R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	20.6%	12.0%	2.5%	.305	5.07	14.4%	3.9%	39	+0.78	2.72	481	71
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	70
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	70
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	70
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	69
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	68
Arquimedes Caminero R 2016 · 4.45 FIP	29	SU	4.45	17.9%	11.4%	2.6%	.314	4.62	18.6%	7.5%	38	+0.17	3.54	173	68
Blake Wood R 2016 · 3.76 FIP	30	SU	3.76	24.5%	10.6%	2.5%	.307	3.44	25.3%	16.0%	74	-0.32	2.92	210	68
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	67
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	67
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	3.13	352	67
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	67
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	66
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	66
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	66
Hector Velázquez R 2019 · 4.82 FIP	30	SW	4.82	19.6%	12.3%	3.3%	.292	3.81	19.2%	10.9%	25	-1.01	2.75	536	65
Daniel Hudson R 2017 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	24.4%	11.8%	2.8%	.301	4.01	24.1%	15.2%	140	-0.06	1.68	468	65
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	53	22.4%	12.8%	1.26	4.95
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78