Pedro Fernandez
P
Nashville Sounds
Age 32
RHP
6'0" / 175 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.61
FIP4.61
K%22.3%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP43
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 20 | 111 | 471 | 114 | 35 | 4 | 80% | 4.4 | 18.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 1.4% | 4.80 | 3.47 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 20 | 111 | 471 | 114 | 35 | 4 | 80% | 4.4 | 24.2% | 7.4% | 16.8% | 0.8% | 4.80 | 2.46 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 11 | 63 | 258 | 50 | 20 | 2 | 79% | 4.5 | 15.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 1.0% | 3.02 | 3.47 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 11 | 63 | 258 | 50 | 20 | 2 | 79% | 4.5 | 19.4% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 0.8% | 3.02 | 2.88 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 3 | 77 | 318 | 67 | 23 | 4 | 8% | 2.0 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 1.4% | 3.16 | 3.41 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 3 | 77 | 318 | 67 | 23 | 4 | 8% | 2.0 | 21.1% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 1.3% | 3.16 | 2.93 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 3 | 67 | 284 | 49 | 20 | 3 | 9% | 2.1 | 14.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 1.0% | 3.38 | 3.23 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 3 | 67 | 284 | 49 | 20 | 3 | 9% | 2.1 | 17.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 1.1% | 3.38 | 3.12 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Algodoneros Union Laguna | 13 | 5 | 33 | 158 | 18 | 10 | 12 | 38% | 2.5 | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 8.27 | 7.43 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Algodoneros Union Laguna | 13 | 5 | 33 | 158 | 18 | 10 | 12 | 38% | 2.5 | 11.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.27 | 7.69 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 21 | 10 | 67 | 290 | 57 | 28 | 14 | 48% | 3.2 | 17.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.05 | 6.52 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 21 | 10 | 67 | 290 | 57 | 28 | 14 | 48% | 3.2 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 4.05 | 5.38 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | MIL | 41 | 0 | 43 | 180 | 40 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 4.61 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIL | 37 | 0 | 39 | 166 | 36 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIL | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.45 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 180 | 83 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 144 | 52 | 416 | 1779 | 287 | 147 | 48 | 36% | 2.9 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 4.15 | 4.27 | +5.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 25 | 200 | 855 | 138 | 70 | 23 | 36% | 2.9 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 4.15 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Pedro Fernandez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 22.3% | 9.4% | 3.3% | — | 4.83 | 21.9% | 12.1% | 39 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 72 |
| Josh Zeid R 2024 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 71 |
| Casey Coleman R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.00 | 18.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 306 | 70 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.07 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 365 | 69 |
| Angel Sánchez R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 3.6% | .333 | 3.80 | 12.1% | 6.3% | 27 | -1.18 | 3.80 | 284 | 69 |
| Elian Leyva R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 68 |
| Mitch Lively R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.49 | 17.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 158 | 66 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.26 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 147 | 66 |
| Miguel Socolovich R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.60 | 20.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.59 | 18.4% | 13.7% | 42 | -0.01 | 2.60 | 283 | 66 |
| Marco Quevedo R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.40 | 13.6% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 300 | 65 |
| Collin McHugh R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.07 | 25.9% | 9.5% | 3.6% | .259 | 2.10 | 28.8% | 24.3% | 133 | -1.97 | 1.79 | 806 | 65 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.02 | 14.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | .268 | 5.32 | 17.5% | 9.7% | 166 | +0.30 | 3.84 | 567 | 64 |
| Garrett Richards R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.23 | 21.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .280 | 4.13 | 18.8% | 9.8% | 179 | -0.10 | 2.34 | 577 | 64 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.65 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .347 | 3.78 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.87 | 3.32 | 119 | 64 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 64 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2029 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.91 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .269 | 5.68 | 6.4% | -3.3% | 104 | +0.77 | 4.91 | 172 | 64 |
| Tom Koehler R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.71 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 474 | 64 |
| Sam LeCure R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.27 | 16.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 171 | 64 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 62 |
| Marco Antonio Duarte R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.68 | 12.2% | 9.1% | 2.6% | .420 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 203 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 41 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.33 | 4.67 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |