Jimmy Herget

P Colorado Rockies

Age 33 RHP 6'3" / 183 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	30	MIX3 levels	38	0	47	3.28	3.59	25.3%	5.2%	0.5	K 22.7% · BB 4.9% · FIP 3.84
2025	31	MLBCOL	59	0	83	2.48	2.99	23.3%	7.2%	1.6
2026	32	MIX2 levels	53	3	56	6.43	5.99	19.5%	10.4%	-0.9	K 19.8% · BB 10.1% · FIP 4.76
2027PROJ	33	MLBCOL	53	0	56	4.13	4.40	21.2%	8.5%	0.1
2028PROJ95% MLB	34	MLBCOL	47	0	49	4.47	4.70	20.3%	9.0%	-0.1
2029PROJ91% MLB	35	MLBCOL	40	0	42	4.81	5.04	19.4%	9.6%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.1 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

Whiff%47

xwOBA vs39

K%34

FB Velo16

CompsTony Barnette (age 33) · Rafael Betancourt (age 33) · Jean Machi (age 33)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.13

FIP4.40

K%21.2%

BB%8.5%

K-BB%12.7%

Proj IP56

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5555

CMD5555

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1692.1

Whiff%

p4724.8%

p3419.8%

xwOBA vs

p390.325

SL+1.6 (61%)

FB+1.5 (31%)

CH (9%)

