Matt Krook

P Rochester Red Wings

Age 32 LHP 6'4" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	29	MIX2 levels	42	0	45	4.23	4.20	29.2%	16.7%	0.2	K 25.0% · BB 15.0% · FIP 4.19
2025	30	MIX2 levels	45	0	51	3.33	3.29	29.1%	15.0%	0.8	K 25.6% · BB 14.0% · FIP 3.53
2026	31	MIX2 levels	51	4	56	5.01	3.15	27.7%	13.8%	0.9	K 25.3% · BB 10.9% · FIP 2.63
2027PROJ	32	MLBWSH	151	0	159	4.06	4.06	26.5%	12.9%	0.9
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBWSH	51	0	54	4.23	4.33	25.5%	12.8%	0.1
2029PROJ32% MLB	34	MLBWSH	41	0	43	4.45	4.60	24.7%	12.9%	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.9 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff60Control30Command50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJuan Pablo Perez (age 34) · Raul Valdes (age 32) · Ryan O'Rourke (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 94102vR 110

ERA4.06

FIP4.06

K%26.5%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%13.6%

Proj IP159

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 159 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL3030

CMD5050

K†6060

CT+0.5 (24%)

SL (27%)

SI (34%)

FB (34%)

CH-1.2 (15%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	21	ROK MLE	AZL Giants	2	1	6	27	2	2	0	50%	2.8	7.4%	7.4%	0.0%	0.0%	1.59	3.41	—
2016	21	ROK RAW	AZL Giants	2	1	6	27	2	2	0	50%	2.8	7.4%	7.4%	0.0%	0.0%	1.59	3.45	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	25	17	91	418	105	66	4	68%	3.7	19.3%	18.2%	1.2%	1.2%	5.12	4.42	—
2017	22	A+ RAW	San Jose Giants	25	17	91	418	105	66	4	68%	3.7	25.1%	15.8%	9.3%	1.0%	5.12	3.54	—
2018	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	37	6	74	326	95	50	3	16%	2.0	23.6%	16.9%	6.7%	1.1%	4.26	3.86	—
2018	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	37	6	74	326	95	50	3	16%	2.0	29.1%	15.3%	13.8%	0.9%	4.26	3.09	—
2019	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	32	18	50	225	52	32	3	56%	1.6	18.7%	15.6%	3.1%	1.7%	4.50	4.46	—
2019	24	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	32	18	50	225	52	32	3	56%	1.6	23.1%	14.2%	8.9%	1.3%	4.50	3.72	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	21	106	445	132	60	5	88%	4.4	25.4%	14.3%	11.1%	1.1%	2.89	3.38	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	21	106	445	132	60	5	88%	4.4	29.7%	13.5%	16.2%	1.1%	2.89	2.92	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	29	22	139	603	155	73	19	76%	4.8	22.6%	12.7%	9.9%	3.4%	4.09	4.69	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	29	22	139	603	155	73	19	76%	4.8	25.7%	12.1%	13.6%	3.2%	4.09	4.22	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	38	168	58	32	1	0%	1.2	33.5%	16.6%	17.0%	0.0%	3.79	2.37	+1.0
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	38	168	58	32	1	0%	1.2	34.5%	19.0%	15.5%	0.6%	3.79	2.92	+0.7
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	45	192	56	32	5	0%	1.1	25.0%	15.0%	10.0%	2.4%	4.23	4.19	+0.2
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	45	192	56	32	5	0%	1.1	25.0%	15.0%	10.0%	2.4%	4.23	4.19	+0.2
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	45	192	56	32	5	0%	1.1	29.2%	16.7%	12.5%	2.6%	4.23	4.20	+0.2
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	51	220	64	33	3	0%	1.1	25.6%	14.0%	11.5%	1.5%	3.33	3.53	+0.6
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	51	220	64	33	3	0%	1.1	25.6%	14.0%	11.5%	1.5%	3.33	3.53	+0.6
2025	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	51	220	64	33	3	0%	1.1	29.1%	15.0%	14.1%	1.4%	3.33	3.29	+0.8
2026	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	4	56	260	72	36	3	8%	1.1	25.3%	10.9%	14.4%	0.5%	5.01	2.63	+1.3
2026	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	4	56	260	72	36	3	8%	1.1	25.3%	10.9%	14.4%	0.5%	5.01	2.63	+1.3
2026	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	4	56	260	72	36	3	8%	1.1	27.7%	13.8%	13.8%	1.2%	5.01	3.15	+0.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			19	0	17	94	17	18	4	0%	0.9	18.1%	19.1%	-1.1%	4.3%	13.50	7.42	-0.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	WSH	151	0	159	671	178	86	15	0%	1.1	26.5%	12.9%	13.6%	2.2%	4.06	4.06	+0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	WSH	139	0	146	615	157	79	16	0%	1.0	25.5%	12.8%	12.7%	2.5%	4.23	4.33	+0.4
2029	34	MLB MLE	WSH	126	0	132	559	138	72	16	0%	1.1	24.7%	12.9%	11.8%	2.9%	4.45	4.60	-0.1
2028	33	MLB CTX	WSH	51	0	54	228	58	29	6	0%	1.1	25.5%	12.8%	12.7%	2.5%	4.23	4.33	+0.1
2029	34	MLB CTX	WSH	41	0	43	182	45	23	5	0%	1.0	24.7%	12.9%	11.8%	2.9%	4.45	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		111	0	113	501	119	70	15	0%	1.0	23.8%	14.0%	9.8%	3.0%	5.68	4.49	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		196	0	200	886	211	124	27	0%	1.0	23.8%	14.0%	9.8%	3.0%	5.68	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		318	89	655	2884	678	424	47	28%	2.1	23.5%	14.7%	8.8%	1.6%	4.08	3.88	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	27	200	880	207	129	14	28%	2.1	23.5%	14.7%	8.8%	1.6%	4.08	3.88	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Matt Krook (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.06	26.5%	12.9%	2.2%	—	4.46	25.1%	12.3%	278	+0.40	—	—	—
Juan Pablo Perez L 2013 · 3.68 FIP	34	SU	3.68	25.2%	11.5%	2.3%	.250	3.68	26.5%	11.2%	51	-0.00	1.75	104	67
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	66
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	62
Cory Luebke L 2016 · 3.88 FIP	31	SU	3.88	26.4%	9.1%	3.4%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	216	61
Hideki Okajima L 2008 · 3.49 FIP	32	SU	3.49	23.3%	8.5%	2.3%	.253	4.09	18.4%	11.4%	107	+0.60	3.05	238	60
Jeremy Bleich L 2019 · 4.41 FIP	32	SW	4.41	20.1%	7.0%	3.9%	.360	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	241	60
Luke Westphal L 2021 · 4.70 FIP	32	SP-	4.70	22.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.321	4.58	21.9%	7.6%	95	-0.12	2.97	294	60
Doug Creek L 2001 · 4.48 FIP	32	SU	4.48	23.7%	15.8%	2.5%	.272	4.99	20.3%	7.6%	69	+0.51	4.48	277	60
Zac Rosscup L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	31	SU	4.42	26.4%	20.5%	1.7%	.386	2.69	26.6%	13.7%	58	-1.73	2.56	173	60
Clay Rapada L 2012 · 3.00 FIP	31	SU	3.00	24.5%	10.3%	1.2%	.273	3.84	14.3%	6.3%	44	+0.84	3.00	120	59
Tim Byrdak L 2005 · 3.45 FIP	31	SU	3.45	23.7%	15.3%	0.8%	.329	4.31	22.0%	10.7%	100	+0.86	2.85	320	58
Mike Myers L 2001 · 3.22 FIP	32	SU	3.22	21.3%	10.1%	1.2%	.263	4.20	15.7%	5.5%	116	+0.98	3.22	533	58
Zach Phillips L 2019 · 3.67 FIP	32	SU	3.67	19.1%	8.5%	2.0%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	2.33	202	57
Kelly Wunsch L 2003 · 3.36 FIP	31	SU	3.36	20.6%	13.1%	0.6%	.152	3.82	21.0%	9.6%	24	+0.46	3.36	175	57
Anthony Gose L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	31	SU	4.71	30.4%	14.1%	4.4%	.234	4.63	23.9%	12.2%	82	-0.08	3.78	233	57
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	57
Jack Taschner L 2010 · 4.74 FIP	32	SU	4.74	18.1%	11.7%	3.1%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	189	57
Heriberto Ruelas L 2015 · 2.95 FIP	33	SU	2.95	19.1%	7.3%	1.0%	.352	3.57	16.2%	8.5%	89	+0.62	2.95	117	57
Yorkis Perez L 2000 · 4.85 FIP	32	SU	4.85	18.9%	10.8%	3.6%	.284	4.54	20.8%	10.0%	27	-0.31	3.18	269	56
Nick Ramirez L 2022 · 3.12 FIP	32	SU	3.12	20.8%	6.6%	1.7%	.294	3.19	16.3%	10.8%	113	+0.07	2.91	478	55

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	151	25.3%	13.2%	1.00	4.58
Tiny Osborne ('22-'25, -0 WAR*)	3.2	162	25.2%*	12.8%*	1.02*	4.97*
Rube Melton ('41-'47, 4 WAR*)	3.5	141	26.5%*	12.6%*	0.70*	4.48*
Slim Love ('13-'20, 3 WAR*)	2.6	129	26.7%*	11.5%*	1.24*	4.50*
Jonathan Sánchez ('13)	3.9	112	22.8%	12.5%	1.04	4.70
Rick Ankiel ('04)	1.2	81	25.9%	12.5%	1.19	3.90
Kazuhisa Ishii ('02-'05, 1 WAR*)	2.8	141	19.8%*	13.6%*	1.14*	4.72*