Keynan Middleton

Keynan Middleton P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 32 RHP 6'3" / 230 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10798vR 90

ERA4.08

FIP4.16

K%27.1%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%17.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF7070

CTRL4040

CMD5050

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6495.5

Whiff%

p9036.0%

p9030.2%

xwOBA vs

p640.298

CH+3.8

FB+3.2

SL-2.8

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	21	A MLE	Burlington Bees	26	26	126	549	88	47	15	100%	4.8	11.9%	10.1%	1.8%	2.5%	5.30	4.75	—
2015	21	A RAW	Burlington Bees	26	26	126	549	88	47	15	100%	4.8	16.0%	8.6%	7.5%	2.7%	5.30	4.37	—
2016	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	46	0	66	271	88	28	9	0%	1.4	25.8%	11.7%	14.2%	4.5%	3.41	4.89	—
2016	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	46	0	66	271	88	28	9	0%	1.4	32.5%	10.3%	22.1%	3.3%	3.41	3.48	—
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	74	0	71	298	71	20	11	0%	1.0	23.5%	6.8%	16.7%	3.6%	3.68	3.96	+0.5
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	74	0	71	298	71	20	11	0%	1.0	23.8%	6.7%	17.1%	3.7%	3.68	3.96	+0.5
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	1	19	76	18	10	1	6%	1.1	22.5%	11.3%	11.3%	1.4%	1.93	3.38	+0.3
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	1	19	76	18	10	1	6%	1.1	23.7%	13.2%	10.5%	1.3%	1.93	3.48	+0.2
2019	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	21	3	17	72	22	13	0	14%	0.8	30.6%	18.1%	12.5%	0.0%	1.08	2.81	+0.3
2019	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	21	3	17	72	22	13	0	14%	0.8	30.6%	18.1%	12.5%	0.0%	1.08	2.80	+0.3
2020	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	13	0	12	53	11	6	2	0%	0.9	20.8%	11.3%	9.4%	3.7%	5.25	4.81	-0.0
2020	26	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	13	0	12	53	11	6	2	0%	0.9	20.8%	11.3%	9.4%	3.8%	5.25	4.93	-0.1
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	2	39	172	37	20	3	5%	1.0	17.1%	12.9%	4.3%	1.5%	4.42	4.09	+0.2
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	2	39	172	37	20	3	5%	1.0	21.5%	11.6%	9.9%	1.7%	4.42	3.75	+0.4
2022	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	1	35	139	41	10	6	3%	1.0	26.8%	7.7%	19.1%	4.8%	3.60	4.43	+0.1
2022	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	36	1	35	139	41	10	6	3%	1.0	29.5%	7.2%	22.3%	4.3%	3.60	3.84	+0.3
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	54	223	67	25	8	0%	1.0	30.2%	10.8%	19.3%	3.5%	3.19	3.87	+0.4
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	54	223	67	25	8	0%	1.0	30.2%	10.8%	19.3%	3.5%	3.19	3.87	+0.4
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	54	223	67	25	8	0%	1.0	30.0%	11.2%	18.8%	3.6%	3.19	3.94	+0.4
2024	30	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	5	0	4	18	2	6	1	0%	0.8	11.1%	33.3%	-22.2%	5.6%	2.25	9.43	—
2024	30	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	5	0	4	18	2	6	1	0%	0.8	11.1%	33.3%	-22.2%	5.6%	2.25	9.43	—
2024	30	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	5	0	4	18	2	6	1	0%	0.8	11.1%	33.3%	-22.2%	5.6%	2.25	9.85	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			205	1	194	824	199	81	29	0%	0.9	24.2%	9.8%	14.3%	3.5%	3.84	4.24	+0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	32	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	29	0	30	138	24	23	1	0%	1.0	14.4%	15.0%	-0.6%	0.8%	4.45	4.22	—
YTD	32	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	29	0	30	138	24	23	1	0%	1.0	14.4%	15.0%	-0.6%	0.8%	4.45	4.22	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	32	AAA RAW	LAD	29	0	30	138	24	23	1	0%	1.0	17.4%	16.7%	0.7%	0.7%	4.45	4.14	—
ROS	32	MLB MLE	LAD	6	0	6	26	7	3	1	0%	1.0	27.1%	9.8%	17.3%	3.1%	4.08	4.16	+0.0
2026 TOT	32	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	36	164	31	26	2	—	—	18.9%	15.6%	3.4%	1.1%	4.39	4.21	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	LAD	59	0	62	263	69	27	9	0%	1.1	26.2%	10.2%	16.0%	3.4%	4.30	4.44	+0.1
2028	34	MLB MLE	LAD	54	0	57	239	61	26	9	0%	1.1	25.4%	10.8%	14.6%	3.7%	4.57	4.74	-0.1
2027	33	MLB CTX	LAD	22	0	23	97	25	10	3	0%	1.0	26.2%	10.2%	16.0%	3.4%	4.30	4.44	+0.0
2028	34	MLB CTX	LAD	17	0	18	76	19	8	3	0%	1.1	25.4%	10.8%	14.6%	3.7%	4.57	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		245	1	236	1001	245	99	35	0%	1.0	24.5%	9.9%	14.5%	3.5%	3.95	4.23	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		207	1	200	847	207	84	30	0%	1.0	24.5%	9.9%	14.5%	3.5%	3.95	4.23	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		360	33	472	2009	411	218	59	9%	1.3	20.5%	10.9%	9.6%	2.9%	3.99	4.36	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	14	200	852	174	93	25	9%	1.3	20.5%	10.9%	9.6%	2.9%	3.99	4.36	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Keynan Middleton (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.16	27.1%	9.8%	3.1%	—	4.58	25.8%	15.3%	119	+0.42	—	—	—
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	85
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	85
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	84
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	82
Joakim Soria R 2016 · 4.33 FIP	32	SU	4.33	23.2%	9.2%	3.7%	.319	2.63	28.5%	21.7%	186	-1.70	2.01	380	82
Jonathan Broxton R 2016 · 3.77 FIP	32	SU	3.77	22.0%	7.3%	2.9%	.256	4.34	20.5%	9.0%	16	+0.57	3.67	137	81
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	81
Jumbo Diaz R 2016 · 3.85 FIP	32	SU	3.85	22.3%	9.2%	2.7%	.247	3.28	23.0%	13.8%	141	-0.57	2.80	284	80
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	79
Chris Hatcher R 2017 · 4.31 FIP	32	SU	4.31	24.5%	7.4%	4.3%	.291	5.32	18.0%	8.4%	36	+1.01	2.92	176	79
Pedro Strop R 2017 · 3.08 FIP	32	SU	3.08	26.0%	10.0%	1.7%	.263	3.43	25.3%	16.4%	101	+0.35	2.56	277	79
Wade Davis R 2018 · 3.33 FIP	32	SU	3.33	29.9%	10.0%	2.7%	.235	5.00	20.2%	8.1%	85	+1.67	2.00	320	77
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	76
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	76
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	75
Ryan Madson R 2015 · 2.99 FIP	34	SU	2.99	23.4%	5.2%	2.2%	.244	2.96	23.9%	18.7%	176	-0.03	1.42	240	74
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	74
Spencer Patton R 2021 · 3.04 FIP	33	SU	3.04	27.9%	8.7%	2.2%	.305	5.01	20.8%	10.0%	88	+1.97	2.79	239	74
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	74
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	62	26.3%	10.2%	1.32	4.30
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64