Victor González P Salt Lake Bees
Age 30 LHP 6'0" / 180 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121130vR 139
ERA4.90
FIP5.35
K%18.1%
BB%15.7%
K-BB%2.4%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP
K: -2.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-2KBB: -5.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-5BBCONTACT: -0.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +2.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.56 (60 IP)-0.6WAR
-0.3-0.5-0.62628
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5555
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†4545
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1592.0
Whiff%
p1018.1%
K%
p1011.3%
xwOBA vs
p140.355
FB+2.6 (48%)
SL+0.6 (28%)
SI (48%)
CH (24%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201519MIX2 levels1914663005619574%3.512.8%7.3%5.5%2.5%5.434.33
201519MIX2 levels1914663005619574%3.518.7%6.3%12.3%1.7%5.433.25
201620AGreat Lakes Loons22199541210444786%4.318.7%12.6%6.1%2.4%3.614.44
201620AGreat Lakes Loons22199541210444786%4.325.2%10.7%14.6%1.7%3.613.26
201822MIX2 levels10834157259480%3.412.0%5.3%6.7%2.9%7.494.37
201822MIX2 levels10834157259480%3.415.9%5.7%10.2%2.5%7.493.96
201923MIX3 levels3813903809332734%2.419.7%9.4%10.3%2.3%2.313.89
201923MIX3 levels3813903809332734%2.424.5%8.4%16.1%1.8%2.313.11
202024MLBLos Angeles Dodgers151208023207%1.428.7%2.5%26.2%0.0%1.330.99+0.8
202024MLBLos Angeles Dodgers151208023207%1.428.7%2.5%26.2%0.0%1.331.13+0.8
202125MIX3 levels58246205512053%0.821.3%11.0%10.3%2.0%4.083.82+0.4
202125MIX3 levels58246205512053%0.824.9%9.8%15.1%2.4%4.083.60+0.5
202226MIX2 levels130135412510%1.017.6%10.5%7.1%2.2%2.844.16
202226MIX2 levels130135412510%1.022.2%9.3%13.0%1.9%2.843.42
202327MIX2 levels54154227522522%1.021.7%11.4%10.4%0.9%4.533.22+0.8
202327MIX2 levels54154227522522%1.022.9%11.0%11.9%0.9%4.533.04+0.9
202428MIX2 levels48045199322240%0.914.8%11.3%3.5%1.9%4.174.33+0.1
202428MIX2 levels48045199322240%0.916.1%11.1%5.0%2.0%4.174.29+0.1
202529MIX2 levels37042194353430%1.116.6%18.6%-2.1%1.8%3.895.06
202529MIX2 levels37042194353430%1.118.0%17.5%0.5%1.5%3.894.80
▸ 2026 Season
202630MLBLAA57060254464070%1.118.1%15.7%2.4%2.6%4.905.35-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731MLBLAA53056236413870%1.117.4%16.1%1.3%2.8%5.315.58-0.7
202832MLBLAA49052219363670%1.116.6%16.5%0.1%3.0%5.635.84-0.8
202731MLBLAA2002189151420%1.117.4%16.1%1.3%2.8%5.315.58-0.3
202832MLBLAA28029122202040%1.016.6%16.5%0.1%3.0%5.635.84-0.4
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career167316267413275142%1.019.6%11.1%8.5%2.1%4.014.00+2.7
/ 200 IP206420083416393172%1.019.6%11.1%8.5%2.1%4.014.00+3.3
Career3145850422083962324618%1.617.9%10.5%7.4%2.1%3.984.05+7.9
/ 200 IP12523200876157921818%1.617.9%10.5%7.4%2.1%3.984.05+3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Victor González (OGILVIE) 5.35 18.1%15.7%2.6% 5.70 17.0%0.7%108 +0.35
Keith Hessler L 2025 · 4.73 FIP 29 SU 4.73 19.8%13.3%3.0%.348 3.33 228 72
Bryan Harper L 2024 · 4.72 FIP 28 SU 4.72 14.9%13.9%2.1%.288 3.97 133 70
Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 5.93 FIP 30 SU 5.93 17.1%15.7%4.2%.238 3.04 153 70
Ashur Tolliver L 2025 · 5.05 FIP 29 SU 5.05 13.8%18.9%1.3%.319 3.43 134 70
Rex Brothers L 2026 · 4.67 FIP 30 SU 4.67 23.5%22.4%1.3%.301 4.11 32.8%16.9%99 -0.56 3.10 205 69
Braulio Lara L 2024 · 5.86 FIP 28 SU 5.86 19.8%17.8%4.0%.361 4.10 118 69
Kelvin Marte L 2025 · 4.87 FIP 29 SW 4.87 16.1%11.4%3.1%.300 5.18 12.0%1.2%71 +0.31 3.50 360 68
Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 4.75 FIP 30 SU 4.75 20.5%21.1%1.3%.352 3.46 154 68
Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.51 FIP 29 SU 4.51 16.4%10.3%2.7%.282 3.80 10.5%-2.0%30 -0.71 3.59 110 67
Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP 29 SU 4.83 20.2%9.6%4.0%.301 2.68 175 67
Aaron Brown L 2026 · 5.22 FIP 30 SU 5.22 21.3%12.5%4.2%.253 3.88 269 66
Héctor Santiago L 2026 · 4.62 FIP 30 SU 4.62 22.4%12.4%3.4%.299 4.70 22.5%11.9%154 +0.08 4.40 713 65
Jimmy Reyes L 2024 · 4.73 FIP 28 SU 4.73 13.8%8.0%3.2%.294 3.00 200 64
Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP 30 SU 4.37 19.1%9.0%3.2%.245 3.99 16.6%8.5%64 -0.38 3.09 244 64
Chris Nunn L 2026 · 4.61 FIP 30 SU 4.61 24.0%19.2%2.0%.235 3.26 180 64
Jack Leathersich L 2024 · 4.46 FIP 28 SU 4.46 21.7%19.8%1.3%.224 3.30 101 63
Buddy Baumann L 2026 · 4.85 FIP 30 SU 4.85 20.5%11.9%3.6%.258 2.83 155 63
Brian Duensing L 2028 · 4.46 FIP 32 SU 4.46 11.5%8.1%2.4%.252 3.70 20.2%11.8%137 -0.76 2.59 198 62
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2025 · 5.14 FIP 29 SU 5.14 17.5%11.1%3.9%.354 3.09 299 62
Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP 30 SU 4.48 23.7%11.1%3.6%.270 3.80 172 59

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION35617.4%16.1%1.085.26
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99