Taylor Widener

P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 32 RHP 6'0" / 203 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2021	26	MIX4 levels	26	16	82	4.96	5.11	23.9%	9.7%	-0.2	K 22.9% · BB 10.7% · FIP 5.07
2022	27	MIX2 levels	41	0	54	4.83	3.30	25.3%	5.8%	0.8	K 23.0% · BB 6.0% · FIP 3.70
2024	29	AAAATL	22	11	57	6.51	5.13	22.2%	11.3%	—	K 19.1% · BB 10.2% · FIP 5.35
2027PROJ	32	MLBATL	11	11	64	4.67	4.71	21.8%	10.1%	0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBATL	4	4	22	4.86	4.99	20.9%	10.5%	-0.0
2029PROJ32% MLB	34	MLBATL	3	3	17	5.12	5.29	20.0%	11.0%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.6 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2022

FB Velo43

xwOBA vs40

K%15

Whiff%13

CompsElian Leyva (age 30) · Marco Quevedo (age 32) · Mike Burns (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 106

ERA4.67

FIP4.71

K%21.8%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%11.7%

Proj IP64

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4394.0

Whiff%

p1320.1%

p1517.1%

xwOBA vs

p400.323

FB+1.5

SL-2.8

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	7	1	23	84	34	3	2	14%	3.3	30.0%	4.2%	25.7%	3.5%	0.78	3.00	—
2016	21	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	7	1	23	84	34	3	2	14%	3.3	40.5%	3.6%	36.9%	2.4%	0.78	1.67	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	Tampa Yankees	27	27	119	489	129	50	5	100%	4.4	20.3%	11.8%	8.6%	1.3%	3.39	3.61	—
2017	22	A+ RAW	Tampa Yankees	27	27	119	489	129	50	5	100%	4.4	26.4%	10.2%	16.2%	1.0%	3.39	2.74	—
2018	23	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	26	25	137	552	176	43	12	96%	5.3	25.8%	8.6%	17.3%	2.7%	2.75	3.51	—
2018	23	AA RAW	Jackson Generals	26	25	137	552	176	43	12	96%	5.3	31.9%	7.8%	24.1%	2.2%	2.75	2.61	—
2019	24	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	23	23	100	464	109	41	23	100%	4.3	20.7%	9.3%	11.4%	5.1%	8.10	5.31	—
2019	24	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	23	23	100	464	109	41	23	100%	4.3	23.5%	8.8%	14.7%	5.0%	8.10	5.14	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	12	0	20	88	22	11	5	0%	1.7	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	6.0%	4.50	5.87	-0.3
2020	25	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	12	0	20	88	22	11	5	0%	1.7	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	5.7%	4.50	5.80	-0.3
2021	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	26	16	82	373	89	36	18	62%	3.1	22.9%	10.7%	12.2%	4.6%	4.96	5.07	-0.2
2021	26	MIX RAW	4 levels	26	16	82	373	89	36	18	62%	3.1	23.9%	9.7%	14.2%	4.8%	4.96	5.11	-0.2
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	54	241	61	14	7	0%	1.3	23.0%	6.0%	17.0%	3.2%	4.83	3.70	+0.5
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	54	241	61	14	7	0%	1.3	25.3%	5.8%	19.5%	2.9%	4.83	3.30	+0.8
2024	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	22	11	57	266	59	30	11	50%	2.6	19.1%	10.2%	8.9%	4.7%	6.51	5.35	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	22	11	57	266	59	30	11	50%	2.6	19.1%	10.2%	8.9%	4.7%	6.51	5.35	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	22	11	57	266	59	30	11	50%	2.6	22.2%	11.3%	10.9%	4.1%	6.51	5.13	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			49	13	108	489	109	49	21	27%	2.2	22.3%	10.0%	12.3%	4.3%	4.26	4.98	-0.5
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	ATL	11	11	64	270	59	27	9	100%	5.8	21.8%	10.1%	11.7%	3.3%	4.67	4.71	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	ATL	10	10	59	248	52	26	9	100%	5.9	20.9%	10.5%	10.4%	3.5%	4.86	4.99	-0.1
2029	34	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	53	225	45	25	9	100%	5.9	20.0%	11.0%	9.0%	3.8%	5.12	5.29	-0.2
2028	33	MLB CTX	ATL	4	4	22	93	19	10	3	100%	5.5	20.9%	10.5%	10.4%	3.5%	4.86	4.99	-0.0
2029	34	MLB CTX	ATL	3	3	17	72	14	8	3	100%	5.7	20.0%	11.0%	9.0%	3.8%	5.12	5.29	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	19	146	653	143	67	27	35%	2.7	21.9%	10.2%	11.6%	4.1%	4.45	4.82	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		76	27	200	891	195	91	37	35%	2.6	21.9%	10.2%	11.6%	4.1%	4.45	4.82	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		184	103	592	2557	576	244	91	56%	3.2	22.5%	9.5%	13.0%	3.6%	4.62	4.36	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	35	200	864	195	82	31	56%	3.2	22.5%	9.5%	13.0%	3.6%	4.62	4.36	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Taylor Widener (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.71	21.8%	10.1%	3.3%	—	5.13	20.5%	9.8%	112	+0.42	—	—	—
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	78
Marco Quevedo R 2019 · 5.17 FIP	32	SP-	5.17	13.6%	11.4%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	300	70
Mike Burns R 2009 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP-	4.90	17.2%	6.6%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	68
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	14.0%	6.6%	4.2%	.268	5.28	17.5%	9.7%	166	+0.25	3.97	567	65
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	63
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	3.84	193	62
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	62
Todd Redmond R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	30	SW	3.86	15.4%	7.1%	2.1%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	247	62
Jared Fernandez R 2003 · 3.57 FIP	31	SP-	3.57	11.8%	6.2%	1.2%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.57	101	62
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	60
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2016 · 4.84 FIP	32	SP-	4.84	8.4%	9.2%	2.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.81	104	59
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	59
Junior Guerra R 2017 · 5.24 FIP	32	SP-	5.24	19.4%	12.8%	3.9%	.255	3.99	22.2%	12.5%	248	-1.25	3.18	646	59
Bradin Hagens R 2019 · 5.46 FIP	30	SW	5.46	13.2%	12.6%	3.4%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	254	59
Jason Berken R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	32	SW	4.54	11.5%	8.3%	2.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	468	58
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	58
Hector Galvan R 2019 · 4.84 FIP	31	SP-	4.84	14.3%	12.2%	2.6%	.357	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	406	58
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	57
Danny Gutierrez R 2017 · 4.11 FIP	30	SP	4.11	15.1%	6.1%	2.8%	.362	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	239	57
Thad Weber R 2017 · 5.25 FIP	32	SP-	5.25	13.2%	4.4%	4.9%	.398	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	378	57

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	57	21.5%	10.7%	1.48	4.64
José Ruiz ('25)	1.4	57	22.3%	10.4%	1.44	4.62
Phil Hennigan ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.4	70	20.9%*	10.4%*	1.50*	4.95*
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Jeff Jones ('80-'84, -2 WAR*)	1.0	41	22.0%*	12.4%*	1.48*	4.53*