Phil Bickford
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 31
RHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110101vR 92
ERA4.01
FIP3.98
K%25.4%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%16.4%
ROS IP56
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL+0.5 (23%)
FB-1.9 (77%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | AZL Giants | 10 | 10 | 22 | 84 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 2.2 | 25.9% | 8.9% | 17.0% | 0.0% | 2.01 | 2.04 | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | AZL Giants | 10 | 10 | 22 | 84 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 2.2 | 38.1% | 7.1% | 31.0% | 0.0% | 2.01 | 1.04 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 120 | 496 | 135 | 42 | 6 | 96% | 5.2 | 20.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 1.6% | 2.92 | 3.51 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 120 | 496 | 135 | 42 | 6 | 96% | 5.2 | 27.2% | 8.5% | 18.8% | 1.2% | 2.92 | 2.55 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | AZL Brewers | 6 | 5 | 17 | 79 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 83% | 2.8 | 13.8% | 15.8% | -2.1% | 0.0% | 2.12 | 3.94 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | AZL Brewers | 6 | 5 | 17 | 79 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 83% | 2.8 | 20.3% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 2.12 | 2.98 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | 21 | 0 | 35 | 158 | 41 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.0% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 4.67 | 4.35 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | 21 | 0 | 35 | 158 | 41 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 25.9% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 1.9% | 4.67 | 3.42 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | 20 | 0 | 33 | 129 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 31.6% | 9.8% | 21.8% | 1.7% | 2.48 | 2.58 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | 20 | 0 | 33 | 129 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 41.1% | 8.5% | 32.6% | 1.6% | 2.48 | 1.66 | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 36.00 | 1.22 | +0.0 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 36.00 | -0.90 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 56 | 228 | 71 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.5% | 5.8% | 22.7% | 3.6% | 3.04 | 3.39 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 56 | 228 | 71 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 31.1% | 5.3% | 25.9% | 3.1% | 3.04 | 2.83 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 0 | 66 | 269 | 73 | 17 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.1% | 5.7% | 21.5% | 5.1% | 5.05 | 4.35 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 0 | 66 | 269 | 73 | 17 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.1% | 6.3% | 20.8% | 5.2% | 5.05 | 4.42 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 68 | 307 | 77 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 2.6% | 4.87 | 3.90 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 68 | 307 | 77 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.1% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 2.6% | 4.87 | 3.90 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 1 | 59 | 246 | 68 | 17 | 5 | 2% | 1.2 | 26.4% | 8.1% | 18.2% | 2.0% | 4.14 | 2.97 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 1 | 59 | 246 | 68 | 17 | 5 | 2% | 1.2 | 27.6% | 6.9% | 20.7% | 2.0% | 4.14 | 2.76 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 39 | 0 | 46 | 186 | 53 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.1% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 1.3% | 3.52 | 2.92 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 39 | 0 | 46 | 186 | 53 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.5% | 9.1% | 19.4% | 1.1% | 3.52 | 2.47 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 60 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.4% | 9.0% | 16.4% | 2.7% | 4.01 | 3.98 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 49 | 0 | 52 | 218 | 54 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.14 | 4.23 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 45 | 0 | 47 | 200 | 48 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 3.3% | 4.36 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 42 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 3.6% | 4.63 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.14 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 26 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 3.3% | 4.36 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 3.6% | 4.63 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 251 | 0 | 256 | 1089 | 277 | 90 | 37 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.4% | 8.3% | 17.2% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 3.88 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 196 | 0 | 200 | 851 | 216 | 70 | 29 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.4% | 8.3% | 17.2% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 3.88 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 357 | 38 | 523 | 2191 | 535 | 204 | 51 | 11% | 1.5 | 24.4% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 2.3% | 3.73 | 3.50 | +11.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 137 | 15 | 200 | 838 | 205 | 78 | 20 | 11% | 1.5 | 24.4% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 2.3% | 3.73 | 3.50 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Phil Bickford (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.98 | 25.4% | 9.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.50 | 23.8% | 13.9% | 142 | +0.52 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 85 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 85 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 84 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.40 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.69 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.29 | 2.73 | 410 | 83 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 83 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.58 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .258 | 2.93 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.65 | 2.01 | 380 | 82 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 80 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.09 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.84 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.75 | 3.09 | 148 | 80 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 80 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 80 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 79 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 78 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.50 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.27 | 426 | 78 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 78 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 28.1% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .269 | 3.84 | 28.4% | 21.3% | 195 | +0.48 | 2.61 | 339 | 78 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 21.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | .266 | 3.41 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 29 | -0.38 | 3.40 | 295 | 77 |
| Tony Barnette R 2027 · 3.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.06 | 19.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% | .281 | 3.28 | 23.4% | 17.0% | 84 | +0.22 | 2.63 | 144 | 77 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 77 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 76 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 50 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.20 | 4.26 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |