Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 26 | 0 | 38 | 154 | 51 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 29.6% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 2.2% | 3.32 | 3.77 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 26 | 0 | 38 | 154 | 51 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 33.1% | 12.3% | 20.8% | 1.9% | 3.32 | 2.94 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 29 | 0 | 33 | 151 | 51 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.7% | 11.1% | 18.6% | 1.1% | 4.05 | 2.61 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 29 | 0 | 33 | 151 | 51 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.8% | 10.6% | 23.2% | 1.3% | 4.05 | 2.26 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 7 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 14% | 0.9 | 25.9% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 2.79 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 7 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 14% | 0.9 | 25.9% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 2.78 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 23 | 111 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 14.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.75 | 6.72 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 23 | 111 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.0% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 4.5% | 6.75 | 5.17 | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 8 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.7% | 8.1% | 21.6% | 10.8% | 11.05 | 7.55 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 8 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.7% | 8.1% | 21.6% | 10.8% | 11.05 | 8.42 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 39 | 180 | 52 | 22 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.2% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 7.4% | 6.28 | 6.35 | -0.8 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 39 | 180 | 52 | 22 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.9% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 6.7% | 6.28 | 6.15 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 2 | 13 | 53 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 20% | 1.3 | 22.6% | 18.9% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 1.38 | 3.58 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 2 | 13 | 53 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 20% | 1.3 | 22.6% | 18.9% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 1.38 | 3.56 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 22 | 98 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.7% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 5.24 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 22 | 98 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.5% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 3.1% | 5.24 | 4.13 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | TB | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | TB | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.49 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | TB | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.49 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 25 | 0 | 29 | 137 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 7.43 | 5.66 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 174 | 0 | 200 | 955 | 209 | 91 | 56 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 7.43 | 5.66 | -0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 150 | 3 | 182 | 811 | 220 | 112 | 33 | 2% | 1.2 | 27.2% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 4.1% | 4.90 | 4.82 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 165 | 3 | 200 | 893 | 243 | 123 | 37 | 2% | 1.2 | 27.2% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 4.1% | 4.90 | 4.82 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zack Burdi (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.58 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 20 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 84 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 81 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 80 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 79 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 78 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 77 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 74 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 74 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.86 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 137 | 73 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 73 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.50 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.27 | 426 | 73 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2024 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 73 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 73 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2025 · 3.20 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.20 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 0.9% | .333 | 3.74 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.54 | 3.20 | 244 | 73 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 73 |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.04 | 27.7% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 281 | 73 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 72 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 72 |
| Héctor Rondón R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 3.7% | .257 | 5.52 | 23.7% | 14.4% | 20 | +1.00 | 2.37 | 318 | 72 |