Jimmy Yacabonis prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jimmy Yacabonis P Syracuse Mets

Age 34 RHP 6'3" / 225 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.71

FIP4.79

K%21.6%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%11.1%

ROS IP51

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3093.1

Whiff%

p1420.2%

p1917.7%

xwOBA vs

p280.338

CH+0.7

SL-2.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	43	0	63	293	66	31	3	0%	1.5	17.3%	12.2%	5.2%	1.1%	4.02	3.77	—
2015	23	A+ RAW	Frederick Keys	43	0	63	293	66	31	3	0%	1.5	22.5%	10.6%	11.9%	1.0%	4.02	3.10	—
2016	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	65	267	67	19	4	0%	1.3	20.0%	7.9%	12.1%	1.6%	2.64	3.31	—
2016	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	65	267	67	19	4	0%	1.3	25.1%	7.1%	18.0%	1.5%	2.64	2.71	—
2017	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	0	82	331	56	40	2	0%	1.5	15.2%	12.5%	2.7%	0.5%	2.09	3.70	+0.8
2017	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	0	82	331	56	40	2	0%	1.5	16.9%	12.1%	4.8%	0.6%	2.09	3.51	+1.0
2018	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	28	116	496	95	49	14	85%	3.5	17.7%	10.2%	7.5%	2.8%	4.66	4.46	+0.6
2018	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	28	116	496	95	49	14	85%	3.5	19.2%	9.9%	9.3%	2.8%	4.66	4.30	+0.8
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	4	65	308	55	36	11	9%	1.4	17.0%	11.9%	5.1%	3.4%	5.95	5.06	-0.4
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	4	65	308	55	36	11	9%	1.4	17.9%	11.7%	6.2%	3.6%	5.95	5.27	-0.5
2020	28	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	2	1	2	13	1	3	0	50%	1.2	7.7%	23.1%	-15.4%	0.0%	3.86	5.37	-0.0
2020	28	MLB RAW	Seattle Mariners	2	1	2	13	1	3	0	50%	1.2	7.7%	23.1%	-15.4%	0.0%	3.86	6.10	-0.0
2021	29	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	30	1	37	151	37	10	3	3%	1.2	21.6%	7.0%	14.6%	2.3%	2.17	3.40	—
2021	29	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	30	1	37	151	37	10	3	3%	1.2	24.5%	6.6%	17.9%	2.0%	2.17	2.97	—
2022	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	41	1	48	210	64	24	5	2%	1.2	28.6%	11.5%	17.1%	2.5%	4.72	3.52	+0.6
2022	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	41	1	48	210	64	24	5	2%	1.2	30.5%	11.4%	19.0%	2.4%	4.72	3.29	+0.7
2023	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	43	179	32	18	4	0%	1.4	16.3%	10.5%	5.8%	2.8%	4.57	4.57	-0.0
2023	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	43	179	32	18	4	0%	1.4	16.3%	10.5%	5.8%	2.8%	4.57	4.57	-0.0
2023	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	0	43	179	32	18	4	0%	1.4	17.9%	10.1%	7.8%	2.2%	4.57	4.07	+0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			78	13	132	608	107	73	25	17%	1.7	17.6%	12.0%	5.6%	4.1%	6.08	5.61	-1.6
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	34	MLB	NYM	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.6%	10.6%	11.1%	3.3%	4.71	4.79	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	NYM	44	0	46	193	40	21	7	0%	1.0	20.7%	11.1%	9.6%	3.6%	4.96	5.12	-0.3
2028	36	MLB MLE	NYM	38	0	40	171	34	20	7	0%	1.1	19.7%	11.7%	7.9%	4.0%	5.28	5.49	-0.4
2027	35	MLB CTX	NYM	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	20.7%	11.1%	9.6%	3.6%	4.96	5.12	-0.0
2028	36	MLB CTX	NYM	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.7%	11.7%	7.9%	4.0%	5.28	5.49	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		80	13	134	619	109	74	25	16%	1.7	17.7%	12.0%	5.7%	4.1%	6.06	5.38	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		120	19	200	922	162	110	37	16%	1.7	17.7%	12.0%	5.7%	4.1%	6.06	5.38	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		331	35	521	2248	417	242	48	11%	1.6	18.6%	10.8%	7.8%	2.1%	3.90	4.06	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		127	13	200	863	160	93	18	11%	1.6	18.6%	10.8%	7.8%	2.1%	3.90	4.06	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jimmy Yacabonis (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	21.6%	10.6%	3.3%	—	5.29	20.2%	8.8%	86	+0.50	—	—	—
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	76
Diego Moreno R 2021 · 4.75 FIP	34	SU	4.75	18.6%	9.4%	3.7%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	187	75
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	74
Jean Machi R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	34	SU	4.36	18.3%	6.6%	3.6%	.282	4.12	18.6%	12.0%	67	-0.24	2.16	306	70
Leo Rosales R 2015 · 3.99 FIP	34	SU	3.99	18.1%	10.8%	1.9%	.261	4.24	7.8%	-0.4%	22	+0.25	3.85	130	70
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	70
Joe Nelson R 2009 · 5.35 FIP	34	SU	5.35	19.8%	14.3%	3.9%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	139	69
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	69
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2018 · 4.07 FIP	34	SW	4.07	23.7%	9.9%	3.1%	.253	5.11	25.0%	13.8%	32	+1.04	3.34	335	69
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	191	69
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	69
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	68
Matt Miller R 2006 · 4.98 FIP	34	SU	4.98	18.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.214	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	101	68
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	67
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	67
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	66
Jim Miller R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	34	SU	5.43	20.4%	14.1%	4.1%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	140	66
Giovanni Carrara R 2002 · 4.78 FIP	34	SU	4.78	14.5%	7.2%	3.6%	.239	3.83	17.1%	7.9%	158	-0.95	2.50	462	65
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	64
Brendan Donnelly R 2005 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	19.6%	5.9%	3.3%	.264	4.02	17.6%	8.5%	98	-0.00	2.23	385	64

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	45	19.1%	11.7%	1.49	5.51
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Dave Stevens ('00)	1.3	50	14.6%	11.3%	1.76	6.02
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52