Pedro Fernandez — OGILVIE

Pedro Fernandez P Nashville Sounds

Age 32 RHP 6'0" / 175 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.77

FIP4.77

K%19.3%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	20	111	471	114	35	4	80%	4.4	18.1%	8.7%	9.4%	1.2%	4.80	3.33	—
2015	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	20	111	471	114	35	4	80%	4.4	24.2%	7.4%	16.8%	0.8%	4.80	2.46	—
2016	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	11	63	258	50	20	2	79%	4.5	15.2%	8.7%	6.5%	1.0%	3.02	3.45	—
2016	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	11	63	258	50	20	2	79%	4.5	19.4%	7.8%	11.6%	0.8%	3.02	2.88	—
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	3	77	318	67	23	4	8%	2.0	17.4%	7.8%	9.6%	1.4%	3.16	3.40	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	3	77	318	67	23	4	8%	2.0	21.1%	7.2%	13.8%	1.3%	3.16	2.93	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	3	67	284	49	20	3	9%	2.1	14.6%	6.4%	8.1%	1.0%	3.38	3.23	—
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	3	67	284	49	20	3	9%	2.1	17.3%	7.0%	10.2%	1.1%	3.38	3.12	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	Algodoneros Union Laguna	13	5	33	158	18	10	12	38%	2.5	10.0%	6.6%	3.4%	8.1%	8.27	7.55	—
2019	25	AAA RAW	Algodoneros Union Laguna	13	5	33	158	18	10	12	38%	2.5	11.4%	6.3%	5.1%	7.6%	8.27	7.69	—
2023	29	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	21	10	67	290	57	28	14	48%	3.2	16.3%	8.7%	7.6%	5.9%	4.05	6.04	—
2023	29	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	21	10	67	290	57	28	14	48%	3.2	16.3%	8.7%	7.6%	5.9%	4.05	6.04	—
2023	29	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	21	10	67	290	57	28	14	48%	3.2	19.7%	9.7%	10.0%	4.8%	4.05	5.38	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	32	MLB	MIL	3	0	3	13	2	1	0	0%	1.0	19.3%	8.9%	10.4%	3.3%	4.77	4.77	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	MIL	37	0	39	166	32	16	6	0%	1.1	19.2%	9.4%	9.8%	3.5%	4.87	4.97	-0.2
2027	33	MLB CTX	MIL	13	0	14	59	11	6	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	9.4%	9.8%	3.5%	4.87	4.97	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	61	12	6	2	0%	1.0	19.2%	9.4%	9.8%	3.5%	4.87	4.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	166	83	28	0%	1.1	19.2%	9.4%	9.8%	3.5%	4.87	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		144	52	416	1779	284	142	45	36%	2.9	16.0%	8.0%	8.0%	2.5%	4.15	4.16	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	25	200	855	137	68	22	36%	2.9	16.0%	8.0%	8.0%	2.5%	4.15	4.16	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Pedro Fernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.77	19.3%	8.9%	3.3%	—	4.97	19.2%	9.8%	39	+0.20	—	—	—
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	3.13	352	77
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	265	73
Marco Quevedo R 2019 · 5.17 FIP	32	SP-	5.17	13.6%	11.4%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	300	72
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	33	SW	4.95	18.3%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.81	11.4%	6.4%	27	-1.14	3.80	284	71
Casey Coleman R 2019 · 5.06 FIP	32	SW	5.06	18.4%	9.0%	4.3%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	306	71
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	71
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	71
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	70
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	14.0%	6.6%	4.2%	.268	5.28	17.5%	9.7%	166	+0.25	3.97	567	70
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	70
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	68
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	68
Bradin Hagens R 2019 · 5.46 FIP	30	SW	5.46	13.2%	12.6%	3.4%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	254	67
Sam LeCure R 2016 · 4.17 FIP	32	SW	4.17	16.6%	6.5%	3.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.17	171	67
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2016 · 4.84 FIP	32	SP-	4.84	8.4%	9.2%	2.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.81	104	66
Jason Berken R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	32	SW	4.54	11.5%	8.3%	2.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	4.34	219	65
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	65
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	65
Ramon Delgado R 2017 · 4.31 FIP	30	SW	4.31	11.2%	4.0%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	135	63
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	41	19.3%	9.2%	1.31	4.82
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50