Stephen Gonsalves
P
Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 32
LHP
6'5" / 218 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149158vR 167
ERA6.66
FIP6.64
K%17.8%
BB%24.9%
K-BB%-7.1%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1089.8
Whiff%
p1016.8%
K%
p1013.1%
xwOBA vs
p100.411
FB+0.5
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 134 | 542 | 132 | 53 | 4 | 100% | 5.6 | 18.3% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 0.8% | 2.01 | 3.40 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 134 | 542 | 132 | 53 | 4 | 100% | 5.6 | 24.4% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 0.7% | 2.01 | 2.71 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 140 | 549 | 155 | 57 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 0.7% | 2.06 | 3.08 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 140 | 549 | 155 | 57 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 28.2% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 0.5% | 2.06 | 2.39 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 19 | 110 | 453 | 118 | 31 | 11 | 95% | 5.5 | 21.4% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 3.27 | 3.89 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 19 | 110 | 453 | 118 | 31 | 11 | 95% | 5.5 | 26.0% | 6.8% | 19.2% | 2.4% | 3.27 | 3.10 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 26 | 145 | 609 | 136 | 87 | 10 | 87% | 4.8 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 3.41 | 4.52 | +1.5 |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 26 | 145 | 609 | 136 | 87 | 10 | 87% | 4.8 | 22.3% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 3.41 | 3.92 | +2.5 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 8 | 6 | 13 | 55 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 75% | 1.6 | 38.2% | 12.7% | 25.5% | 5.5% | 4.15 | 4.48 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 8 | 6 | 13 | 55 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 75% | 1.6 | 38.2% | 12.7% | 25.5% | 5.5% | 4.15 | 4.48 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 10 | 77 | 348 | 107 | 54 | 13 | 40% | 3.1 | 27.5% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 4.66 | 4.33 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 10 | 77 | 348 | 107 | 54 | 13 | 40% | 3.1 | 30.7% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 3.7% | 4.66 | 4.61 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 8 | 0 | 13 | 60 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 30.8% | 19.2% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 4.26 | 4.96 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 8 | 0 | 13 | 60 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 35.0% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 3.3% | 4.26 | 4.44 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 4 levels | 22 | 5 | 28 | 126 | 44 | 22 | 3 | 23% | 1.3 | 28.9% | 26.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 5.72 | 4.83 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 4 levels | 22 | 5 | 28 | 126 | 44 | 22 | 3 | 23% | 1.3 | 34.9% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 2.4% | 5.72 | 3.70 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 36 | 183 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 24.9% | -2.0% | 2.1% | 6.75 | 5.47 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 36 | 183 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.2% | 23.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 6.75 | 5.82 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | COL | 9 | 9 | 54 | 230 | 41 | 57 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.8% | 24.9% | -7.1% | 2.8% | 6.66 | 6.64 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | COL | 8 | 8 | 50 | 211 | 37 | 50 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.5% | 23.7% | -6.3% | 3.1% | 6.58 | 6.69 | -1.2 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | COL | 7 | 7 | 45 | 192 | 33 | 44 | 6 | 100% | 6.5 | 17.0% | 23.2% | -6.1% | 3.3% | 6.65 | 6.81 | -1.2 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | COL | 7 | 7 | 41 | 172 | 28 | 40 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.4% | 23.0% | -6.6% | 3.7% | 6.83 | 7.03 | -1.2 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | COL | 3 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 13 | 18 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.5% | 23.7% | -6.3% | 3.1% | 6.58 | 6.69 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | COL | 2 | 2 | 15 | 63 | 11 | 15 | 2 | 100% | 7.5 | 17.0% | 23.2% | -6.1% | 3.3% | 6.65 | 6.81 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | COL | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 100% | 5.5 | 16.4% | 23.0% | -6.6% | 3.7% | 6.83 | 7.03 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 17 | 11 | 73 | 327 | 52 | 68 | 8 | 65% | 4.3 | 15.9% | 20.7% | -4.8% | 2.5% | 6.48 | 5.76 | -0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 31 | 200 | 892 | 142 | 186 | 22 | 65% | 4.3 | 15.9% | 20.7% | -4.8% | 2.5% | 6.48 | 5.76 | -0.8 | ||
| Career | — | 194 | 114 | 697 | 2925 | 653 | 404 | 55 | 59% | 3.6 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 1.9% | 3.28 | 4.00 | +11.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 33 | 200 | 839 | 187 | 116 | 16 | 59% | 3.6 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 1.9% | 3.28 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Stephen Gonsalves (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.64 | 17.8% | 24.9% | 2.8% | — | 6.83 | 17.0% | -6.3% | 136 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Paul Oseguera L 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.58 | 5.6% | 12.5% | 2.5% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 162 | 52 |
| Travis Wood L 2024 · 5.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.72 | 14.9% | 10.3% | 4.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 256 | 51 |
| Matt Moore L 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.49 | 19.6% | 10.8% | 4.9% | .288 | 3.82 | 25.2% | 15.4% | 175 | -1.67 | 2.82 | 845 | 50 |
| Anthony Vasquez L 2026 · 6.02 FIP | 32 | SW | 6.02 | 14.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | .383 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 642 | 44 |
| Jonathon Niese L 2026 · 5.56 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.56 | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.2% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 368 | 42 |
| Brad Mills L 2025 · 6.49 FIP | 31 | SP | 6.49 | 14.4% | 11.8% | 5.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.98 | 182 | 41 |
| John Danks L 2025 · 5.79 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.79 | 16.0% | 11.0% | 4.8% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 200 | 38 |
| Derek Holland L 2026 · 5.56 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.56 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 5.2% | .268 | 5.04 | 22.6% | 13.0% | 129 | -0.52 | 3.76 | 686 | 31 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2026 · 6.21 FIP | 32 | SW | 6.21 | 10.0% | 13.0% | 4.2% | .316 | 4.21 | 21.3% | 16.2% | 15 | -2.00 | 3.49 | 212 | 31 |
| Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 5.79 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.79 | 17.0% | 16.0% | 3.8% | .403 | 5.24 | 14.8% | 1.6% | 45 | -0.55 | 2.79 | 181 | 30 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.44 | 10.6% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.44 | 117 | 29 |
| Junior Guerra R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.44 | 19.4% | 12.8% | 4.3% | .255 | 4.13 | 22.2% | 12.5% | 248 | -1.31 | 3.02 | 646 | 28 |
| Brett Cecil L 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.45 | 12.1% | 12.7% | 3.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.96 | 191 | 28 |
| Pat Dean L 2024 · 6.52 FIP | 30 | SP | 6.52 | 11.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 424 | 27 |
| Seth Frankoff R 2026 · 7.41 FIP | 32 | SP- | 7.41 | 18.8% | 13.5% | 7.6% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 263 | 27 |
| David Fletcher R 2024 · 5.92 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.92 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.92 | 100 | 26 |
| Seth Simmons R 2024 · 6.19 FIP | 30 | SW | 6.19 | 13.3% | 10.9% | 5.1% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 251 | 25 |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.70 | 16.8% | 11.3% | 4.7% | .380 | 4.02 | 18.5% | 5.4% | 36 | -1.68 | 3.03 | 299 | 25 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2025 · 6.54 FIP | 31 | SP- | 6.54 | 17.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 258 | 20 |
| Tyson Ross R 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.80 | 15.4% | 11.1% | 4.7% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 449 | 20 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 48 | 17.2% | 23.8% | 1.23 | 6.67 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Jake Diekman ('24) | 9 | 51 | 28.6% | 13.8% | 0.91 | 4.07 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |