Jon Duplantier

P Oklahoma City Baseball Club

Age 33 RHP 6'4" / 229 lbs AAA

Overview

AAASPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	28	AAAOklahoma City…	34	14	94	4.80	5.10	25.5%	13.3%	—	K 22.4% · BB 14.0% · FIP 5.53
2023	29	A+PHI	3	3	10	8.38	4.86	27.3%	11.4%	—	K 27.3% · BB 11.4% · FIP 4.73
2024	30	MIX2 levels	23	7	56	4.20	3.51	27.4%	16.1%	—	K 24.0% · BB 15.5% · FIP 3.94
2027PROJ	33	MLBLAD	26	26	156	4.57	4.75	21.9%	11.1%	0.3
2028PROJ6% MLB	34	MLBLAD	1	1	8	4.81	5.01	21.0%	11.2%	-0.0
2029PROJ1% MLB	35	MLBLAD	1	1	1	5.07	5.28	20.1%	11.5%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2021

Whiff%18

K%15

FB Velo10

xwOBA vs10

CompsKenshin Kawakami (age 34) · Austin Bibens-Dirkx (age 33) · Junior Guerra (age 33)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.57

FIP4.75

K%21.9%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%10.8%

Proj IP156

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 156 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5050

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.2

Whiff%

p1820.8%

p1517.1%

xwOBA vs

p100.389

CH-0.7

SL-0.8

FB-7.4

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	136	527	165	41	6	96%	5.4	23.7%	9.0%	14.6%	1.6%	1.39	3.10	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	136	527	165	41	6	96%	5.4	31.3%	7.8%	23.5%	1.1%	1.39	2.15	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	16	74	300	77	30	4	100%	4.6	20.2%	11.3%	8.9%	1.8%	2.55	3.84	—
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	16	74	300	77	30	4	100%	4.6	25.7%	10.0%	15.7%	1.3%	2.55	2.94	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	31	17	80	354	84	48	4	55%	2.6	22.0%	14.0%	8.0%	0.9%	4.97	3.54	+1.3
2019	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	31	17	80	354	84	48	4	55%	2.6	23.7%	13.6%	10.2%	1.1%	4.97	3.45	+1.4
2021	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	8	7	21	110	17	13	6	88%	2.6	17.1%	11.4%	5.7%	7.6%	11.14	7.25	-0.6
2021	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	8	7	21	110	17	13	6	88%	2.6	15.5%	11.8%	3.6%	5.5%	11.14	7.05	-0.5
2022	28	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	34	14	94	428	109	57	18	41%	2.8	22.4%	14.0%	8.4%	4.6%	4.80	5.53	—
2022	28	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Dodgers	34	14	94	428	109	57	18	41%	2.8	25.5%	13.3%	12.1%	4.2%	4.80	5.10	—
2023	29	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	3	3	10	44	12	5	2	100%	3.2	27.3%	11.4%	15.9%	4.5%	8.38	4.73	—
2023	29	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	3	3	10	44	12	5	2	100%	3.2	27.3%	11.4%	15.9%	4.5%	8.38	4.86	—
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	7	56	248	68	40	3	30%	2.4	24.0%	15.5%	8.4%	1.6%	4.20	3.94	—
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	7	56	248	68	40	3	30%	2.4	24.0%	15.5%	8.4%	1.6%	4.20	3.94	—
2024	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	7	56	248	68	40	3	30%	2.4	27.4%	16.1%	11.3%	1.2%	4.20	3.51	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			19	7	50	233	46	25	7	37%	2.6	19.7%	10.7%	9.0%	3.0%	6.70	4.59	-0.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	LAD	26	26	156	659	144	73	21	100%	6.0	21.9%	11.1%	10.8%	3.1%	4.57	4.75	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	LAD	24	24	142	600	126	67	20	100%	5.9	21.0%	11.2%	9.8%	3.4%	4.81	5.01	-0.2
2029	35	MLB MLE	LAD	21	21	127	538	108	62	20	100%	6.1	20.1%	11.5%	8.6%	3.7%	5.07	5.28	-0.5
2028	34	MLB CTX	LAD	1	1	8	34	7	4	1	100%	8.0	21.0%	11.2%	9.8%	3.4%	4.81	5.01	-0.0
