Jacob Waguespack

P Detroit Tigers

Age 33 RHP 6'6" / 228 lbs MLB peak 0.3 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	30	MIX3 levels	14	6	33	5.13	2.86	29.9%	9.7%	0.7	K 25.7% · BB 9.7% · FIP 3.29
2025	31	AAAPHI	25	0	33	2.45	3.01	24.4%	8.7%	—	K 21.0% · BB 7.8% · FIP 3.32
2026	32	MIX2 levels	51	1	69	2.23	3.89	24.8%	12.0%	0.5	K 23.1% · BB 11.5% · FIP 4.08
2027PROJ	33	MLBDET	153	0	161	4.32	4.58	22.6%	11.7%	-0.1
2028PROJ95% MLB	34	MLBDET	132	0	139	4.66	4.88	21.7%	12.2%	-0.5
2029PROJ91% MLB	35	MLBDET	113	0	119	5.00	5.22	20.7%	12.7%	-0.9

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

xwOBA vs90

Whiff%51

K%29

FB Velo27

CompsChris Jakubauskas (age 32) · Angel Sánchez (age 33) · Keiichi Yabu (age 36)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10698vR 90

ERA4.32

FIP4.58

K%22.6%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%10.9%

Proj IP161

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 161 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2792.9

Whiff%

p5125.4%

p2919.1%

xwOBA vs

p900.273

CT (35%)

CU (14%)

FB-0.6 (39%)

