Tyler Danish
P
Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 31
RHP
6'0" / 200 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153144vR 135
ERA5.94
FIP5.92
K%11.0%
BB%13.6%
K-BB%-2.6%
ROS IP55
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.3
Whiff%
p1019.2%
K%
p2518.5%
xwOBA vs
p100.378
SL+4.0
CH-0.5
CT-1.4
FB-5.7
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 26 | 26 | 142 | 635 | 90 | 60 | 13 | 100% | 5.5 | 11.5% | 10.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.50 | 4.57 | — |
| 2015 | 20 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 26 | 26 | 142 | 635 | 90 | 60 | 13 | 100% | 5.5 | 14.2% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 4.50 | 4.29 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 17 | 106 | 454 | 68 | 28 | 3 | 77% | 4.8 | 12.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 1.0% | 4.91 | 3.36 | +2.5 |
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 17 | 106 | 454 | 68 | 28 | 3 | 77% | 4.8 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 0.7% | 4.91 | 2.98 | +3.0 |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 143 | 657 | 77 | 53 | 18 | 96% | 5.3 | 9.9% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.27 | 4.57 | +1.4 |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 143 | 657 | 77 | 53 | 18 | 96% | 5.3 | 11.7% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.27 | 4.77 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 2 | 78 | 331 | 58 | 32 | 8 | 5% | 1.9 | 15.5% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 3.35 | 3.77 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 2 | 78 | 331 | 58 | 32 | 8 | 5% | 1.9 | 17.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 3.35 | 4.18 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 6 | 4 | 16 | 101 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 67% | 2.6 | 8.7% | 9.4% | -0.6% | 8.9% | 21.26 | 8.45 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 6 | 4 | 16 | 101 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 67% | 2.6 | 9.9% | 8.9% | 1.0% | 8.9% | 21.26 | 11.01 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 3 | 70 | 295 | 79 | 14 | 10 | 9% | 2.2 | 22.7% | 5.7% | 17.0% | 4.7% | 3.84 | 4.47 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 3 | 70 | 295 | 79 | 14 | 10 | 9% | 2.2 | 26.8% | 4.7% | 22.0% | 3.4% | 3.84 | 3.30 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 51 | 222 | 47 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.5% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 4.91 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 51 | 222 | 47 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 4.91 | 4.21 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 26 | 0 | 29 | 131 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.4% | 12.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.72 | 4.32 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 26 | 0 | 29 | 131 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.3% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 3.72 | 4.17 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 11 | 10 | 40 | 206 | 26 | 30 | 4 | 91% | 3.6 | 11.1% | 15.3% | -4.2% | 1.8% | 7.71 | 5.08 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 11 | 10 | 40 | 206 | 26 | 30 | 4 | 91% | 3.6 | 12.6% | 14.6% | -1.9% | 1.9% | 7.71 | 5.37 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | COL | 53 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 26 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.0% | 13.6% | -2.6% | 3.0% | 5.94 | 5.92 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | COL | 49 | 0 | 51 | 216 | 25 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.4% | 13.6% | -2.1% | 3.2% | 5.92 | 6.01 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | COL | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 23 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.5% | 13.7% | -2.2% | 3.5% | 6.02 | 6.17 | -0.9 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | COL | 41 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 20 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.2% | 14.0% | -2.8% | 3.8% | 6.19 | 6.38 | -0.9 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | COL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.4% | 13.6% | -2.1% | 3.2% | 5.92 | 6.01 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | COL | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 13 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.5% | 13.7% | -2.2% | 3.5% | 6.02 | 6.17 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | COL | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.2% | 14.0% | -2.8% | 3.8% | 6.19 | 6.38 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 106 | 1 | 120 | 519 | 75 | 63 | 19 | 1% | 1.1 | 14.4% | 12.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.61 | 5.40 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 177 | 2 | 200 | 868 | 125 | 105 | 32 | 1% | 1.1 | 14.4% | 12.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.61 | 5.40 | -0.0 | ||
| Career | — | 232 | 88 | 676 | 3032 | 404 | 267 | 75 | 38% | 2.9 | 13.3% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 5.10 | 4.45 | +7.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 26 | 200 | 897 | 120 | 79 | 22 | 38% | 2.9 | 13.3% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 5.10 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Danish (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.92 | 11.0% | 13.6% | 3.0% | — | 6.18 | 11.4% | -2.4% | 141 | +0.26 | — | — | — |
| Bradin Hagens R 2025 · 5.33 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.33 | 13.2% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 254 | 76 |
| David Holman R 2024 · 5.57 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.57 | 8.9% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.04 | 129 | 68 |
| Paul Clemens R 2024 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 68 |
| Marco Carrillo R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.94 | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.4% | .278 | 6.57 | 9.9% | 0.8% | 104 | +1.63 | 4.94 | 194 | 68 |
| Luis Mateo R 2024 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.34 | 8.6% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 160 | 67 |
| Jose A. Flores R 2024 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 13.7% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 237 | 66 |
| Francisco Cordova R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.28 | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | .261 | 4.78 | 7.1% | -0.6% | 83 | -0.50 | 4.78 | 115 | 64 |
| Seth Simmons R 2025 · 6.19 FIP | 30 | SW | 6.19 | 13.3% | 10.9% | 5.1% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 251 | 64 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2024 · 4.88 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.88 | 15.8% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 221 | 64 |
| Derek Eitel R 2024 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 17.2% | 16.0% | 2.0% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 138 | 64 |
| Josh Zeid R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 63 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2028 · 5.47 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.47 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 3.3% | .300 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 145 | -1.23 | 3.83 | 208 | 62 |
| Grant Black R 2024 · 5.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.81 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.4% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 215 | 61 |
| Scott Copeland R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.72 | 17.1% | 12.4% | 4.5% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 569 | 61 |
| Casey Coleman R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.98 | 15.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% | .344 | 5.00 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 78 | +0.02 | 2.86 | 306 | 60 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2025 · 5.08 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.08 | 14.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | .311 | 4.91 | 16.2% | 9.1% | 64 | -0.17 | 3.93 | 337 | 60 |
| Noah Song R 2024 · 4.96 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.96 | 16.6% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 106 | 57 |
| Angel Sánchez R 2028 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 3.6% | .333 | 3.80 | 12.1% | 6.3% | 27 | -1.18 | 3.80 | 284 | 57 |
| JC Ramírez R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.37 | 12.2% | 10.1% | 3.7% | .309 | 6.58 | 15.7% | 1.7% | 35 | +1.21 | 3.73 | 369 | 57 |
| Sean O'Sullivan R 2024 · 5.80 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.80 | 11.9% | 11.7% | 4.0% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 290 | 56 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 49 | 11.3% | 13.7% | 1.30 | 6.01 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |