Brad Wieck

P Iowa Cubs

Age 35 LHP 6'8" / 257 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2020	28	MLBCHC	1	0	1	18.00	15.10	40.0%	20.0%	-0.1
2021	29	MIX2 levels	21	0	25	1.46	2.05	36.4%	16.4%	0.7	K 39.4% · BB 14.1% · FIP 1.55
2024	32	AAACHC	21	0	27	4.94	3.98	24.2%	8.3%	—	K 20.8% · BB 7.5% · FIP 4.16
2027PROJ	35	MLBCHC	136	0	143	4.11	4.19	23.5%	8.0%	0.6
2028PROJ1% MLB	36	MLBCHC	1	0	1	4.39	4.57	22.3%	8.6%	-0.0
2029PROJ0% MLB	37	MLBCHC	—	—	0	4.71	4.94	21.2%	9.2%	—

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.6 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2021

K%90

xwOBA vs90

Whiff%67

FB Velo23

CompsHisanori Takahashi (age 35) · Heriberto Ruelas (age 35) · Brian Shouse (age 35)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97105vR 113

ERA4.11

FIP4.19

K%23.5%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%15.5%

Proj IP143

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 143 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4040

CMD7070

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2392.6

Whiff%

p6728.0%

p9039.4%

xwOBA vs

p900.255

FB+4.1

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	123	531	139	50	8	100%	5.4	19.7%	11.0%	8.7%	2.2%	4.09	4.06	—
2015	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	123	531	139	50	8	100%	5.4	26.2%	9.4%	16.8%	1.5%	4.09	2.91	—
2016	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	61	249	93	24	0	0%	1.5	29.3%	10.9%	18.3%	0.0%	1.17	2.01	—
2016	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	61	249	93	24	0	0%	1.5	37.3%	9.6%	27.7%	0.0%	1.17	1.24	—
2017	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	41	0	39	174	61	23	2	0%	0.9	32.5%	11.3%	21.3%	1.0%	3.96	2.33	—
2017	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	41	0	39	174	61	23	2	0%	0.9	35.1%	13.2%	21.8%	1.1%	3.96	2.40	—
2018	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	49	0	53	218	80	17	4	0%	1.1	30.5%	9.4%	21.0%	1.8%	2.36	2.73	+1.2
2018	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	49	0	53	218	80	17	4	0%	1.1	36.7%	7.8%	28.9%	1.8%	2.36	2.03	+1.6
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	64	0	58	245	94	22	13	0%	0.9	36.2%	9.2%	27.0%	5.5%	5.43	4.24	+0.2
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	64	0	58	245	94	22	13	0%	0.9	38.4%	9.0%	29.4%	5.3%	5.43	3.91	+0.4
2020	28	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	1	0	1	5	2	1	1	0%	1.0	40.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	18.00	13.23	-0.1
2020	28	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	1	0	1	5	2	1	1	0%	1.0	40.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	18.00	15.10	-0.1
2021	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	25	110	40	18	0	0%	1.2	39.4%	14.1%	25.4%	0.0%	1.46	1.55	+0.9
2021	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	25	110	40	18	0	0%	1.2	36.4%	16.4%	20.0%	0.0%	1.46	2.05	+0.7
2024	32	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	21	0	27	120	29	10	4	0%	1.3	20.8%	7.5%	13.3%	3.4%	4.94	4.16	—
2024	32	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	21	0	27	120	29	10	4	0%	1.3	20.8%	7.5%	13.3%	3.4%	4.94	4.16	—
2024	32	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	21	0	27	120	29	10	4	0%	1.3	24.2%	8.3%	15.8%	3.3%	4.94	3.98	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			65	0	60	248	89	24	10	0%	0.9	35.9%	9.7%	26.2%	4.0%	3.77	3.50	+0.7
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	35	MLB	CHC	136	0	143	604	142	48	19	0%	1.1	23.5%	8.0%	15.5%	3.1%	4.11	4.19	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	36	MLB MLE	CHC	121	0	127	535	120	46	18	0%	1.0	22.3%	8.6%	13.8%	3.4%	4.39	4.57	-0.0
2029	37	MLB MLE	CHC	105	0	111	467	99	43	18	0%	1.1	21.2%	9.2%	12.1%	3.8%	4.71	4.94	-0.5
2028	36	MLB CTX	CHC	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	22.3%	8.6%	13.8%	3.4%	4.39	4.57	-0.0
2029	37	MLB CTX	CHC	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.2%	9.2%	12.1%	3.8%	4.71	4.94	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		66	0	61	253	90	24	10	0%	0.9	35.6%	9.7%	25.9%	4.0%	3.78	3.52	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		217	0	200	832	295	79	33	0%	0.9	35.6%	9.7%	25.9%	4.0%	3.78	3.52	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		261	23	388	1652	459	173	36	9%	1.5	27.8%	10.5%	17.3%	2.2%	3.51	3.29	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		135	12	200	852	237	89	19	9%	1.5	27.8%	10.5%	17.3%	2.2%	3.51	3.29	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brad Wieck (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.19	23.5%	8.0%	3.1%	—	4.74	21.8%	13.0%	237	+0.55	—	—	—
Hisanori Takahashi L 2010 · 3.50 FIP	35	SW	3.50	22.1%	7.0%	2.5%	.292	3.81	21.1%	15.0%	118	+0.31	3.50	240	70
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	53
Brian Shouse L 2004 · 3.47 FIP	35	SU	3.47	18.5%	8.2%	1.6%	.250	3.57	14.8%	8.9%	139	+0.10	2.32	339	50
Raul Valdes L 2013 · 4.07 FIP	35	SU	4.07	24.3%	5.3%	4.3%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	160	49
Juan Pablo Perez L 2013 · 3.68 FIP	34	SU	3.68	25.2%	11.5%	2.3%	.250	3.68	26.5%	11.2%	51	-0.00	1.75	104	48
Tim Byrdak L 2009 · 5.07 FIP	35	SU	5.07	22.2%	13.8%	3.8%	.185	3.48	23.8%	13.5%	107	-1.59	2.85	320	47
Brandon Mann L 2018 · 3.59 FIP	34	SU	3.59	17.8%	11.4%	1.0%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	190	47
Hideki Okajima L 2010 · 4.27 FIP	34	SU	4.27	15.5%	7.0%	2.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	238	45
Clay Rapada L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	34	SU	3.84	14.3%	8.0%	1.7%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	120	45
Mike Zagurski L 2018 · 3.12 FIP	35	SU	3.12	30.4%	9.3%	2.6%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	42
John Bale L 2009 · 4.31 FIP	35	SU	4.31	17.6%	11.8%	2.2%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	168	42
Brooks Raley L 2023 · 3.03 FIP	35	SU	3.03	25.8%	9.3%	1.7%	.268	3.00	23.6%	15.9%	78	-0.03	1.74	294	39
Scott Rice L 2015 · 3.67 FIP	33	SU	3.67	22.9%	17.2%	0.6%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	36
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2019 · 3.72 FIP	35	SU	3.72	26.2%	8.6%	3.2%	.303	5.02	17.5%	4.8%	12	+1.30	3.45	132	33
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.16	306	30
Neil Wagner R 2017 · 3.11 FIP	33	SU	3.11	20.7%	8.6%	1.2%	.257	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	135	28
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	28
Brendan Donnelly R 2006 · 4.21 FIP	35	SU	4.21	19.1%	9.0%	2.9%	.260	3.19	18.6%	10.1%	60	-1.02	2.23	385	28
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	28
Luke Westphal L 2024 · 5.19 FIP	35	SW	5.19	15.7%	16.4%	2.4%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	294	27

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.2	110	24.2%	8.7%	1.35	4.30
Mel Queen ('66-'72, 4 WAR*)	1.9	97	24.2%*	9.0%*	1.27*	3.77*
Ed Head ('40-'46, 4 WAR*)	2.3	93	23.8%*	8.8%*	1.24*	4.32*
Blix Donnelly ('44-'51, 6 WAR*)	3.5	99	21.6%*	9.7%*	1.26*	3.92*
Brad Peacock ('21)	2.8	93	24.7%	10.1%	1.27	4.11
Kenta Maeda ('25)	4.9	123	25.8%	7.0%	1.30	4.20
Félix Peña ('21)	1.3	65	23.9%	8.5%	1.35	4.66