CH-2.8 (12%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	21	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	4	0	6	25	7	1	0	0%	1.4	28.0%	4.0%	24.0%	0.0%	7.94	1.24	—
2015	21	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies	4	0	6	25	7	1	0	0%	1.4	28.0%	4.0%	24.0%	0.0%	7.94	1.16	—
2016	22	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	43	0	72	317	72	28	1	0%	1.7	16.8%	10.4%	6.4%	0.5%	3.52	3.26	—
2016	22	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	43	0	72	317	72	28	1	0%	1.7	22.7%	8.8%	13.9%	0.3%	3.52	2.44	—
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	16	105	452	108	37	5	52%	3.4	18.7%	9.2%	9.5%	1.2%	3.42	3.36	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	16	105	452	108	37	5	52%	3.4	23.9%	8.2%	15.7%	1.1%	3.42	2.72	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	21	122	538	112	45	7	75%	4.4	17.9%	8.9%	9.0%	1.3%	4.80	3.45	—
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	21	122	538	112	45	7	75%	4.4	20.8%	8.4%	12.5%	1.3%	4.80	3.12	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	24	131	571	115	54	21	86%	4.7	19.0%	9.7%	9.4%	3.8%	4.75	4.82	+0.1
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	24	131	571	115	54	21	86%	4.7	20.1%	9.5%	10.7%	3.7%	4.75	4.67	+0.3
2020	26	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	11	0	18	90	16	9	2	0%	1.6	17.8%	10.0%	7.8%	2.2%	8.15	4.09	+0.1
2020	26	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	11	0	18	90	16	9	2	0%	1.6	17.8%	10.0%	7.8%	2.2%	8.15	4.29	+0.1
2021	27	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	24	10	69	292	74	21	3	42%	2.9	22.3%	7.6%	14.8%	1.0%	2.86	2.75	—
2021	27	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	24	10	69	292	74	21	3	42%	2.9	25.3%	7.2%	18.2%	1.0%	2.86	2.44	—
2024	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	6	33	154	46	15	3	43%	2.4	25.7%	9.7%	16.0%	2.1%	5.13	3.29	+0.5
2024	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	6	33	154	46	15	3	43%	2.4	25.7%	9.7%	16.0%	2.1%	5.13	3.29	+0.5
2024	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	6	33	154	46	15	3	43%	2.4	29.9%	9.7%	20.1%	1.9%	5.13	2.86	+0.7
2025	31	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	25	0	33	127	31	11	2	0%	1.3	21.0%	7.8%	13.2%	1.8%	2.45	3.32	—
2025	31	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	25	0	33	127	31	11	2	0%	1.3	21.0%	7.8%	13.2%	1.8%	2.45	3.32	—
2025	31	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	25	0	33	127	31	11	2	0%	1.3	24.4%	8.7%	15.7%	1.6%	2.45	3.01	—
2026	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	1	69	274	68	33	7	2%	1.3	23.1%	11.5%	11.6%	2.7%	2.23	4.08	+0.4
2026	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	1	69	274	68	33	7	2%	1.3	23.1%	11.5%	11.6%	2.7%	2.23	4.08	+0.4
2026	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	1	69	274	68	33	7	2%	1.3	24.8%	12.0%	12.8%	2.6%	2.23	3.89	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			66	15	153	659	125	66	21	23%	2.3	19.0%	10.0%	9.0%	3.2%	4.30	4.55	+0.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	DET	153	0	161	680	153	79	19	0%	1.1	22.6%	11.7%	10.9%	2.8%	4.32	4.58	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	DET	139	0	146	617	134	75	19	0%	1.1	21.7%	12.2%	9.5%	3.1%	4.66	4.88	-0.5
2029	35	MLB MLE	DET	125	0	131	554	115	70	19	0%	1.0	20.7%	12.7%	8.0%	3.4%	5.00	5.22	-1.0
2028	34	MLB CTX	DET	132	0	139	587	127	71	18	0%	1.1	21.7%	12.2%	9.5%	3.1%	4.66	4.88	-0.5
2029	35	MLB CTX	DET	113	0	119	502	104	64	17	0%	1.1	20.7%	12.7%	8.0%	3.4%	5.00	5.22	-0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		312	15	411	1750	357	201	56	5%	1.3	20.4%	11.5%	8.9%	3.2%	4.63	4.60	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		152	7	200	851	174	98	27	5%	1.3	20.4%	11.5%	8.9%	3.2%	4.63	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		259	78	657	2840	561	266	54	30%	2.5	19.7%	9.4%	10.4%	1.9%	3.97	3.66	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		79	24	200	864	171	81	16	30%	2.5	19.7%	9.4%	10.4%	1.9%	3.97	3.66	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jacob Waguespack (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	22.6%	11.7%	2.8%	—	5.04	21.2%	8.8%	277	+0.46	—	—	—
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	66
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	65
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	65
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	64
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	63
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	63
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	63
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	62
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	61
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	61
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	61
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	2.16	306	60
Jake Sanchez R 2023 · 4.70 FIP	33	SU	4.70	20.3%	10.6%	3.6%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	1.86	361	59
Jhan Mariñez R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	33	SU	5.36	17.4%	11.4%	4.2%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	59
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	59
D.J. Carrasco R 2010 · 3.45 FIP	33	SU	3.45	19.7%	9.4%	1.5%	.275	4.47	12.0%	6.7%	49	+1.02	3.23	490	59
Leo Rosales R 2015 · 3.99 FIP	34	SU	3.99	18.1%	10.8%	1.9%	.261	4.24	7.8%	-0.4%	22	+0.25	3.85	130	59
Chad Fox R 2003 · 3.70 FIP	32	SU	3.70	23.2%	13.6%	1.5%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	194	59
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	59
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2016 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	22.7%	10.4%	2.0%	.255	4.41	24.1%	13.8%	97	+0.80	3.34	335	58

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.0	118	21.0%	11.6%	1.20	4.55
Mike Cvengros ('22-'29, 2 WAR*)	2.8	110	22.2%*	11.5%*	1.05*	4.76*
Bruce Howard ('63-'68, 2 WAR*)	2.6	106	19.2%*	10.8%*	1.05*	4.32*
Darrell Jackson ('78-'82, 3 WAR*)	2.1	82	21.0%*	10.4%*	1.05*	4.43*
Robert Person ('03)	4.5	128	19.8%	11.2%	1.29	4.64
Alan Benes ('03)	2.5	99	18.6%	10.2%	1.07	4.59
Jonathan Sánchez ('13)	3.9	112	22.8%	12.5%	1.04	4.70