2029	35	MLB CTX	LAD	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	20.1%	11.5%	8.6%	3.7%	5.07	5.28	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		21	9	59	271	54	29	8	43%	2.8	19.9%	10.8%	9.1%	3.1%	6.42	4.47	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		70	29	200	924	184	99	27	42%	2.9	19.9%	10.8%	9.1%	3.1%	6.42	4.47	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		140	88	470	2011	449	247	51	63%	3.4	22.3%	12.3%	10.1%	2.5%	3.78	4.17	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		60	37	200	856	191	105	22	63%	3.4	22.3%	12.3%	10.1%	2.5%	3.78	4.17	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jon Duplantier (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	21.9%	11.1%	3.1%	—	5.14	20.6%	9.2%	269	+0.39	—	—	—
Kenshin Kawakami R 2009 · 3.97 FIP	34	SP-	3.97	15.7%	7.6%	2.2%	.277	4.06	15.1%	9.5%	87	+0.09	3.97	244	62
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2018 · 4.89 FIP	33	SP-	4.89	17.9%	7.6%	4.3%	.322	4.82	15.9%	9.5%	147	-0.07	3.97	567	61
Junior Guerra R 2018 · 3.99 FIP	33	SP	3.99	22.3%	9.0%	3.0%	.309	4.12	21.2%	9.1%	173	+0.13	3.18	646	60
Zach Neal R 2022 · 5.53 FIP	33	SP-	5.53	16.1%	5.7%	5.6%	.321	5.98	15.6%	9.6%	101	+0.45	4.24	732	58
Pete Walker R 2002 · 4.59 FIP	33	SP-	4.59	13.4%	7.7%	3.0%	.279	5.16	12.0%	2.8%	139	+0.57	4.45	327	57
Deck McGuire R 2022 · 5.12 FIP	33	SP-	5.12	15.7%	13.1%	3.1%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	622	54
Marco Quevedo R 2019 · 5.17 FIP	32	SP-	5.17	13.6%	11.4%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	300	51
Shawn Haviland R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	31	SP-	5.00	16.3%	8.1%	4.1%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	283	50
Jarrett Grube R 2015 · 3.75 FIP	33	SP	3.75	18.7%	4.2%	3.1%	.285	4.57	17.3%	9.6%	253	+0.82	3.75	393	50
Mickey Jannis R 2021 · 5.68 FIP	33	SP-	5.68	12.1%	11.8%	3.8%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	659	49
Juan Delgadillo R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	32	SP	4.54	15.5%	7.2%	3.3%	.316	4.47	10.9%	4.7%	39	-0.07	4.47	143	48
Manuel Flores R 2019 · 4.32 FIP	33	SP	4.32	17.1%	7.4%	3.1%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	515	48
Mike Burns R 2009 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP-	4.90	17.2%	6.6%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	47
Andres Ivan Meza R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	32	SP	4.33	11.7%	7.7%	2.3%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	275	47
Osvaldo Fernandez R 2001 · 4.53 FIP	32	SP-	4.53	9.6%	8.2%	2.2%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	387	47
David Fletcher R 2024 · 5.67 FIP	30	SP-	5.67	7.5%	10.3%	3.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	5.67	100	47
Cory Riordan R 2016 · 4.24 FIP	30	SP	4.24	14.3%	5.0%	3.1%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	4.24	154	46
Leo Medrano R 2016 · 4.34 FIP	33	SP	4.34	11.0%	7.3%	2.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	222	45
Casey Lawrence R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	33	SP-	4.08	20.0%	5.2%	3.7%	.284	4.99	15.9%	10.6%	440	+0.91	3.57	1,374	45
Jonathan Castellanos R 2015 · 3.63 FIP	33	SP	3.63	12.2%	6.5%	1.3%	.313	4.15	11.8%	3.5%	216	+0.52	3.40	394	44

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	119	20.9%	11.3%	1.30	5.00
Mysterious Walker ('10-'15, -1 WAR*)	1.5	99	20.6%*	11.4%*	1.25*	5.38*
Cecil Ferguson ('06-'11, 3 WAR*)	3.5	116	21.0%*	10.4%*	1.26*	5.12*
Rich Hand ('70-'73, 1 WAR*)	2.4	122	17.8%*	11.3%*	1.34*	4.83*
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	106	20.5%	9.7%	1.30	4.61
Kevin Foster ('01)	2.5	127	18.9%	10.0%	1.55	4.86
Kyle Wright ('23)	1.4	94	21.9%	9.7%	1.25	4.45