SI (22%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	21	ROK MLE	Billings Mustangs	24	0	25	104	26	11	1	0%	1.1	17.0%	13.2%	3.8%	1.3%	3.20	4.08	—
2015	21	ROK RAW	Billings Mustangs	24	0	25	104	26	11	1	0%	1.1	25.0%	10.6%	14.4%	1.0%	3.20	2.86	—
2016	22	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	50	0	61	252	83	22	3	0%	1.2	25.4%	10.0%	15.3%	1.4%	1.78	3.00	—
2016	22	A+ RAW	Daytona Tortugas	50	0	61	252	83	22	3	0%	1.2	32.9%	8.7%	24.2%	1.2%	1.78	2.09	—
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	62	257	72	18	5	0%	1.2	23.5%	7.5%	15.9%	2.0%	2.90	3.16	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	62	257	72	18	5	0%	1.2	28.0%	7.0%	21.0%	1.9%	2.90	2.70	—
2018	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	50	0	60	260	65	20	5	0%	1.2	22.0%	8.1%	13.9%	2.1%	3.47	3.44	—
2018	24	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	50	0	60	260	65	20	5	0%	1.2	25.0%	7.7%	17.3%	1.9%	3.47	3.02	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	65	277	68	38	9	0%	1.2	23.8%	14.6%	9.2%	3.2%	3.05	4.70	-0.1
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	65	277	68	38	9	0%	1.2	24.5%	13.7%	10.8%	3.2%	3.05	4.56	-0.0
2020	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	20	1	20	87	17	13	2	5%	1.0	19.5%	14.9%	4.6%	2.1%	3.20	4.52	+0.0
2020	26	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	20	1	20	87	17	13	2	5%	1.0	19.5%	14.9%	4.6%	2.3%	3.20	4.68	-0.0
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	61	259	73	17	7	0%	1.2	25.7%	6.8%	18.9%	3.2%	4.28	3.54	+0.7
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	61	259	73	17	7	0%	1.2	28.2%	6.6%	21.6%	2.7%	4.28	3.03	+1.1
2022	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	1	73	281	67	14	5	2%	1.4	23.7%	4.5%	19.2%	1.5%	2.59	2.48	+1.8
2022	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	1	73	281	67	14	5	2%	1.4	23.8%	5.0%	18.9%	1.8%	2.59	2.73	+1.6
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	1	62	263	62	16	12	2%	1.1	21.7%	5.7%	16.0%	4.7%	4.67	4.57	-0.0
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	1	62	263	62	16	12	2%	1.1	23.6%	6.1%	17.5%	4.6%	4.67	4.40	+0.1
2024	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	47	194	49	10	7	0%	1.2	22.7%	4.9%	17.8%	3.7%	3.28	3.84	+0.4
2024	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	47	194	49	10	7	0%	1.2	22.7%	4.9%	17.8%	3.7%	3.28	3.84	+0.4
2024	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	0	47	194	49	10	7	0%	1.2	25.3%	5.2%	20.1%	3.6%	3.28	3.59	+0.5
2025	31	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	59	0	83	347	81	25	6	0%	1.4	23.3%	7.2%	16.1%	1.5%	2.48	2.88	+1.7
2025	31	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	59	0	83	347	81	25	6	0%	1.4	23.3%	7.2%	16.1%	1.5%	2.48	2.88	+1.7
2025	31	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	59	0	83	347	81	25	6	0%	1.4	23.3%	7.2%	16.1%	1.7%	2.48	2.99	+1.6
2026	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	3	56	251	49	26	14	6%	1.1	19.8%	10.1%	9.7%	3.7%	6.43	4.76	-0.1
2026	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	3	56	251	49	26	14	6%	1.1	19.8%	10.1%	9.7%	3.7%	6.43	4.76	-0.1
2026	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	3	56	251	49	26	14	6%	1.1	19.5%	10.4%	9.2%	5.6%	6.43	5.99	-0.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			239	6	292	1220	269	88	34	3%	1.2	22.0%	7.2%	14.8%	2.8%	3.64	3.68	+3.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	COL	53	0	56	236	50	20	7	0%	1.1	21.2%	8.5%	12.7%	3.0%	4.13	4.40	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	COL	49	0	51	217	44	19	7	0%	1.0	20.3%	9.0%	11.3%	3.3%	4.47	4.70	-0.1
2029	35	MLB MLE	COL	44	0	46	194	38	19	7	0%	1.0	19.4%	9.6%	9.8%	3.6%	4.81	5.04	-0.3
2030	36	MLB MLE	COL	39	0	41	172	32	17	7	0%	1.0	18.4%	10.2%	8.2%	4.0%	5.17	5.41	-0.4
2028	34	MLB CTX	COL	47	0	49	207	42	19	7	0%	1.0	20.3%	9.0%	11.3%	3.3%	4.47	4.70	-0.1
2029	35	MLB CTX	COL	40	0	42	177	34	17	6	0%	1.1	19.4%	9.6%	9.8%	3.6%	4.81	5.04	-0.2
2030	36	MLB CTX	COL	31	0	33	139	26	14	6	0%	1.1	18.4%	10.2%	8.2%	4.0%	5.17	5.41	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		357	6	416	1743	371	138	53	2%	1.2	21.3%	7.9%	13.4%	3.0%	3.98	3.97	+2.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		172	3	200	838	178	66	25	2%	1.2	21.3%	7.9%	13.4%	3.0%	3.98	3.97	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		554	6	674	2832	647	238	73	1%	1.2	22.8%	8.4%	14.4%	2.6%	3.41	3.65	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		164	2	200	840	192	71	22	1%	1.2	22.8%	8.4%	14.4%	2.6%	3.41	3.65	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jimmy Herget (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.40	21.2%	8.5%	3.0%	—	5.02	19.4%	9.9%	138	+0.62	—	—	—
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	81
Rafael Betancourt R 2008 · 4.12 FIP	33	SU	4.12	20.7%	6.5%	3.6%	.304	2.37	31.4%	27.3%	181	-1.75	1.79	686	79
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	2.16	306	78
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	75
Jim Henderson R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	33	SU	4.55	25.8%	9.0%	4.5%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	1.86	167	74
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	74
Zack Segovia R 2016 · 3.33 FIP	33	SU	3.33	20.2%	5.9%	2.2%	.312	4.55	17.6%	4.0%	57	+1.22	3.33	144	74
Jared Burton R 2014 · 3.90 FIP	33	SU	3.90	16.9%	8.1%	2.2%	.263	3.99	25.1%	15.7%	14	+0.09	3.09	367	73
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	73
Ryan Brasier R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	33	SU	4.85	18.0%	8.0%	4.1%	.286	3.16	23.7%	17.9%	150	-1.69	2.31	426	72
Tyler Walker R 2009 · 3.72 FIP	33	SU	3.72	18.0%	5.3%	2.7%	.243	3.77	20.7%	16.6%	35	+0.05	2.38	289	72
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	72
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	72
Tommy Nance R 2024 · 3.51 FIP	33	SU	3.51	20.2%	5.8%	2.5%	.327	2.84	26.3%	19.5%	123	-0.67	2.08	360	72
D.J. Carrasco R 2010 · 3.45 FIP	33	SU	3.45	19.7%	9.4%	1.5%	.275	4.47	12.0%	6.7%	49	+1.02	3.23	490	71
Dale Thayer R 2014 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	23.4%	4.9%	3.3%	.243	4.34	15.8%	8.8%	38	+0.78	2.75	239	71
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	71
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	71
Joel Peralta R 2009 · 4.03 FIP	33	SU	4.03	19.5%	8.8%	2.6%	.308	3.08	27.3%	22.3%	184	-0.95	2.70	648	70
Ben Weber R 2003 · 3.66 FIP	33	SU	3.66	13.9%	4.5%	2.1%	.292	5.03	10.4%	-2.2%	35	+1.37	2.57	284	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	61	21.2%	8.6%	1.18	4.02
Mark Lowe ('16)	1.9	64	20.9%	9.7%	1.10	4.22
Fernando Abad ('23)	1.8	59	19.3%	8.3%	1.14	3.78
Joe Borowski ('08)	2.3	57	18.9%	9.0%	1.05	4.18
Gary Wayne ('89-'94, 2 WAR*)	1.2	62	19.9%*	9.4%*	1.05*	3.88*
Ed Vande Berg ('82-'88, 3 WAR*)	2.6	74	19.6%*	8.8%*	1.07*	4.07*
Rich Rodriguez ('90-'03, 3 WAR*)	3.2	64	17.3%*	9.3%*	1.05*	4.00*