Zack Burdi
P
Oklahoma City Dodgers
+0.1
WAR
Age 31
RHP
6'3" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
xFIP4.32
SIERA3.93
K%23.4%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%14.0%
IP14
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†5555
SL-0.6
FB-1.7
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 26 | 0 | 38 | 154 | 51 | 19 | 3 | 29.6% | 15.6% | 2.0% | 3.32 | 3.68 | +0.5 |
| 2017 | 22 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 29 | 0 | 33 | 151 | 51 | 16 | 2 | 29.7% | 11.1% | 1.3% | 4.05 | 2.69 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 7 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.84 | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 20 | 0 | 23 | 111 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 20.0% | 14.7% | 6.2% | 6.75 | 6.70 | -0.4 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 8 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 11 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | 11.05 | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 34 | 0 | 39 | 180 | 52 | 22 | 12 | 30.2% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 6.28 | 6.38 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 27 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 10 | 2 | 13 | 53 | 12 | 10 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.38 | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 16 | 0 | 22 | 98 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 23.7% | 13.5% | 4.2% | 5.24 | 5.12 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | TB | 14 | — | 14 | 61 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | TB | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 150 | 3 | 182 | 811 | 220 | 112 | 34 | 27.2% | 13.8% | 4.1% | 4.90 | 4.82 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 165 | 3 | 200 | 893 | 242 | 123 | 37 | 27.2% | 13.8% | 4.1% | 4.90 | 4.82 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zack Burdi (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.45 | 23.1% | 13.6% | 20 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 84 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.83 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .283 | 4.53 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.30 | 2.93 | 176 | 81 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 81 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 79 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 77 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 77 |
| Brandon Morrow R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.51 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | .280 | 3.50 | 21.2% | 14.8% | 153 | -0.01 | 2.67 | 186 | 76 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.63 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | .240 | 5.25 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.62 | 3.10 | 120 | 75 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 75 |
| Robert Stock R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.16 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .301 | 7.43 | 14.7% | -1.9% | 23 | +3.27 | 2.91 | 334 | 75 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2025 · 3.31 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.31 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 1.1% | .333 | 3.78 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.47 | 3.31 | 244 | 74 |
| John Axford R 2027 · 3.28 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.28 | 24.8% | 11.2% | 1.6% | .333 | 3.94 | 21.5% | 11.1% | 141 | +0.66 | 3.28 | 197 | 74 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 74 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2024 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 160 | 74 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.20 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 137 | 73 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 72 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.09 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .278 | 3.53 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.56 | 2.31 | 403 | 72 |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 27.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | 281 | 72 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.89 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .246 | 3.65 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.24 | 1.69 | 468 | 72 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.68 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.22 | 3.46 | 160 | 71 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.