Teddy Stankiewicz prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Teddy Stankiewicz P Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 32 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%17.0%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%6.2%

ROS IP45

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	21	A+ MLE	Salem Red Sox	25	25	141	585	77	32	11	100%	5.7	10.1%	6.3%	3.8%	2.8%	4.01	4.58	—
2015	21	A+ RAW	Salem Red Sox	25	25	141	585	77	32	11	100%	5.7	13.2%	5.5%	7.7%	1.9%	4.01	3.70	—
2016	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	25	25	136	569	97	39	16	100%	5.4	13.8%	7.5%	6.3%	2.5%	4.71	4.24	—
2016	22	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	25	25	136	569	97	39	16	100%	5.4	17.0%	6.9%	10.2%	2.8%	4.71	4.07	—
2017	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	25	23	140	608	107	36	13	92%	5.6	14.3%	6.5%	7.7%	2.5%	5.03	4.10	—
2017	23	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	25	23	140	608	107	36	13	92%	5.6	17.6%	5.9%	11.7%	2.1%	5.03	3.55	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	20	150	654	115	42	24	77%	5.8	14.5%	6.7%	7.7%	3.7%	4.97	4.77	—
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	20	150	654	115	42	24	77%	5.8	17.6%	6.4%	11.2%	3.7%	4.97	4.48	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	24	23	131	561	106	39	26	96%	5.5	16.6%	7.3%	9.3%	4.9%	3.85	5.32	—
2019	25	AAA RAW	Pawtucket Red Sox	24	23	131	561	106	39	26	96%	5.5	18.9%	7.0%	11.9%	4.6%	3.85	4.95	—
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	14	70	335	49	42	11	78%	3.9	12.1%	12.2%	-0.1%	3.7%	7.59	5.64	—
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	14	70	335	49	42	11	78%	3.9	12.1%	12.2%	-0.1%	3.7%	7.59	5.64	—
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	14	70	335	49	42	11	78%	3.9	14.6%	12.5%	2.1%	3.3%	7.59	5.54	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	32	MLB	CIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	17.0%	10.8%	6.2%	3.1%	5.09	5.09	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	CIN	7	7	41	174	30	19	6	100%	5.9	17.2%	11.1%	6.1%	3.3%	5.16	5.26	-0.2
2027	33	MLB CTX	CIN	2	2	13	55	9	6	2	100%	6.5	17.2%	11.1%	6.1%	3.3%	5.16	5.26	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	13	54	9	6	2	100%	6.4	17.2%	11.1%	6.1%	3.3%	5.16	4.88	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	140	93	31	100%	6.0	17.2%	11.1%	6.1%	3.3%	5.16	4.88	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		143	130	768	3312	453	245	110	91%	5.4	13.7%	7.4%	6.3%	3.3%	4.80	4.70	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		37	34	200	863	118	64	29	91%	5.4	13.7%	7.4%	6.3%	3.3%	4.80	4.70	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Teddy Stankiewicz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	17.0%	10.8%	3.1%	—	5.26	17.2%	6.0%	41	+0.17	—	—	—
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	83
Tyler Herron R 2017 · 4.02 FIP	30	SP	4.02	16.4%	8.7%	2.2%	.377	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	117	82
Stan Spencer R 2000 · 4.42 FIP	30	SP	4.42	19.2%	8.7%	3.4%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	119	77
Juan Delgadillo R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	32	SP	4.54	15.5%	7.2%	3.3%	.316	4.47	10.9%	4.7%	39	-0.07	4.47	143	75
Diego Moreno R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	32	SP	4.08	12.4%	6.9%	2.1%	.376	4.75	18.6%	9.2%	30	+0.67	2.29	187	74
Miguel Ruiz R 2017 · 5.60 FIP	31	SP	5.60	10.6%	11.0%	3.6%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	5.60	117	72
Andres Ivan Meza R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	32	SP	4.33	11.7%	7.7%	2.3%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	275	71
Walter Silva R 2009 · 5.72 FIP	32	SP	5.72	9.1%	12.4%	3.3%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.67	453	70
J.D. Martin R 2016 · 4.85 FIP	33	SP	4.85	9.4%	11.0%	2.1%	.302	5.42	12.2%	-0.2%	249	+0.57	4.79	414	70
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	70
Patrick Johnson R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	30	SP	4.14	15.7%	9.3%	2.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	248	68
Brandon Beachy R 2019 · 4.19 FIP	32	SP	4.19	17.4%	9.5%	2.5%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	1.97	364	68
Robert Coello R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	30	SP	4.31	13.4%	10.6%	1.8%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	112	68
Cesar Carrillo R 2016 · 4.28 FIP	32	SP	4.28	12.8%	9.3%	2.0%	.301	5.76	11.4%	1.2%	103	+1.48	4.14	336	67
Chuck Smith R 2001 · 3.99 FIP	31	SP	3.99	18.4%	8.1%	2.6%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	211	67
Jason Simontacchi R 2007 · 4.96 FIP	33	SP	4.96	13.0%	5.9%	4.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.79	356	67
Hector Galvan R 2019 · 4.84 FIP	31	SP-	4.84	14.3%	12.2%	2.6%	.357	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	406	66
Mitch Atkins R 2017 · 4.77 FIP	31	SP	4.77	14.3%	8.1%	3.4%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	215	65
Sergio Valenzuela R 2017 · 5.66 FIP	32	SP	5.66	10.6%	6.5%	4.8%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	244	65
Alex Caldera R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	30	SP	4.54	11.9%	11.1%	1.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.54	120	64

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	43	17.1%	11.0%	1.23	5.12
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Tom Martin ('07)	1.6	53	15.8%	10.1%	1.02	4.92