Phil Bickford — OGILVIE

Phil Bickford P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 31 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108100vR 92

ERA3.99

FIP3.93

K%24.5%

BB%8.1%

K-BB%16.4%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD6060

K†6060

SL+0.5 (23%)

FB-1.9 (77%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	20	ROK MLE	AZL Giants	10	10	22	84	32	6	0	100%	2.2	25.9%	8.9%	17.0%	0.0%	2.01	2.04	—
2015	20	ROK RAW	AZL Giants	10	10	22	84	32	6	0	100%	2.2	38.1%	7.1%	31.0%	0.0%	2.01	1.04	—
2016	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	120	496	135	42	6	96%	5.2	20.5%	9.8%	10.7%	1.6%	2.92	3.46	—
2016	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	22	120	496	135	42	6	96%	5.2	27.2%	8.5%	18.8%	1.2%	2.92	2.55	—
2017	22	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers	6	5	17	79	16	10	0	83%	2.8	13.8%	15.8%	-2.1%	0.0%	2.12	3.94	—
2017	22	ROK RAW	AZL Brewers	6	5	17	79	16	10	0	83%	2.8	20.3%	12.7%	7.6%	0.0%	2.12	2.98	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	Carolina Mudcats	21	0	35	158	41	18	3	0%	1.7	20.0%	13.1%	6.9%	2.4%	4.67	4.36	—
2018	23	A+ RAW	Carolina Mudcats	21	0	35	158	41	18	3	0%	1.7	25.9%	11.4%	14.6%	1.9%	4.67	3.42	—
2019	24	A+ MLE	Carolina Mudcats	20	0	33	129	53	11	2	0%	1.6	31.6%	9.8%	21.8%	1.8%	2.48	2.65	—
2019	24	A+ RAW	Carolina Mudcats	20	0	33	129	53	11	2	0%	1.6	41.1%	8.5%	32.6%	1.6%	2.48	1.66	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	1	0	1	9	2	0	0	0%	1.0	22.2%	0.0%	22.2%	0.0%	36.00	1.22	+0.0
2020	25	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	1	0	1	9	2	0	0	0%	1.0	22.2%	0.0%	22.2%	0.0%	36.00	-0.90	+0.1
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	56	228	71	12	7	0%	0.9	28.5%	5.8%	22.7%	3.2%	3.04	3.21	+0.9
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	62	0	56	228	71	12	7	0%	0.9	31.1%	5.3%	25.9%	3.1%	3.04	2.83	+1.2
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	66	0	66	269	73	17	14	0%	1.0	27.1%	5.7%	21.5%	4.7%	5.05	4.09	+0.4
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	66	0	66	269	73	17	14	0%	1.0	27.1%	6.3%	20.8%	5.2%	5.05	4.42	+0.1
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	68	307	77	35	8	0%	1.1	25.0%	11.5%	13.5%	2.6%	4.87	3.90	+0.5
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	68	307	77	35	8	0%	1.1	25.0%	11.5%	13.5%	2.6%	4.87	3.90	+0.5
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	62	0	68	307	77	35	8	0%	1.1	25.1%	11.4%	13.7%	2.6%	4.87	3.90	+0.5
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	1	59	246	68	17	5	2%	1.2	24.9%	7.0%	17.9%	2.0%	4.14	3.00	+1.1
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	1	59	246	68	17	5	2%	1.2	24.9%	7.0%	17.9%	2.0%	4.14	3.00	+1.1
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	1	59	246	68	17	5	2%	1.2	27.6%	6.9%	20.7%	2.0%	4.14	2.76	+1.3
2025	30	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	39	0	46	186	53	17	2	0%	1.2	23.7%	8.2%	15.4%	1.2%	3.52	2.83	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	39	0	46	186	53	17	2	0%	1.2	23.7%	8.2%	15.4%	1.2%	3.52	2.83	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	39	0	46	186	53	17	2	0%	1.2	28.5%	9.1%	19.4%	1.1%	3.52	2.47	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			187	0	189	806	210	62	28	0%	1.0	26.1%	7.7%	18.4%	3.5%	4.62	3.79	+1.7
