Phil Bickford — OGILVIE

Phil Bickford P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

+0.4 WAR

Age 31 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026

ERA4.33

FIP3.93

xFIP4.62

SIERA4.09

K%24.7%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%15.3%

IP39

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2026

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD6060

K†6060

FB Velo

p3893.7

Whiff%

p7829.7%

p6525.0%

xwOBA vs

p290.336

SL+0.5 (23%)

FB-1.9 (77%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2015	20	ROK	AZL Giants	10	10	22	84	32	6	0	25.9%	8.9%	0.0%	2.01	2.04	+0.7
2016	21	A+	Brevard County Manatees	23	22	120	496	135	42	6	20.5%	9.8%	1.5%	2.92	3.45	+2.5
2017	22	ROK	AZL Brewers	6	5	17	79	16	10	0	13.8%	15.8%	0.0%	2.12	3.94	+0.2
2018	23	A+	Carolina Mudcats	21	0	35	158	41	18	3	20.0%	13.1%	2.4%	4.67	4.37	+0.2
2019	24	A+	Carolina Mudcats	20	0	33	129	53	11	2	31.6%	9.8%	1.8%	2.48	2.65	+0.9
2020	25	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	1	0	1	9	2	0	0	—	—	—	36.00	—	—
2021	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	62	0	56	228	71	12	7	28.5%	5.8%	2.8%	3.04	2.97	+1.3
2022	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	66	0	66	269	73	17	14	27.1%	5.7%	4.7%	5.05	4.11	+0.7
2023	28	MLB	New York Mets	62	0	68	307	77	35	8	25.0%	11.5%	2.6%	4.87	3.88	+0.9
2024	29	MLB	New York Yankees	47	1	59	246	68	17	5	26.4%	8.1%	2.1%	4.14	3.03	+1.3
2025	30	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	39	0	46	186	53	17	2	25.1%	9.6%	1.3%	3.52	2.89	+1.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	31	MLB	PHI	39	—	39	165	41	15	4	24.8%	9.0%	2.7%	4.21	4.00	+0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	32	MLB	PHI	38	—	38	158	38	15	4	24.2%	9.2%	2.8%	4.15	4.12	+0.4
2028	33	MLB	PHI	36	—	36	151	36	14	4	23.5%	9.3%	2.9%	4.21	4.24	+0.3
2029	34	MLB	PHI	34	—	34	144	33	14	4	22.8%	9.5%	3.0%	4.31	4.38	+0.2
2030	35	MLB	PHI	32	—	32	135	30	13	4	22.1%	9.8%	3.1%	4.44	4.53	+0.2
2031	36	MLB	PHI	30	—	30	126	27	13	4	21.3%	10.0%	3.2%	4.59	4.70	+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			357	38	523	2191	535	204	48	24.4%	9.3%	2.2%	3.73	3.42	+11.2
/ 200 IP	—			137	15	200	838	205	78	18	24.4%	9.3%	2.2%	3.73	3.42	+4.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Phil Bickford (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.00	24.8%	9.0%	2.7%	—	4.24	23.5%	14.2%	107	+0.24	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.26 FIP	33	SU	4.26	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.44	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.82	1.94	112	84
Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.73 FIP	31	SW	3.73	24.5%	8.2%	3.0%	.325	3.80	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.07	3.65	137	83
Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.83 FIP	31	SU	4.83	23.8%	9.4%	4.6%	.283	4.53	22.0%	13.8%	96	-0.30	2.93	176	82
Ryan Cook R 2026 · 3.85 FIP	31	SW	3.85	25.1%	10.8%	2.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	102	82
Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.33 FIP	32	SW	3.33	23.7%	7.2%	2.4%	.342	4.98	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.65	3.33	122	82
Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.63 FIP	31	SU	4.63	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	81
Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.63 FIP	31	SU	3.63	21.9%	6.4%	2.9%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.62	3.10	120	80
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.38 FIP	31	SW	3.38	26.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.241	3.98	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.60	3.38	212	80
Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.39 FIP	31	SW	3.39	25.5%	9.1%	2.4%	.254	3.70	22.8%	11.1%	129	+0.31	2.80	410	80
Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.48 FIP	31	SW	3.48	23.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.57	2.00	380	79
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2026 · 3.11 FIP	31	SW	3.11	22.5%	9.7%	1.2%	.298	5.81	13.8%	4.1%	86	+2.70	3.11	148	78
Brian Schlitter R 2025 · 3.31 FIP	30	SU	3.31	20.6%	10.8%	1.1%	.333	3.78	14.4%	6.6%	110	+0.47	3.31	244	77
Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP	31	SW	3.46	20.7%	9.1%	1.7%	.241	5.68	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.22	3.46	160	77
Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.35 FIP	31	SW	3.35	25.3%	9.3%	2.2%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.91	210	77
Andrew Robinson R 2024 · 4.33 FIP	29	SU	4.33	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.25	160	76
Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP	31	SU	3.89	22.3%	8.6%	2.9%	.246	3.65	28.8%	20.4%	145	-0.24	1.69	468	76
Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.45 FIP	32	SW	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.18	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.27	2.48	147	76
Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.09 FIP	31	SW	4.09	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.53	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	403	76
Adrian Ramirez R 2026 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	21.7%	6.3%	3.9%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	137	76
Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.39	132	76

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.