Joe Gunkel

P St. Paul Saints

Age 35 RHP 6'5" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2018	26	MIX2 levels	25	8	70	3.07	2.97	19.2%	2.5%	—	K 16.7% · BB 2.8% · FIP 3.52
2019	27	MIX2 levels	21	15	93	3.59	3.69	17.7%	4.2%	—	K 14.7% · BB 4.3% · FIP 4.06
2024	32	AAAMIN	9	7	27	10.54	6.28	8.1%	4.4%	—	K 7.0% · BB 4.0% · FIP 6.01
2027PROJ	35	MLBMIN	2	2	14	4.70	4.70	17.0%	7.5%	0.0
2028PROJ1% MLB	36	MLBMIN	—	—	0	4.86	5.00	17.0%	8.3%	—

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJesse Estrada (age 35) · Juan Delgadillo (age 34) · Angel Sánchez (age 34)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.70

FIP4.70

K%17.0%

BB%7.5%

K-BB%9.5%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	22	145	575	113	26	10	76%	5.0	15.8%	5.0%	10.8%	1.9%	2.68	3.45	—
2015	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	22	145	575	113	26	10	76%	5.0	19.7%	4.5%	15.1%	1.7%	2.68	2.98	—
2016	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	28	161	675	109	21	16	100%	5.8	14.1%	3.3%	10.8%	3.3%	4.02	4.13	—
2016	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	28	161	675	109	21	16	100%	5.8	16.1%	3.1%	13.0%	2.4%	4.02	3.43	—
2017	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	22	124	527	75	20	18	81%	4.6	11.4%	4.5%	6.9%	3.5%	4.85	4.63	—
2017	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	22	124	527	75	20	18	81%	4.6	14.2%	3.8%	10.4%	3.4%	4.85	4.26	—
2018	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	8	70	281	54	7	6	32%	2.8	16.7%	2.8%	13.9%	2.7%	3.07	3.52	—
2018	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	8	70	281	54	7	6	32%	2.8	19.2%	2.5%	16.7%	2.1%	3.07	2.97	—
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	15	93	384	68	16	11	71%	4.4	14.7%	4.3%	10.4%	3.0%	3.59	4.06	—
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	15	93	384	68	16	11	71%	4.4	17.7%	4.2%	13.5%	2.9%	3.59	3.69	—
2024	32	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	9	7	27	136	11	6	7	78%	3.0	7.0%	4.0%	3.0%	5.5%	10.54	6.01	—
2024	32	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	9	7	27	136	11	6	7	78%	3.0	7.0%	4.0%	3.0%	5.5%	10.54	6.01	—
2024	32	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	9	7	27	136	11	6	7	78%	3.0	8.1%	4.4%	3.7%	5.1%	10.54	6.28	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	35	MLB	MIN	2	2	14	59	10	4	2	100%	7.0	17.0%	7.5%	9.5%	3.1%	4.70	4.70	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	36	MLB MLE	MIN	3	3	20	84	14	7	3	100%	6.7	17.0%	8.3%	8.7%	3.5%	4.86	5.00	-0.0
2028	36	MLB CTX	MIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	17.0%	8.3%	8.7%	3.5%	4.86	5.00	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		0	0	0	1	0	0	0	—	—	17.0%	8.3%	8.7%	3.5%	4.86	4.62	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	0	0	0	100%	6.1	17.0%	8.3%	8.7%	3.5%	4.86	4.62	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		139	102	620	2578	358	105	78	73%	4.5	13.9%	4.1%	9.8%	3.0%	3.99	4.10	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	33	200	831	116	34	25	73%	4.5	13.9%	4.1%	9.8%	3.0%	3.99	4.10	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joe Gunkel (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.70	17.0%	7.5%	3.1%	—	5.00	17.0%	8.7%	20	+0.30	—	—	—
Jesse Estrada R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	35	SP-	4.34	14.4%	6.6%	2.9%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	257	73
Juan Delgadillo R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	34	SP	4.47	10.9%	6.2%	2.7%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	143	69
Angel Sánchez R 2024 · 3.77 FIP	34	SP	3.77	11.8%	5.0%	1.9%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	284	65
Jon Leicester R 2015 · 3.76 FIP	36	SP	3.76	12.3%	5.9%	1.7%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	64
Walter Silva R 2009 · 5.72 FIP	32	SP	5.72	9.1%	12.4%	3.3%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.67	453	62
Jose Oyervides R 2017 · 5.38 FIP	35	SP	5.38	18.0%	6.3%	5.5%	.254	5.66	16.3%	5.1%	115	+0.28	3.01	407	60
Kenshin Kawakami R 2010 · 4.06 FIP	35	SP	4.06	15.1%	5.6%	2.8%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.97	244	60
Mitch Talbot R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	35	SP	5.01	13.2%	4.3%	4.5%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	395	57
Leo Medrano R 2016 · 4.34 FIP	33	SP	4.34	11.0%	7.3%	2.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	222	56
Frankie De La Cruz R 2019 · 4.38 FIP	35	SP-	4.38	16.2%	8.0%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	262	54
Yohan Pino R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	33	SP-	5.33	15.2%	3.6%	5.6%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	193	54
Jorge Martinez R 2019 · 3.71 FIP	34	SP	3.71	16.3%	5.7%	2.3%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	214	52
Salvador Valdez R 2017 · 3.87 FIP	34	SP	3.87	9.4%	6.1%	1.4%	.328	4.30	17.1%	8.9%	38	+0.43	3.60	326	52
Luis Mendoza R 2019 · 5.10 FIP	35	SP	5.10	9.7%	4.2%	4.2%	.378	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	374	52
Logan Duran R 2016 · 3.77 FIP	34	SP	3.77	15.3%	8.9%	1.5%	.299	3.66	15.5%	6.6%	29	-0.11	3.42	187	51
Jonathan Castellanos R 2017 · 4.91 FIP	35	SP	4.91	8.4%	9.2%	2.5%	.314	5.24	11.0%	2.0%	67	+0.33	3.40	394	51
Jarrett Grube R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	35	SP	4.41	15.8%	8.1%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	393	50
David Buchanan R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	35	SP-	4.26	14.7%	6.5%	2.9%	.337	5.56	12.2%	4.1%	29	+1.30	3.88	560	49
Michael Nix R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	33	SP	4.60	11.9%	11.6%	1.9%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	234	49
Steve Sparks R 2000 · 3.78 FIP	35	SP-	3.78	11.9%	6.5%	1.6%	.283	4.37	11.6%	4.7%	528	+0.59	3.78	1,320	47