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	PHI	4	0	4	17	4	1	0	0%	1.0	24.5%	8.1%	16.4%	2.7%	3.99	3.93	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	PHI	49	0	52	218	52	19	6	0%	1.1	23.7%	8.5%	15.2%	3.0%	4.11	4.19	+0.2
2028	33	MLB MLE	PHI	45	0	47	200	46	18	7	0%	1.1	22.9%	8.9%	13.9%	3.3%	4.32	4.47	+0.0
2029	34	MLB MLE	PHI	41	0	43	182	40	17	6	0%	1.1	22.0%	9.4%	12.5%	3.6%	4.59	4.77	-0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	PHI	18	0	19	80	19	7	2	0%	1.1	23.7%	8.5%	15.2%	3.0%	4.11	4.19	+0.1
2028	33	MLB CTX	PHI	25	0	26	110	25	10	4	0%	1.0	22.9%	8.9%	13.9%	3.3%	4.32	4.47	+0.0
2029	34	MLB CTX	PHI	21	0	22	93	20	9	3	0%	1.0	22.0%	9.4%	12.5%	3.6%	4.59	4.77	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		251	0	256	1089	274	87	37	0%	1.0	25.2%	8.0%	17.2%	3.4%	4.55	3.87	+2.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		196	0	200	851	214	68	29	0%	1.0	25.2%	8.0%	17.2%	3.4%	4.55	3.87	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		357	38	523	2191	529	198	49	11%	1.5	24.1%	9.1%	15.1%	2.2%	3.73	3.44	+1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	15	200	838	202	76	19	11%	1.5	24.1%	9.1%	15.1%	2.2%	3.73	3.44	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Phil Bickford (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.93	24.5%	8.1%	2.7%	—	4.46	22.9%	14.0%	142	+0.53	—	—	—
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	86
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	86
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	212	84
Joakim Soria R 2015 · 3.70 FIP	31	SU	3.70	23.5%	6.6%	3.2%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.79	2.01	380	83
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.92	176	83
Brad Brach R 2017 · 3.36 FIP	31	SU	3.36	25.5%	9.1%	2.3%	.254	3.68	22.8%	11.1%	129	+0.32	2.69	410	82
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	82
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	81
Tony Barnette R 2016 · 3.05 FIP	32	SU	3.05	19.9%	6.1%	1.6%	.281	3.26	23.4%	17.0%	84	+0.21	2.61	144	80
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2015 · 3.07 FIP	31	SU	3.07	22.5%	9.7%	1.1%	.298	5.78	13.8%	4.1%	86	+2.71	3.07	148	80
Pedro Beato R 2018 · 3.71 FIP	31	SU	3.71	21.1%	6.4%	2.9%	.266	3.49	16.8%	9.3%	29	-0.22	3.47	295	80
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	79
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	79
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	79
Ryan Brasier R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.56	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	426	79
Kevin Jepsen R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	31	SU	3.47	20.7%	9.1%	1.8%	.241	5.85	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.38	3.47	160	78
Carlos Torres R 2015 · 3.19 FIP	32	SU	3.19	19.8%	4.9%	2.1%	.315	3.67	20.8%	12.4%	206	+0.48	2.89	326	78
Ryan Madson R 2015 · 2.99 FIP	34	SU	2.99	23.4%	5.2%	2.2%	.244	2.96	23.9%	18.7%	176	-0.03	1.42	240	77
Jumbo Diaz R 2015 · 3.16 FIP	31	SU	3.16	25.2%	6.0%	2.6%	.286	3.65	21.9%	12.2%	152	+0.49	2.80	284	77
Blake Parker R 2016 · 3.21 FIP	31	SU	3.21	28.1%	8.5%	2.5%	.269	3.73	28.4%	21.3%	195	+0.52	2.52	339	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	50	23.4%	8.7%	1.20	4.23
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33