Keynan Middleton
P
Oklahoma City Comets
Age 32
RHP
6'3" / 230 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 68 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10798vR 89
ERA4.07
FIP4.16
K%27.1%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%17.3%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 98 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6495.5
Whiff%
p9036.0%
K%
p9030.2%
xwOBA vs
p640.298
CH+3.8
FB+3.2
SL-2.8
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A | Burlington Bees | 26 | 26 | 126 | 549 | 88 | 47 | 15 | 100% | 4.8 | 11.9% | 10.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 5.30 | 4.43 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | Burlington Bees | 26 | 26 | 126 | 549 | 88 | 47 | 15 | 100% | 4.8 | 16.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 5.30 | 4.37 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 46 | 0 | 66 | 271 | 88 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.8% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 5.2% | 3.41 | 5.24 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 46 | 0 | 66 | 271 | 88 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.4 | 32.5% | 10.3% | 22.1% | 3.3% | 3.41 | 3.48 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 74 | 0 | 71 | 298 | 71 | 20 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 6.8% | 16.7% | 3.8% | 3.68 | 4.07 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 74 | 0 | 71 | 298 | 71 | 20 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 6.7% | 17.1% | 3.7% | 3.68 | 3.96 | +0.7 |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 1 | 19 | 76 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 6% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 1.5% | 1.93 | 3.43 | +0.2 |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 1 | 19 | 76 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 6% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 1.3% | 1.93 | 3.48 | +0.2 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 21 | 3 | 17 | 72 | 22 | 13 | 0 | 14% | 0.8 | 30.6% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 1.08 | 2.81 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 21 | 3 | 17 | 72 | 22 | 13 | 0 | 14% | 0.8 | 30.6% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 1.08 | 2.80 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 13 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 5.25 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 13 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 5.25 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 2 | 39 | 172 | 37 | 20 | 3 | 5% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 12.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 4.42 | 4.11 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 2 | 39 | 172 | 37 | 20 | 3 | 5% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 1.7% | 4.42 | 3.75 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 1 | 35 | 139 | 41 | 10 | 6 | 3% | 1.0 | 26.8% | 7.7% | 19.1% | 4.4% | 3.60 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 1 | 35 | 139 | 41 | 10 | 6 | 3% | 1.0 | 29.5% | 7.2% | 22.3% | 4.3% | 3.60 | 3.84 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 54 | 223 | 67 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.2% | 10.8% | 19.3% | 3.5% | 3.19 | 3.85 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 54 | 223 | 67 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.0% | 11.2% | 18.8% | 3.6% | 3.19 | 3.94 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 30 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 5 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 11.1% | 33.3% | -22.2% | 5.6% | 2.25 | 9.43 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 5 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 11.1% | 33.3% | -22.2% | 5.6% | 2.25 | 9.85 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 29 | 0 | 30 | 138 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.3% | 17.5% | -2.2% | 0.8% | 4.45 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | LAD | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 78 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.1% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 3.1% | 4.07 | 4.16 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | LAD | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.1% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 3.1% | 4.07 | 4.16 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 32 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 98 | 425 | 102 | 51 | 10 | — | — | 23.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 2.4% | 4.19 | 4.25 | +1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 32 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 7 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 27.1% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 3.1% | 4.07 | 3.78 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 69 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.2% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 3.4% | 4.29 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 54 | 0 | 57 | 239 | 61 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 4.56 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.2% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 3.4% | 4.29 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 4.56 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 251 | 1 | 242 | 1027 | 252 | 102 | 36 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 3.5% | 3.95 | 4.22 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 207 | 1 | 200 | 847 | 208 | 84 | 30 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 3.5% | 3.95 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 360 | 33 | 472 | 2009 | 412 | 222 | 58 | 9% | 1.3 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 3.99 | 4.35 | +5.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 153 | 14 | 200 | 852 | 175 | 94 | 25 | 9% | 1.3 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 3.99 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Keynan Middleton (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.16 | 27.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | — | 4.58 | 25.8% | 15.3% | 119 | +0.42 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 85 |
| Blake Wood R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 84 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 84 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 82 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 81 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 81 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.66 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.24 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.57 | 137 | 81 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 80 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 3.13 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.13 | 29.9% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .235 | 4.87 | 20.2% | 8.1% | 85 | +1.74 | 2.00 | 320 | 80 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.20 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | .291 | 5.21 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 36 | +1.01 | 3.05 | 176 | 80 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.03 | 26.0% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .263 | 3.35 | 25.3% | 16.4% | 101 | +0.32 | 2.48 | 277 | 79 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.89 | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .247 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.8% | 141 | -0.59 | 2.82 | 284 | 79 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 76 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 76 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.60 | 27.7% | 9.0% | 3.1% | .298 | 3.52 | 27.3% | 20.0% | 58 | -0.08 | 3.52 | 316 | 76 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 75 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 74 |
| Ryan Madson R 2028 · 2.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.97 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | .244 | 2.98 | 23.9% | 18.7% | 176 | +0.01 | 1.42 | 240 | 74 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 1.7% | .338 | 4.07 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 97 | +0.63 | 2.73 | 410 | 74 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 62 | 26.3% | 10.2% | 1.32 | 4.29 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |